Horse Racing Today – Aqueduct Picks Live – January 19, 2023

Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Outside in Bias w/ 8+ Bonus

7 – CAIRO SUGAR – better ATB in her last and should be forwardly placed

2 – DREAM ON CARA – dropping from 3 NGSTK, ran her best opening half in her last – best off #

1 – TWO REDHEADS – left arrow horse, rail sucks, but facing state breds for the 1^st time

3 – LAVON – M – has the most LP and could up her game in race 2 off the bench

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/1,2,7/1,2,3,4,7

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Outside in Bias w/ 8+ Bonus

4 – KNOW IT ALL AUDREY – hate the odds, but TLRSP#, drops in class, will be on the front with +EP

3 – BUSTIN BAY – 3SP# increases, will probably sit behind the 4 and see is she can get by at the end

5 – MIA BEA STAR – +8LP edge, 3SP# increases in a row, needs to get off to a better start in a short field

2 – CARAMOCHA – better numbers at AQ and the Distance

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 3,4/4,6,8/4,7/4,6,8

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Outside in Bias w/ 8+ Bonus

4 – NORGAY – has a +13 EP/LP edge, TLRSP# and drops

6 – TIGER TOWN BOY – tr Rob Atras 27% first time out off the claim – wins at 38% with jy Manny Franco

8 – OLD POINT – MSW to MCL dropper, $475k horse, Kendrick will push him forward

3 – PROVEN HOPE – best wet track #s by a decent margin

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,8/4,6/3,4,5,6,8

Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Outside in Bias w/ 8+ Bonus

4 – NIEUWENDYK – breaks well, +EP advantage at 4f, wet 2/0-0-2 – Lasix helps

7 – PLEASE BABY – TLRSP# and drops, 20f works since his last race

2 – WINNING CONNECTION – Lone E, has early juice, let’s see if the Lasix helps

6 – PRACTICALLYMINE – 1^st gelded and 1^st Lasix, maybe one of them hits

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,7/2,4,7/1,2,4,6,7

Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 24% w2w – 2/3 discount, 1, 4-7 fair, 8+ Bonus

8 – MASKED MARAUDER – AQ 5/2-1-2, off track 6/1-2-2 with top off track #s

4 – MICROSECOND – turf record says he should like an off track – usually runs well off the bench, +9 EP/LP

6 – DOUBLE SHOT – 1^st off the claim, tr Chris Englehart 17%, off track 6/1-2-1

7 – BREAKING STONES – has some backspeed, looking for a bonceback

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 4,6,8/2,4,8/2,6,9/3,4,6

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 24% w2w – 1 Penalty, 2-7 a little under Par, 8+ Bias

2 – MI TRES POR CIENTO – some good works getting ready, runs well fresh

4 – MOUNT TRAVERS – going to take a flier here – off track 10/3-1-2 with best off track #s

8 – WINNING DRIVE – Rob Atras off the claim again 27% winner, has back speed

3 – CAERUS – has a some backspeed and sim says he could be an overlay

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4/2,4,8/2,3,4,7,8

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 24% w2w – 2/3 discount, 1, 4-7 fair, 8+ Bonus

6 – NABOKOV – just needs to repeat his last race – Dylan Davis comes here and gets off #7

2 – DR ARDITO – won four in a row but has been off since May, works are good though, debut was the lone miss – maybe he’ll be a little rusty

9 – HERO TIGER – a little bit of a shot here, but loves the off track 10/2-4-2

8 – SAINT TAPIT – Big drop in class for NGST 150K – will be part of EP – staying there is the issue

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,6,9/2,3,6,8,9

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Outside in Bias w/ 8+ Bonus

4 – REFUAH – has a lot of good work getting ready, distance 2/0-2-0

6 – CALLALOO – has a +13 LP edge and a +EP/LP advantage

3 – CENTRAL PRIDE – Rob Atras off the claim again, might not look like it on paper, but will be front placed

5 – RED D G P – can’t pass on Manny Franco at AQ right now

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6/3,4,6/3,4,5,6,7

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