Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Rich flies solo again…
Horse Racing Picks
Colonial Downs Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s MLB Play of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes
Colonial Downs Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile, 3 races, 2 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: all wins 4-7
2 – MOM’S TOWN – catches Lasix for the 2nd time, better fractions last out, TLRSP#
6 – SWAG IS ON – PID MSW dropper, getting 1st Lasix, 34% winner for tr Larry Rivelli
7 – BALI BALIFLY – dropping a little in class, but back to MCL debut level, was better in race #2 b a little
1 – LUCIDITY – left arrow horse, going long for the first time, could speed her up and put on lead
Race 2 – 1 Mile Inner Turf, 34 races, 18 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: inside 3 penalty, 4-7 bonus, 8+ penalty
7 – MO FIRE – was better ATB in first at CLNL and better fractions
6 – PALM READER – drops in class, has some of the most back class, hasn’t run since October, has done OK off long breaks
8 – REYNA DE VERANO – could be better in the 3rd start after a layoff, CLNL 6/2-0-1, everywhere else 9/0-0-1
1 – STARTWITHABANG – tie for the TLRSP# and drops in class, has a +LP edge
Race 3 – 1 Mile, 3 races, 2 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: all wins 4-7
4 – WORLD OF WONDER – fast 6/3-1-1, won last two and they weren’t close, better in 2nd half of last effort
3 – TEXIAN– going long for the 1st time, tr Claude McGuaghey wins at 22%, maybe better in 3rd off the bench
5 – HASHTAG LUCKY – Left Arrow Horse, has +4f edge, TLRSP#, some maintenance works between races
2 – FRECCIA D’ARGENTO – ships in from GP, gets a weight break, some decent works at CLNL getting ready
Race 4 – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf, 32 races, 19 won off the pace, 4 w2w – PP: rail bonus, 2-7 fair, 8+ small penalty
2 – DETERMINED CRUSH – should be better in 2nd start, bullet work since last
4 – LUCK IN THE DUSK – was well bet in debut, another that should be better in race 2
3 – EVERY TIME – tr Keri Brion wins 25% debut turf, jy Victor Carrasco winning at 21%, Eddie C angle, 4 bullets in last 5 works
7 – G LAURIE – almost a bullet and go, 2/13 at 4f, tr Graham Motion and jy Jorge Ruiz winning at 27%, ITM 73%, ROI +0.17
Race 5 – 5 ½ Furlongs Outer Turf, 42 races, 23 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: outside in bias, 1-3 penalty
8 – KAMIKAZE FOX – MSW dropper, has back speed and gets 1st Lasix
3 – DRAGON RUN – TLRSP#, gets a weight break, was much better in career race #2
4 – MOON SIGN – tr Brittany Russell hits at 30% when debuting at MC, decent works getting ready
9 – BALI ROLLING TIDE – bullet and go, work before that was good too
Race 6 – 1 1/8 Miles Outer Turf, 4 races, 3 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: 1 win 4-7, 8+ 3 wins
5 – FREDISATEN – never missed the board 4/1-1-2, has some of the best pedigree, first Lasix
8 – NOMADIC FIGHTER – downs in class after TLRSP#, was better late in last
3 – NOBLE CROSS – resume says it’s possible to rebound in 4th start off the sidelines
11 – CHAOTIC TEMPO – likely pacesetter, PPs says he should improve noticeably in 3rd off the bench
Race 7 – 1 Mile Inner Turf, 34 races, 18 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: inside 3 penalty, 4-7 bonus, 8+ penalty
1 – BALLYHOO PRINCE – LS – knocking on CLN door 4/0-2-1, maybe in 3rd off the bench
7 – GENERAL STRIKE – just missed in last, should be part of the EP, consistent performance
4 – BLAME B B – MSW to MCL dropper, Z pattern in last, much better effort late
8 – THE LAST SCIP – TLRSP#, been close in the last two, cutting back 1/8 today could help
Race 8 – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf, 32 races, 19 won off the pace, 4 w2w – PP: rail bonus, 2-7 fair, 8+ small penalty
1 – TAKAFUMI – dropping multiple classes after TLRSP#, tr Michael Maker wins 22%,
4 – CITY PLAN – other left arrow horse, faster fractions last out, gets a weight break today
6 – ACKER – has the top LP number in the field, + with the 8 scratched
3 – MIRACLE SILVER – down in class, real solid effort in last with similar numbers start to finish
Race 9 – 5 ½ Furlongs Outer Turf, 42 races, 23 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: outside in bias, 1-3 penalty
1 – LONTANO – distance 8/4-3-0, won last and could improve in 2nd start after a layoff, top LP#
2 – STRIKE ME DOWN – just missed in last, resume says 2nd off bench is usually a lot better than the 1st
7 – HAMMER LANE – faster fractions at 7f than 5 1/2f, gets a weight break and fist Lasix with speed
8 – THE CONNECTOR – down in class, 2nd start with tr Mark Hoffman, 25% winner, 1 for 1 at CLNL
Race 10 – 1 Mile Inner Turf, 34 races, 18 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: inside 3 penalty, 4-7 bonus, 8+ penalty
8 – HAD RIGHT – distance 4/0-3-1, much, much better in the 1st half of last race, TLRSP#, small drop
4 – GORUN – usually well bet, hit the gate at the start of his last,
1 – BIG RED CARDINAL – small class dropper, improved a little bit in career start #2, tr Derek Ryan and jy Sammy Camacho winner 3/10 +0.18 ROI
5 – A C’S ANALYZER – MSW dropper from CD 120k, 1st Lasix, OK works
Colonial Downs Pace Worksheet
