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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks

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Horse Racing Today – Churchill Downs Picks – Wednesday, September 21, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Churchill Downs Full Card Picks

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks

CT- Money Charles’s Choices

  1. 4-5-1-3
  2. 10-12-5-2
  3. 2-3-7-5
  4. 3-6-5-1
  5. 7-1-3-2
  6. 7-8-5-4
  7. 6-9-8-5
  8. 4-8-3-7
  9. 14-10-9-6

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 6 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: major inside 3 bias

4 – VIOLENT GIGI – left arrow, has the top EP# and top LP#, very consistent horse

7 – BEVERLY’S CHARGE – has the best CD numbers, 2nd off the claim tr Donald Habeeb winner 5/13

1 – WEST WARPATH – rides the high win rate rail, tr Jeff Hiles goes back to back Ws at 26%

5 – HEAVENLY TRIP – TLRSP#, ships in from Belterra, tr Matt Kordenbrock 0-29 with shippers

 

Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: 2 winners rail, 1 from 2/3 and 4-7

8 – PLENTY OF TIME – good works, tr Thomas Drury, Jr hits at 22% debuting at MSW

3 – MUST BE THE MONEY – a lot of fast works getting ready, but tr Paul McGee 0-27 1st timers

10 – CORTESE – best of the experienced horse? Fast works getting ready after short break

2 – INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER – bullet 4f work on September 15, fastest of 19

 

Race 3 – 6 Furlongs, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: 2 winners rail, 1 from 2/3 and 4-7

3 – NANA’S GRAY – won her last two at CD and 2/3 overall, every other track 7/1-0-1

4 – SMILE AT THE STORM – TLRSP#, good works getting ready for 1st race since April 28

1 – BLOSSOM ROAD – horse for the course, CD 3/2-1-0, elsewhere 12/0-0-1, good workouts say she’ll run another good one

2 – FABRICATE – could be the favorite, strong CD #s, but tr Juan Cano 2/38 going from turf to dirt

 

Race 4 – 1 1/16 Miles, 2 races, both off the pace, all winners 4-7

3 – MOLIERE – 3rd after a layoff, last 3rd off a layoff was best of the 3 and a win at CD, distance 7/3-0-2

1 – ALTERED – speed horse that should compete for the lead, Hollywood Hay angle

5 – RYE HUMOR – top LP horse, drops in class and could be better in 2nd off the break

4 – THRU THE VINE – left arrow horse, last two workouts real improvement from previous works

 

Race 5 – 1 1/16 Miles, 2 races, both off the pace, all winners 4-7

1 – BIG BAD DIVA – big race last out, ran well last two off the bench on dirt 2-2, fast track 6/4-1-1

7 – SHE’S A DIME – has a +EP edge and the top EP/LP in the race

2 – FAMILY TIME – drops in class, really consistent performer, you’ll have to beat him

4 – SUNNY ISLE BEACH – tough call over the 3, but I’m going with the one with CD experience

3 – PRETTI XTREME

 

Race 6 – 6 Furlongs, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: 2 winners rail, 1 from 2/3 and 4-7

All first-time starters ranked by works

3 – GOLDEN FATE – tr Thomas Amoss 18% winner Debut MSW

7 – KING D’ORO – tr Todd Pletcher 19% 1st timers, $230k horse

2 – SINGLE DOT YAHT – tr Thomas Drury, jr 22% MSW debut

12 – STREET SWAGG – bullet and go

11 – SEAS OF NORMANDY – another bullet and go

 

Race 7 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 6 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: major inside 3 bias

8 – ALEXANDROS – LS – 1st start since Jan, good works getting ready, won last 3 fresh starts, 2 at CD
6 – BEVERLY PARK – horse for the distance, 7/6-1-0, CD 4/2-1-0

3 – FLAMINGO HAWK – left arrow horse, TLRSP#, 2/2 at Distance, but struggled at CD 4/0-0-1

9 – WILD BEHAVIOR – tough call over the 10, but I’ll take the speed of two to match track bias

 

Race 8 – 6 Furlongs, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: 2 winners rail, 1 from 2/3 and 4-7

4 – KAVOD – left arrow horse, tie TLRSP#, better ATB in last and could be better in 2nd off a layoff

8 – HOIST THE GOLD – has the top LP and top ranked EP/LP horse,

6 – BURNINHUNKOFLOVE – should get a comfortable trip, decent works since last race July 3, distance 2/1-1-0

1 – OVERTAXED – another hard call over the 7, but 7 CD 6/1-0-0, rides hot rail, Mike Smith angle

 

Race 9 – 6 Furlongs, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: 2 winners rail, 1 from 2/3 and 4-7

9 – OFFUTT COLE – TLRSP# and drops multiple classes, 19% angle for tr Jason Barkley

14 – AWESOME CHARGE – lightly raced, drops multiple classes – 26% angle for tr Robertino Diodoro

6 – T MONEY – gets a significant weight break, very consistent performer, distance 4/0-2-1
10 – BARONNE – one of the biggest droppers, maybe, tr Thomas Amoss winner 19/54

12 – RIKIO – much better 2/4f EP#s in last

Churchill Downs Pace Worksheet

Churchill Downs Pace Worksheet 9-21-2022

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