Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Churchill Downs Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
Picks with the Professor’s Play of the Day
Churchill Downs Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Charles Tango’s Tips
1. 4,2,5,6
2. 5,8,6,2
3. 1,2,7,5
4. 1,5,7,6
5. 1,3,2,7
6. 5,8,10,2
7. 5,4,1,2
8. 8,2,4,5
9. 1,2,6,4
10. 2,7,10,4
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers 4-7best, 8+ fair, inside 2 penalty especially rail
4 – MAKE NOISE – TLRSP# and should be at least as good probably better in R2 off the bench
2 – WHAT A COUNTRY – top CD numbers but struggles at the distance 5/0-0-1
5 – MOTAGALLY – last was U-G-L-Y but distance 9/0-3-3
1 – CELERITY – not much difference between the rest except a 10 pound weight break here
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 4-7 best again, 1-3 and 8+ slight penalty
5 – CATCHUSIFYOUCAN – was better ATB in her last, 4SP# increases, best EP/LP combo
6 – WHY BEHAVE – debut and won his maiden at CD, tr Bret Calhoun 30% Sp-Rt-Sp
8 – FOREVER HOME – won 2 of his last 3 at CD, maintenance work between races
2 – ZMUDA –was better ATB in last and could be better in 3rd off the bench
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with a rail penalty, 2+ mostly fair
7 – SUMMER SPLASH – should be on the gas from go, Bret Calhoun going Sp-Rt-Sp again
1 – COST BASIS – lone P horse in the field, made the mistake of not including a lone P again
5 – BELFAST BOY – tough call over the 2, but better #s at CD than the 2 at FAN
2 – THAT KHENNY – the other early speed horse in here, prefer speed over closers in short fields
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers 4-7best, 8+ fair, inside 3 penalty especially rail
1 – ENCHANTED NILE – undefeated in 2 at CD, has the top EP/LP combo, concerned about rail
4 – GIANNA’S GIFT – 1st off the claim for Robertino Diordoro, best CD numbers
3 – XTREMA – left arrow horse, down in class, distance 5/3-0-0
2 – TILTINGATWINDMILLS – lone P horse again, distance 7/1-4-1, history says she will be better in R2 off the bench
Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers 4-7best, 8+ fair, inside 3 penalty especially rail
3 – SLIM MAN – left arrow horse that has a ++ Combo Edge, nice work since last race
2 – AMERICAN ICON – better fractions through ¾ mile in last at 6 ½f v 6f in previous start, lone E
7 – BRITAIN’S KITTEN – 0-2 on CD dirt but… has the top CD numbers in the field
1 – BUTTON BOY – TLRSP# and drops in class, remaining horses have just been bad of late
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 4-7 best again, 1-3 and 8+ slight penalty
5 – GRAPES FOR ELOISE – has the best workout and top pedigree scores
2 – VALIANT PRAISE – speed numbers for experienced horses are considerably better than the others
8 – BLAME DAY – that Oct 7 work, 3f in 34.2 is fast
10 – GOLDBLOODED – Improved from race 1 to race 2 – 1st on CD dirt, the works at CD have been solid
1 – SINGING EMMA
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside 3 Speed
1 – CEES GET DEGREES – has plenty of EP and showed more late punch in his last
3 – COLD AS HELL – better ATB in his last, two works between including a blistering on one Nov 9
6 – MUMAYAZ – lone P hors, top LP and best EP/LP combo in the field
5 – PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE – 1st off the claim for tr Steve Asmussen, best CD#s
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 4-7 best again, 1-3 and 8+ slight penalty
8 – FLYIN BESSIE – TLRSP# in debut, some good works at CD since, Chris P angle
9 – DAZZLING BLUE – 500k first time starter for Brad Cox with strong works too
2 – MOMENT TO SHINE – tr Larry Rivelli wins at 29% in MSW debuts, good works at HAW – would like to see some at CD
1 – CORNER KICK – a lot of good works getting ready too, having jy Luis Saez helps
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers 4-7best, 8+ fair, inside 3 penalty especially rail
7 – BRAGANZA – just needs to run back to CD debut, P horse behind a wall of speed
2 – CASA DE GOAT – another the needs to just repeat her debut, but it was at KNLD, then struggled at CD in R2 – but recent CD works says he’ll be ready
1 – CUSTOMER DRIVEN – TLRSP# and a bunch of great CD works getting ready
5 – ROMANCE NOVEL – has the most LP, could come in handy in a field of speed
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Tactical Speed, rail bias, 2+ fair
8 – ACCIDENT – TLRSP# and has the most LP in the field
6 – WINTERS LION – similar fractions at 1 mile as 6f in debut, maybe better in 3rd career race, could be lone E
9 – RECKER POINT – P horse that should be involved from the start and the SP#s are good enough
3 – MOTOWN COLLECTION – left arrow horse with the top EP/LP combo, coming from Thistle is a big ask
Churchill Downs Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet
