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Colonial Downs Horse Racing Picks

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Horse Racing Today – Colonial Downs Picks – Tuesday, August 9, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Rich is solo as Terry and Tom make their way to Saratoga

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Colonial Downs Horse Racing Tips and Analysis

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 1 Mile Inner Turf – 21 races, 11 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: 1-3 penalty, 4-7 bonus, 8+ a little under par

3 – MO CLARE’S – has a + edge at 2/4f, dropping in class from NGSTK 125k, not in for a claim

4 – AURUM – is an off and on horse, last race was off, bullet work since suggests on is coming this time

1 – UNRULY JULIE – has a +LP edge, major jump at the end last out, but 3/0-0-0 at Colonial

2 – FIONNBHARR – Denzel at Colonial 6/0-1-3, gets a weight break

 

Race 2 – 6 Furlongs – 13 races, 9 won by speed, 5 w2w -PP: rail bias, 2/3 fair, 4-7 slightly above par, 0 wins form 8+

7 – BLACK CURRENCY – LS – Left Arrow Horse, only MSW dropper, showed speed in debut on dirt

8 – EL GUAPO – TLRSP#, comes in from GP, flashes plenty of EP, but trend to hang late

5 – TACTICAL CHEECH – much better in the first ½ mile of last race, could be better in 3rd off the bench

6 – MAILMAN’S A FLYER – is the only other true class dropper, fast track 7/0-2-3, top LP#s

 

Race 3 – 1 Mile Inner Turf – 21 races, 11 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: 1-3 penalty, 4-7 bonus, 8+ a little under par

2 – EMBOLDEN – Left Arrow horse with the top LP, CLN 4/2-2-0, considerably faster fractions in last

6 – CRAZY KATER – CLNL 2/2-0-0, 4SP# increases in a row, maybe up his game in 3rd off the bench

7 – ALEX JOON – tr Lindsay Schultz won 3/6 in 2nd start after a layoff, drops for 125K NGSTK

3 – GUILLAUME – another Left Arrow horses, TLRSP#, some good works since last

 

Race 4 – 1 1/8 Miles Outer Turf – 1 race, won off the pace – PP: win came from 8+

8 – CATNIP – +LP and left arrow horse that should be close to the lead, trouble at the start if his debut

7 – SIEGE OF BOSTON – just missed in his last with major bump after long layoff, expecting more in R2 off the bench

1 – FLEETING ATTE – TLRSP# better ATB in last, TLRSP#, stepping up in class, huge jump in SP#, bounce? Or new level?

2 – HARD TRAVELER – 3rd start off the break, last/only 3 race cycle, third was best of the 3

 

Race 5 – 5 Furlongs – not enough data – but going to go with speed based on 6 furlongs

4 – HELDISH – BB – has a +EP, almost ++, TLRSP# and has some swift works since

5 – SIMPLY SUPER – won debut with big CD effort, struggled in a pair of NGSTK, but bullet work hints at a return to debut form

6 – BANDITS HEART – 1st time starter, decent works getting ready, tr John Robb hits at 22% first out

2 – GENERAL J R – Denzel all the way, 4/0-3-0, better fractions at 7f than 6f

 

Race 6 – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – 24 races, 14 won off the pace, 3 w2w -PP: Rail Bias, 2-7 a little over par, 8+ penalty

14 – BEASTIE GIRL – drops in class off after tying TLRSP#, has a ++ LP advantage, TURF 4/0-2-1

5 – STEPSTONES – 3SP# increases, the other to tie for TLRSP#, could continue to improve in 3rd after a layoff, + edge at 2/4f

1 – SUWANNEE CHICK – much better fractions in her last, much better in the first ½ mile

12 – COFFEE BEAN – one of the biggest class droppers, bullet work between races

 

Race 7 – 5 Furlongs – not enough data – but going to go with speed based on 6 furlongs

9 – NAVAL EMPIRE – beat some of these in her debut, a good works since

4 – COCKTAIL DREAMING – TLRSP#, has some back speed and gets first time Lasix

3 – GENIEINABRIDLE – was the favorite in her debut, finished 2nd, gets Lasix here

2 – LIVANA – finished 2nd behind top pick, has a couple of good works since

 

Race 8 – 1 Mile Inner Turf – 21 races, 11 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: 1-3 penalty, 4-7 bonus, 8+ a little under par

7 – STRONG HEADED – lone PC horse in the field, is usually very close at the end, CLNL 2/1-1-0, Distance 5/1-1-2

6 – COLONIST – won his last and first at Colonial with better fractions, stepping up in class

5 – MEDICINE TAIL – going to try grass for the 1st time, AW and Off dirt suggest he’ll like it, drops in class, LP1

3 – THE QUEENS JULES – Left Arrow horse, should be closer to the front than usual and can close

4 – CLINT MAROON – has a + 2/4f edge is likely to be better in 2nd off the bench

 

Race 9 –  BOX – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – 24 races, 14 won off the pace, 3 w2w -PP: Rail Bias, 2-7 a little over par, 8+ penalty

5 – SMILE BRYAN – Left Arrow horse coming off a claiming win, tr Derek Ryan winner 45% with clm repeaters

2 – SPEED GAME – is 2/2 at Colonials, better 2/4 pace#s in last, could be a little better in 3rd off the bench

8 – PACKED HOUSE – won his last by 7 lengths, usually a big effort is followed by another, TLRSP#

6 – CLEAR N CONVINCING – takes over as the top LP with 1 after the 9 scratched, Larry Rivelli hitting at 31% with shippers vs 23% overall

 

Race 10 – 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – 24 races, 14 won off the pace, 3 w2w -PP: Rail Bias, 2-7 a little over par, 8+ penalty

2 – POWER THROUGH – stays in the claiming ranks off a win, tr Chris Block winner 3/6, w jy Loveberry winning at 35% and +0.33 ROI

11 – ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS – has some of the most LP for this group, resume says he’ll improve a touch in 2nd start after a layoff

4 – TITRATE – has two wins in three at Colonial, top LP by a little, EP horse that should get a good trip

5 – JUSTIN’S QUEST – Left Arrow horse that closes, but his EP numbers put him closer to the front than usual – TLRSP# and drops in class

Colonial Downs Pace Worksheet

Colonial Downs Pace Worksheet 8-9-22

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