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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks

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Horse Racing Today – Churchill Downs Tips Live – Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Churchill Downs Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley

Picks with the Professor’s Play of the Day

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks and Commentary

Charles Tango’s Tips

  1. 8,6,2,4
  2. 5,4,2,3
  3. 6,5,1,2
  4. 1,4,7,6
  5. 7,5,10,8
  6. 7,6,1,4
  7. 3,2,7,5
  8. 6,3,5,1
  9. 4,1,11,10

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2-7 bias, 1 and 8+ penalty

8 – AWESOME CHARGE – TLRSP# and drops in class, 2nd off the claim for tr Chris Hartman 35% winner

6 – PRIVATE CONNIE – has the top LP in the race and second best combo of EP/LP

7 – KENRIC – bullet work on the 29th and should be close to the front all the way around the track

1 – SCOTCH NO ROCKS – could be close to the front and improved a lot late in his last

 

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Slight Edge Stalkers, outside bias

2 – BOURBONWITHGINGER – show better fractions at 7f v 6f, distance 5-1-1-2

5 – SUPER CAT LADY – all or nothing at CD 4/2-0-0 – won last big, maybe better in 3rd off a layoff

3 – EDGEE ANGEL – has a ++LP advantage and best combo, small Z

1 – CANARY – drops in class and 3/2-0-0 at the distance

 

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Slight Edge Stalkers, outside bias

6 – DALLAS VOLUNTEER – 3rd off the bench, 1st off the claim – 19% winner for tr Chris Hartman

5 – SPARE A DIME – won her last by 7 ½ lengths with major improvement in the last half

2 – BIG JAVA – was better ATB in her last – 50/50 in the 3rd off the bench

1 – FOUR DAWN – showed better in the fist half mile on her last start and has a work between

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Slight Edge Stalkers, outside bias

9 – DRENA’S STAR – by far the best CD numbers, and by far the best numbers at the distance

6 – COOL RUNNINGS – most consistent performer in the group but 0-3 at CD

8 – RELEASED – tied for the TLRSP# and ITM Distance 10/2-4-2

7 – BIG BELLA BROWN – won his last by 2 ¼ lengths and could be better in the 2nd off a layoff

 

Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed and mostly fair

5 – O’CONNER SUNSET – could be lone speed, was well bet in debut, TLRSP#

7 – CAMBIASO – one of the bigger class droppers, 4SP# increases

10 – BREAD WINNER – better fractions in last despite going a furlong longer

4 – GRIMES – going long for the first time, strong debut early

 

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, penalty 1 and 8+, 2-7 fair

1 – CARBONITE – TLRSP# and should be a little better in 3rd off the break

6 – DRIVE FOR FUN – drops to claiming for the 1st time, hoping for improvement in 3rd after a layoff

2 – PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE – very consistent performer, drops in class in yet another 3rd off the bench starter, almost ++ LP edge

7 – AMERICAN ICON – bullet work says maybe ready to run back to w2w debut

 

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Bias: Early Speed, penalty 1 and 8+, 2-7 fair

3 – HITTING BOMBS – has a +++LP advantage and might not be far off the pace, 1st Lasix helps

2 – FLOKI’S FLIGHT – TLRSP# and that Oct 29 4f work of 46.02 is super fast

7 – WAR ROOM – was betting favorite in debut flashed speed and struggled in last in a route with early race excuses, going back to a sprint and switching to Tyler G

5 – TOP SECRET – take a flyer with the 1st timer, has some nice works getting prepped, tough call over the 6

 

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Off the pace and major rail penalty

3 – CLASSIC MOMENT – likely better in 2nd start after a longer layoff, won lone CD race, maintenance work between races

1 – GRANTHAM – decent Churchill training track works, has some EP and gets 1st Lasix

6 – BEN DIESEL – very strong race off the bench, 3 works between races, 2 stellar including a bullet

4 – POLICY OPTION – +/ LP edge, will be rolling late in a race that has a chance to be quick, Tom horse

 

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Slight Edge Stalkers, outside bias

11 – PENITENT’S ROSE – should be involved from go to photo – top EP/LP combo

1 – PLEASE BE KIND – drops in class and has three maintenance works between races

5 – CAMI CAT – has a +EP edge and might be better in R3 off the bench

4 – PUGLIA – been off for almost a year, decent late legs and gets 1st Lasix

 

Churchill Downs Way to Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet

Churchill Downs Pace 11-9-22

 

 

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