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Horse Racing Today – Aqueduct Picks Live – Thursday, December 1, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Aqueduct Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delta Downs

Aqueduct Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Santa Charles’ Choices

  1. 1,3,4,6
  2. 6,5,4,2
  3. 4,6,3,1a
  4. 7,5,2,9
  5. 2,4,6,1
  6. 7,4,3,9
  7. 3,9,5,6
  8. 5,3,4,1
  9. 4,10,7,3

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Outside In

4 – WINNING CONNECTION – should be close to the lead, maybe possible E with the most LP

6 – KAON – tr Chad Brown going MSW to MCL – 29% angle

3 – NARCISO DALI – lonely P horse with TLRSP#, also taking the MSW to MCL drop

1A – PLEASE BABY – 2 for 1 special

 

Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, close to fair 1-7, 8+ big bonus

6 – NIEUWENDYK – numbers say he’ll likely be in the lead at the half, maybe steps it up in 2nd off the bench

2 – MULLINGAR – going from MWS to MCL – 28% winner for Hall of Famer Bill Mott, better in fist ½ mile of last

5 – OUTLAW COUNTRY – a couple of alpha angles in play here for tr Charlton Baker, 20% 1st off the claim, 29% moving up a class vs 17% overall

4 – DON’T LET ME DOWN – ran a better race last out and will look to build on it in his 3rd after a layofff

 

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early speed with slight 4-7 Bias

4 – FUNNY JOKE – 2nd start off the claim for tr Orlando Noda – 29% angle for 11% trainer

2 – KING JAMES – Left Arrow horse, at his best has a sizable EP advantage

1A – HAGLER – Terry angle, remaining horse from Rudy Rodriquez entry

6 – COUSIN ANDREW – been off since August, has the back class but the resume says the fist off the bench might just be tune up

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early speed with slight 4-7 Bias

5 – HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH – TLRSP# and lone P, been running on grass, but 11/0-2-4 on AQ dirt

7 – TRIPLE P – not a big fan of the Flakes to NYRA angle, he she is a big fan of 6f, 8/3-1-3, just 2 seconds in 7 at any other length

9 – GAME THEORY – becomes the lone E with the 3 and 4 scratching,

6 – CARLY HUSTLE – Like AQ 5/1-2-1 and Distance 5/1-1-2

 

Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Outside In

4 – GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS – BB – Kendrick on speed again with a horse that should be on the lead at the ½ mile marker – get bigger edge with 7 scratching

2 – SENSE A GIANT – surprisingly, Irad and Pletcher have a small plus ROI of 8 cents

6 – MAKART – 3rd off a layoff following a little better fractions last out, 3rd off is a big alpha angle for tr James Ryerson 26% vs 8% overall

8 – REUNION TOUR – a 4YO vs 3YO a bomb with a 7 pound weight break, let’s see if it’s enough

 

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, Barbell PPs rail and 8+ major bonuses

7 – BIG BEAN CHRISTINE – TLRSP# and has a +LP, the only way I’d consider a MCL riser

9 – PREDETERMINED – a better effort through the first half mile in her last and has a nice recent work

4 – SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN – should be on the lead at the quarter pole with a +EP edge, getting Irad helps

6 – LEMON TAFFY  – taking a flyer here with a horse that has a 2nd in two at AQ


Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Outside In

9 – SWEET MYSTERY – drops from a 250k NGSTK 5

5 – COURAGEOUS GIRL – Big AQ fan, 12/2-4-3, this 5 YO mare is making her third start after a layoff, 3rd was by far the best effort in the last 3 race cycle

3 – CARAGATE – benefits from the 7 scratching and should be involved from start to finish

2 – BUSTIN BAY – last race was better than it looks, especially the first half mile

 

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Outside In

4 – MISSY GREER – ran TLRSP# and has a couple of strong works since, looking for a rerun of her last today

1 – HOODOOLAND – this left arrow horse looks to be better in the third race off the bench, lonely PC horse

5 – TAP THE FAITH – a bullet work on Nov 22nd suggests this filly will step up the performance ladder in race 2 off the bench

6 – TONED UP – should be too far from the pace as the lone P horse and has the most late run

 

Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Outside In

7 – THE MET – LS – moves back to the Jeffrey Englehart barn where he won his previous two with ++EP/LP combo

6 – DONTBELATE – ran better race internals for the first half mile in his first race off the bench

10 – RUSSIAN TO WIN – should be forwardly placed and coming off the TLRSP#

4 – VOLIERO – consistent performer but on turf, flipping to dirt a 22% angle for tr Jose Camejo

Aqueduct Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

Aqueduct Pace Worksheet 12-1-22

 

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