Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Belmont Park Full Card Picks
Terry’s Gulfstream Park Best Bet
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park
Belmont Park Horse Racing Tips and Analysis
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1A – Artemus Citylimits – He has finished in the money in sixteen out of seventeen career starts, running 2nd in last race – He switches to a high % winning jockey, the trainer wins 22% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (23 8-5-0).
8 – Fauci – He has finished in the money in nine out of ten turf starts and finished 3rd in the last race.
7 – Yes and Yes – He won his last race at Belmont Park, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
10 – Summer to Remember– He finished 3rd in last race and has a bullet workout.
Alternate:
5 – Prince James
Race 2
8 – Veronica Greene – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, was heavily bet in her debut and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Aunt Naughty – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1) and a good 4F workout (Jun-04).
5 – Spiked – She closed to run 2nd in her only start at 6-furlongs and stretches out to a mile which may help.
4 – Dolce Sera – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race receiving the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Milan’s Girl
7 – Precursory
Race 3
3 – Consumer Spending – She has won three out of her five career races, winning the last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Skims – She has won two out of the last three races, finishing 3rd in the last race and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Vergara – She likes the turf finishing 100% of the time in the money, winning 50% of the races and is one for one at today’s distance.
2 – Myriskyaffair – She won her last race at Belmont, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (14 4-2-0).
Alternate:
5 – Tap the Faith
1 – Shad Nation
Race 4
10 – Asymmetric – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has the highest last race speed rating, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey – Lasix added.
1 – Sinful Dancer – He has finished in the money in six out of seven races, running 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a bullet 4F workout on 02Jun Bel tr.t 4f my :48.1 B 1/5.
6 – Conquist – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start while being well bet and can improve with Lasix added.
5 – Catching Cupid – He has been off for 6-months after a poor last race but has a bullet 5F workout (Jun-04), switches to a high % jockey, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – The jockey in last 7 days has finished in the money in twelve out of twenty starts, winning five and Lasix added.
Alternate:
7- Ocean’s Reserve
9- Flowing River
Race 5
2 – Talkin Pharoah – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his only start and now trying turf for the first time, but the breeding suggests he will like the grass – He was well bet in debut and a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-1-0).
5 – Morethanreadyeddie – He is a first-time starter – Breeding suggests he will like the grass and he has a good 4F workout (Jun-04).
6 – Lady Wildcat –He is a first-time starter – Breeding suggests he will like the grass and he is trained by Wesley Ward whose mounts are winning at 25% clip.
3 – Dr Oseran – He is a first-time starter -. Breeding suggests he will like the grass and has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (14 4-2-0).
Alternate:
7 – I Like Boston
4 – Who Me
Race 6
6 – Devious Dame – She won her debut race at Churchill Downs, has the highest last race speed rating (tie), her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (20 5-3-4).
1 – Alexis’s Storm – She won her debut race at Laurel Park and was heavily bet.
5 – Girl Bye – She won her debut race at Gulfstream Park earning the highest last race speed rating (tie) and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Magic Beauty – She has two 3rds one at Belmont Park.
Alternate:
4 – Shaymyname
Race 7
1 – Investmentstrategy – She has finished in the money in two of her three career races, winning one and has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-3-0).
5 – Eylara – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race earning the highest last race speed rating and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (14 4-2-0).
4 – Baby Blythe– She finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
9 – Community Adjusted – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer & jockey.
Race 8
5 – Valenzan Day – He won his debut race at Belmont and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (20 5-3-4).
7 – Two of a Kind – He won his debut race at Churchill Downs, has a trainer won wins 28% of the races in Non-Graded Stakes and a good 4F workout (Jun-03).
4 – No Nay Hudson – He won his debut race at Keenland, has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-2-0) and a good 4F workout (Jun-05).
8 – Zelenskyy Strong – He was well bet and won his debut race at Gulfstream Park and has a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (23 8-5-0).
Alternate:
1 – Stayhonor Goodside
3 – Putthepastbehind
Race 9
3 – Miscreant – She was well bet and ran 2nd in her debut race at Belmont, has a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
7 – Dame Time – She has the last highest last race speed rating, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, drops in class today and should improve at the shorter distance.
9 – U Cant Handle This – She led her last race for 6-furlongs of the 6-1/2 -furlong race and now cuts back to 6-furlongs which can help.
12 – Doozy Batz – She drops in class, is trained by Wesley Ward and ridden by John Velazquez.
Alternate:
6 – Creemore
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 7 Furlongs Turf, 12 races, 9 won off the pace, 2 w2w – 4-7 best, 8+ to par, penalty 2/3 no rail winners
1A – ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS – top pick for grass or dirt, 10 HQ starts in last 10 races
7 – YES AND YES –likes Belmont 11/3-3-3, won his last, resume says he could be better in 2nd after a layoff
8 – FAUCI – finished behind top pick in last, likely to make nice gains in 2nd off the bench
10 – SUMMER TO REMEMBER – showed early speed in last, bullet work since and tr Horacio De Paz hitting at 30%
Race 2 – 1 Mile, 32 races, 26 won by speed, 10 w2w – PP: Rail bias, 2+ play fair
5 – SPIKED – ran 2nd in debut in the highest rated race, horse she lost to ran failed graded stakes then won an $80k AOC at Belmont, 4th place horse came back to win its next race
2 – AUNT NAUGHTY – ran better pace#s from start to finish in last outing, 4 very good works since, could be graduation day
4 – DOLCE SERA – TLRSP# in first race on Belmont dirt, held the lead until the final strides, cutting back 1/16 mile could be the difference
3 – MILAN’S GIRL – hard pick between the 3 & 8, going to take the $300k horse over the $260k horse, and because MILAN’S GIRL put together a more consistent effort from start to finish than VERONICA GREENE
Race 3 – 1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf, 3 races, 2 won w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3 the other 4-7
3 – CONSUMER SPENDING – a little bit of luck and she could have won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – came back to win her last with TLRSP#
6 – VERGARA – Luis Saez is going to take her to the front and try to steal this race on the lead versus a field of closers
7 – SKIMS – Flavien Prat could tried to take the initiative out of the gate too, but she doesn’t have the same early race quickness at the 6, but she does have the top pedigree for the distance/surface
2 – MYRISKYAFFAIR – let’s take a price here, her numbers are as good as #1, could be top choice on the slop
Race 4 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 18 races, 12 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: rail just 1 win, 2-7 fair, 8+ no wins
10 – ASYMMETRIC – been off since October, works are OK 1st Lasix and Gelded, TLRSP# when he did run
1 – SINFUL DANCER – better in race #s from start to finish in his last and has three really good works since
3 – DEVIL BOY has some of the best EP#s in field, had some issues in last race, but has a bullet work since
5 – CATCHING CUPID – showed some speed in his debut, was the FAV in a 100K non graded stakes in 2nd start, been on sidelines since, upgrades to Joel Rosario, bullet work and 1st Lasix
Race 5 – 5 Furlongs Turf, 1 race, won by speed, from PP: 2/3
A bunch of first time starts vs a few with experience
5 – MORETHANREADYEDDIE – strong workout pattern
9 – POWER ATTACK – got to have a bomb, has some fast works and Kendrick likes the front so you never know
1 – CARA’S PRINCE – better works than the 7 and 8
8 – ALCAZABA – decent works getting ready
Race 6 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 1 race, won w2w from post 2/3
5 – GIRL BYE – she and DEVIOUS GAME ran similar races winning their debuts, might as well take the 9/2 horse over the 4/5 horse
6 – DEVIOUS DAME – heavy favorite, won debut at CD easily
1 – ALEXIS’S STORM – won her debut at Laurel Park as the 7/5 favorite, some decent works since
2 – MAGIC BEAUTY – debut at Belmont puts her ahead of the 4
Race 7 – 1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf, 3 races, 2 won w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3 the other 4-7
5 – EYLARA – TLRSP#, should be better in her 2nd US start, a bunch of maintenance works since
1 – INVESTMENTSTRATEGY – finished behind top pick in her last, 24f works since May 1
9 – COMMUNITY ADJUSTED – improved EP#s in last race, drops in class, two works between and could be better in second off the bench
4 – BABY BLYTHE – has some late pop and likely to be better in race 2 off the sideline, $325k horse
Race 8 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 1 race, won w2w from post 2/3
7 – TWO OF A KIND – won debut at CD, interesting that Saez chose this one over the 5
5 – VALENZAN DAY – has the best EP#s at Belmont, won debut with nice stalking trip, a couple of good works since
4 – NO NAY HUDSON won debut w TLRSP#, strong work at Belmont on June 5th
8 – ZELENSKYY STRONG – won debut by 10 at GP, decent work at BP since and gets Irad
Race 9 – 6 Furlongs Inner Turf, 2 races, both won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: both wins 4-7
7 – DAME TIME – Only MSW Dropper in the field unless 12 scratches in, TLRSP#
12 – DOOZY BATZ – the other MSW dropper
9 – U CANT HANDLE THIS – had the lead into the stretch before fading in last, tr Rudy winner 20% 2nd off the claim and cuts on ½ furlong today
10 – QUEEN DE LA CRÈME – first time starter for hot barn, tr Raymond Handal won 3 of last 5, 16/4-5-0 to start meet
6 – CREEMORE – another 1st time starter, 130K horse without a lot to beat, nice work on June 4
