Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Tom and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Churchill Downs Full Card Picks
Terry’s Belmont Park Best Bet
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park
Churchill Downs Horse Racing Tips and Analysis
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 20 races, 14 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP Strong rail bias, 2-7 a little better than par, 8+ yet to win
2 – BRUNELLA – won her last by 5 ¾ lengths, better in the first half mile, maybe geared down a touch at the end
1 – TAKE CHARGE ERICA – resume says there is potential for strong gains in race 2 off the bench, but 6/0-1-0 at CD
6 – GIRLS A BULLET – ITM 7/2-2-2 at the distance, been through a claiming merry go round, should be the one of the strongest at the end
5 – DARLENE STRONG
4 – TAPALONG
3 – DOUBLE DAWN
Race 2 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 6 races, 5 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: rail fair, 2/3 way underperform, 8+ best, 4-7 bonus
2 buckets, going all first times expecting one to win
2 – BOXSTER – maybe I am nuts, but May 30 work of 3f in 34.2? That’s fast, his last four workouts were all very good – Bejarano gets off the 6 and 7 to ride here
1 – CURLY JACK – two bullet works in a row at Keeneland,
8 – EL CERRITO – $370k horse, by far the most expensive in the field, works are OK, but not as good as the first two
4 – PERFECT PRANK – another with good works and breeding that suggests he’ll have some early punch
5 – CIGARETTE BOAT
7 – MO’S TREASURE
6 – MABUHAY
Race 3 – 1 Mile, 13 races, 12 won by speed, 3 w2w -PP: rail and 8+ underperform, 2/3>4-7
10 – HESTON – drops in 2nd start off the claim, noticeable SP# increase in only other 2nd start, better fractions in last
1 – LEVEE PROUD – not a fan of the rail, but Kenneth McPeek won 6/10 dropping 2+ classes and 29% in second starts with a horse
2 – PRINCE OF GLORY – drops in class, in last race ran the same 6f time at 1 1/16 miles as 6f, trainer Paul McGee wins at 23% in 3rd starts off the break
9 – CHROME’S RIGHT – Tyler G is tonight’s TPE guest, last time I didn’t play the guest it cost me. TG rode this horse 2 back for a 2nd place at GP
6 – THISPOINTINTIME
3 – MAJOR CAM
13 – CONSIDER
Race 4 – 1 Mile Turf, but rain is expected, 8 races, 6 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP: rail to par, 2-7 underperform, 8+ bonus
8 – TWIRLING PATTI – TLRSP#, drop MSW to MCL – 19% on the drop, , tried CD turf before at 1m, 2nd by a head
11 – LEAD ME – slightly improved in 2nd career start, debuted at 6f, 1 1/16 miles last out, should be better in 2nd route, two works between races – best LP#s
1 – ONE FULL MOON – better times for ¼, ½ and 6f times at 1m compared to 6 ½, bullet workout on May 18th and then another good 4f work on May 27
9 – COLONEL ABY B – if the 15 doesn’t get in, high floor/low ceiling horse, should run well enough to factor and has best late #s behind the 11
5 – DEVIOUS
3 – DILMUNIA
Race 5 – 6 Furlongs, 37 races, 26 won by speed, 13 w2w – PP: Rail just 3 winners, 2+ play fair
4 – OLD PHO – last race was better than it ended with big gains in the first ½ miles, expecting a more complete effort in 2nd off the bench
3 – BELIEVING – limited resume says she’ll be at her best in the 3rd start off the break
1 – EPICUREAN – want to rank higher, but the rail just isn’t winning at the distance, TLRSP#, Distance 5/0-3-1
7 – GORMAN – has some early pace and gets Lasix for the first time
2 – FRACING NASTY
6 – PISTOL
Race 6 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 20 races, 14 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP Strong rail bias, 2-7 a little better than par, 8+ yet to win
5 – TANGLED EMOTIONS – biggest drop, TLRSP# on grass, cut back in distance and moves to dirt, getting 1st time blinkers, a decent work between races
1 – OUT WORK’N – strong rail bias, it could be wet tonight, had a fast work on mud May 24, 47.4
3 – TEO – major 2/4f improvement in his last, a maintenance work between, carried his speed longer in last and could be better in 2nd off the bench
6 – URBAN VANCOUVER – the first time starter with the best works, IMO, and doesn’t have much to beat beyond the top three
9 – LOOKINFOREXCITEMEN
8 – AMAZING ROCKET
2 – WHISKEY ROAN
4 – MAD ADAM
Race 7 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 11 races, 6 won off the pace, 1 w2w -PP: Rail and 8+ big bonus, 2/3 way under underperform, 4-7 slightly underperform
8 – ABSAM – 1st off the claim for trainer Michael Maker, 54 winners in 200 tries, drops in class here
3 – HIGHESTDISTINCTION – bullet work on May 26 in the mud, and a decent work before that on May 18
5 – OPRY –hasn’t races since September, Eddie C angle, mixed record after returning from a longish break
1 – KINGMEISTER – rail with speed, ran his best LP# last out and could step forward in 2nd off the bench
2 – LEBLON
7 – POLICY OPTION
4 – KOUFAX
Race 8 – 7 Furlongs, 14 races, 9 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP: Inside out bias
5 – PHAROAH’S HEART – missed as the favorite in her last, tr Steven Asmussen rebounds at 25%, a lot of good workouts since last start
6 – MINUTE WALTZ – been on the bench since November 21, but CD is the right place to come back 5/1-1-3
9 – BE LIKE WATER – not the biggest fan of MDW winner in 9th try, but TLRSP# and tr Victoria Oliver wins 28% following MDN win
4 – FLASHY CHARGE – got off to slowish start in last and still ran some of her best fractions, 1 trip on a wet track and is lone win and it was at CD
7 – LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH
8 – SOCIAL DILEMMA
2 – THANOZAPPER
‘
