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Belmont at the Big A Horse Racing Picks

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Horse Racing Today – Belmont at the Big A Picks – Thursday, October 13, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

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Belmont at the Big A Full Card Picks

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Belmont at the Big A Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Tango Charles’ Tips

  1. 2,7,4,8
  2. 3,2,1,4
  3. 7,6,1,3
  4. 6,4,2,1
  5. 7,4,3,10
  6. 6,8,3,2
  7. 5,9,8,7
  8. 2,3,7,5
  9. 7,11,6,9

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: middle bias with early speed

2 – IN TRAFFIC – TLRSP#, should be close to the pace, 1st Lasix

4 – GRACEFULLY WILD – 3 seconds in a row, decent works between races, top LP

7 – FREE CHICKENS – biggest class dropper, even money morning line, going to take money, but looks like she regressed in last

8 – BIG BEAN CHRISTINE – Trevor McCarthey rides, should have good insight from sister law Jacqueline Davis who rode last out at Flakes – much prefer Trevor on closers

 

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Inside Speed and Tactical Speed

2 – VALLARAND – left arrow horse, almost ++EP/LP, 1st time claiming for Rob Altras 28% angle

7 – MY SWEET WIFE – 2nd off the claim, winner 5/16 for Michell Nevin, mini Z pattern

4 – FUNWHILEITLASTED – TLRSP#, could be close to the front and has top LP

1 – SEALITHIC – winner of two in a row at Flakes, EP horse, Trevor will likely save horse for the end

 

Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf: Fair, Mid posts 2-7, rail and 8+ struggle 

7 – CAFE FLEUR – BTN FAV for Chad Brown, 28% angle, 38% winner in claiming for Brown, EP/LP +

2 – KEMBA – TLRSP#, BAQ 4/0-2-1, distance 8/2-2-1, if she can get the lead and keep it into the stretch

3 – BE UP – tr Jonathan Thomas hits at 33% in claiming, all or nothing 5/2-0-0

4 – ENTWINE – class dropper, should be better in 2nd off the bench

 

Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Inside Speed and Tactical Speed 

 

6 – CHARGER – 6 lb weight break from last race, tie TLRSP#, 1st off the claim 20% for Rudy Rodriguez

4 – CONVERTIBLE FREEZE – major improvement in r2 off the sidelines, maybe better in 3rd, never happened before, Aq 3/2-0-1

1 – UMBRIA – two for one special

1A – FOREVER WICKED

7 – AL’S PRINCE – down multiple classes, 26% angle for tr Jeffrey Englehart vs 20% overall – Alpha Angle

 

Race 5: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: Speed and PPs 4-7

2 – LISTENTOTHEMUSIC – showed some EP in last, faded in 2nd half of race, three good works including a bullet in last

10 – BEST DEFENSE – Pletcher and Irad win 22/66 of together and still have a 0.39 + ROI

3 – DON’T LET ME DOWN – any improvement off of debut should make him competitive

1 – CHIRINGO – has some EP and was decently bet in debut, rough start in debut – clean trip = W?

 

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Speed Rail and 4-7

2 – MY DELICIOUS – LS – improved in first ½ od last race, maybe better in 3rd after a layoff, AQ 12/0-6-1

6 – FREUDIAN – even money morning line, TLRSP#, dropping multiple classes, 22% winner for tr Peter Walder

1 – R GIRL FAITH – Left Arrow Horse, +EP edge at 4f, flipping from turf to dirt – tr Marcus Thompson 0-6

8 – MERGER OF EQUALS – consistent performer that ran some better fractions last out, Flakes Shipper?

 

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Speed Rail and 4-7 

7 – UPTOWN EXPRESS – has a ++LP edge, +EP/LP advantage, MSW to MCL dropper, if she can move forward – she can win

9 – TOUGH STREET – TLRSP#, going to be on gas from go to photo, always fades and burned FAV $$$ 3 of 4 starts

5 – QUEEN OF LIES – class dropper with some EP too, like the September 14th work 4f fastest of 31

8 – UNKOALAFIED – another class dropper with a sharp work on Oct 8, 3f in 35.3, clearly looking to get off to a better start

 

Race 8: 1 Mile Turf: – Bias: Tactical Speed Inside and Outside

1 – STRAW INTO GOLD – EP Horse That has run well off the bench like today

2 – CALL ME HARRY – w2w in last with TLSRP#, some decent maintenance works since

5 – KLICKITAT – tr Linda Rice 21% off the claim

7 – FRONT LINE DANCER – will be closing at the end

 

Race 9: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: Speed and PPs 4-7

6 – SWASHBUCKLE – should be close to the front and has some of the most LP

7 – VOCALIZE – BTN FAV, dropping in class, tr Linda Rice rebounds at 26%9

9 – RED MULE – TLRSP#, much faster fractions

8 – TRUEBELIEVE – left arrow horse, off track 4/0-3-1

Belmont at the Big A Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

Belmont at the Big A Pace Worksheet 10-13-22

Belmont at the Big A Pace Worksheet 10-13-22

 

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