Horse Racing Today – Belmont at the Big A Picks – Thursday, October 20, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Belmont at the Big A Full Card Picks

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Remington Park

Belmont at the Big A Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Charles Tango’s Tips

1. 5,6,3,1
2. 1,3,5,4
3. 3,4,2,1
4. 8,2,7,6
5. 2,6,7,4
6. 10,6,3,8
7. 4,2,1,6
8. 3,6,8,4
9. 3,2,5,11

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Speed mostly fair PP wise

5 – OCEAN’S RESERVE – has ++4f edge, and +++EP/LP advantage, 6/0-4-1 races

3 – TWIRLING VINE – bullet and go first time starter, three bullets in last 4

1 – JOSIE’S THUNDER – bullet and go, works aren’t as good as the 3, and lower odds

6 – REFUAH – finished a distance second behind the 5 in the last two races

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Speed rail bias, 2-7 ok, penalty 8+

1 – KERIK – TLRSP#, drops in class, +LP edge and should be coming at the end

3 – THAT IS KEY – BTN FAV last out, tr Jeffrey Englehart rebounds at 25%

5 – LINNY KATE – lone PC horse, dropping multiple classes, 37% winner for tr Mertkan Kantarmaci

6 – GRUDGE – could be the pacesetter and dropping multiple closes

Race 3: 1 1/8 Miles Turf – Bias: Only 4 races – 50/50

5 – MISS DRACARYS – Left Arrow Horse, has a +2f Edge, + EP/LP vs all others vs except 2

2 – LADY DAY – has faced off versus some good horses in France in group races, been off for a little more than a year, closer

6 – CREATIVE CAIRO – one of 2 PC horses, can win from the front and back, 1 for 1 at Aqueduct

3 – COMMUNITY ADJUSTED – the other PC horse with the top LP, can run well off the break

Race 4: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: 1-7 speed, rail and 8+ not so good

3 – CHARLESTON STRONG – Lone EP horse with a string of bullet works for the 1^st start since Feb.

8 – UPPER LEVEL – very likely to be the pacesetter and improved his late pace in last

4 – JURKOVEC – increases speed# 3 races in a row and has some LP, good fit for Trevor McCarthy

6 – PROVEN HOPE – lone PC horse with the most back class. Tr Bruce Bowen will try to get him to run back to form in 1^st off the claim.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail edge, 4-7 better than 2/3 – 8+ no winners yet

6 – CLOSING DEALS – EP horse with the top LP.  A good fit for Trevor McCarthy

2 – MONSHUN – has some of the most EP in the race, real brave if she has the lead late in her 2^nd off the break

7 – TRUE EMPRESS – Lone PC horse for the course at AQ 6/2-1-2

4 – TRADE SECRET – should be better in the classic third start after layoff and is another that get courageous on the lead.

Race 6: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Speed inside and out 1-3 and 8+

8 – MY LIPS ARE SEALED – EP horse whose resume and recent works says she will be better 3^rd off the bench

6 – THEODORA GRACE – essentially an all or nothing PC horse that also should be best in her third after a layoff

4 – PALACE GOSSIP – likely to be the pacesetter in a race loaded with pressers and closers

10 – SHE’S A MIA – top late pace horse and another good fit for Trevor McCarthy

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed best 2-7

2 – BABA – should be close to the front with the most LP, +EP/LP Combo

1 – SNICKET – similar fractions at 6 1/2f as 6f and ITM 8/3-2-1 at AQ

6 – SILVER STRAND – would be very dangerous if she can run back to her debut, workouts say maybe

4 – TO A T – has some of the most LP and should pick off tiring speed at the end

Race 8: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: 2-7 speed, rail and 8+ not so good

6 – EDDIE THE GREAT – P horse with a +LP advantage could be better in 3^rd off the bench

4 – HE’S GOT IT – first off the bench and bullet work says he will be ready run

8 – SUIT OF ARMOR – Small Left Arrow horse, stays here if the race is on grass, put the 3 here if it’s moved to dirt

1 – MASETA – 2^nd off the claim for tr William Morey a 22% winning angle vs 17% overall

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Only 4 races – 50/50

2 – RUN UP THE SCORE – going to take a chance with 1^st on grass off the claim with Linda Rice – 6/6 ITM with jy Flavien Pratt

3 – DREAMFUL – BTN FAV for trainer Brad Cox who rebounds at 31% and returns to grass 6/1-2-2

11 – PEGS A. K. GIRL – 3SP# increases, including TLRSP#, top EP/LP combo

7 – STELLA MARS – has the top LP# and is usually really close at the end

Belmont at the Big A Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet