Horse Racing Today – Del Mar Picks Live – Saturday, November 19, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Del Mar Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Hawthorne

Picks with the Professor’s Play of the Day

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks and Commentary

Charles Tango’s Tips

1. 1,4,7,6
2. 2,6,1,5
3. 2,4,7,5
4. 6,5,1,2
5. 5,9,3,8
6. 1,6,4,3
7. 8,3,1,5
8. 6,5,4,1
9. 1,3,5,7

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Off the Pace and fair PPs

1 – DOC ADAMS – better pace#s 1^st half mile in last, 1^st off the claim 19% for 12% tr Steve Knapp, O+, L1

6 – FORE FLAG – has a +EP edge at 2f, Del Mar 4/0-3-1, not the biggest fan of MSW risers but resume says better in R2 off the bench

4 – WORSE READ SANCHEZ – should be closing, ran a little bit better fraction last out

3 – BIG HAND – crazy fast opening half in last, nice works between races 2^nd off the layoff 24% for 14% tr Tim Yakteen

 

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical with absolute Outside In PP Bias

6 – MICKY FROM WEXFORD – has some versatility as EP horse and has best LP, weight break

4 – JOKER BOY – all or nothing horse Del Mar 5/2-0-0 with top DM effort

2 – AS AMATTER OF FACT – left arrow horse, first time Gelded with a bullet on Nov 11, fastest of 41

1 – BOCHOMBO – could be the pacesetter and has the top EP/LP combo, from turf to dirt, where he ran his best numbers by a decent margin

 

Race 3: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed with and Outside In PP Bias

4 – LEXINGTON HUMOR – Left Arrow Horse with the top EP/LP combo

2 – PAMMY’S READY – drops from a G3, Del Mar 3/1-2-0, Lone EP horse

7 – THAT’S AMARE – Juan Hernandez and tr Philip D’Amato won 4/13 and ITM 11/13 for +0.57 ROI

1 – COUNTESS ROSINA – TLRSP# and drops form a NGSTK, three decent works between races

 

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with mostly fair PPs

1 – SO IT WOULD SEEM – has a + EP edge at 2/4f, some really nice works since her last

5- LITTLE RACHEL – has a +LP advantage, tr Jeff Bonde hits at 23% with winners staying in claiming vs 15% overall

6 – BOWL OF CHERRIES – regressed in last, all recent regressions were followed by a rebound, just needs to run back 1 race, lone PC

4 – FOCUS FIRST – lone P that should be better in the 3^rd off the break, trying blinkers for the 1^st time, 25% winner for tr Jonanthan Wong 20% overall

 

Race 5: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed with and Outside In PP Bias

3 – CAPTAIN SPARROW – like the works, OCT 16th work of 3f in 35.2 is fast

9 – SEAL TEAM – looking at that OCT 24^th work, 5f in 59.4 – almost fast enough to win this

5 – REXFORD – ran better fractions and was better ATB as BTN FAV in last, tr Philip D’Amato rebounds at 24%

6 – BLUEGRASS GO GO – tough call over the 7, but tr Doug O’Neill is hot to start Del Mar meet and better at debuting on turf

 

Race 6: 7  Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Outside In PP bias and no rail winners in 10

2 – PARODY – LS – Left Arrow Horse with the top LP and +O,

1 – JUSTIQUE – slow start in G2 as BTN FAV in last, blistering 5f work on NOV 13 says she runs back to dominant debut win, don’t like the post

6 – BLESSED TOUCH – was better ATB in last, huge bump getting MSW win in 2^nd try, TLRSP# but worried about regression

4 – HUNTINGCOCO – last was not good late, needs to run back to debut, looks more like a sprinter, 7f could be on the edge of current ability

 

Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Off the Pace and fair PPs

1 – ONE MORE BID – Left Arrow Horse with +O, tie TLRSP and bullet work, Chris P angle to the test

8 – ONE TIME MARK – tough call over all the rest, but lone E that ran much faster fractions last out and still nearly hung on – if he can go just a little slower – w2w

5 – SIX MAGPIES – big rally in Irish debut, but not at a top tier track, would like to see a US work

3 – QUINTECENTS – always close, very consistent performer, seems to hang late

 

Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Outside In PP bias and no rail winners in 10

4 – BIG CITY LIGHTS – fast works, has a +EP edge, stumbled at the start of last or could be 4-0 all w2w – clean start and he goes w2w here as lone E

5 – THE CHOSEN VRON – winner 2 in a row, 9/6-1-1 on fast dirt has the most LP

2 – COALINGA ROAD – let’s try to sneak in a price with the lone P

6 – NONE ABOVE THE LAW – will try to close, just struggles to win

 

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Closers from PPs 2-7, big penalties rail and 8+
wide open race

5 – KITTY KITANA – drops in class from a G3 and has a bullet work since

4 – GILLIAN ELIZABETH – has the most late pace in a field of horses that like to be towards the back, bullet work suggests she’ll move a little closer to the front

10 – BATYAH – ships in from the east coast, has the most EP/LP and 4SP# increases

3 – GIMME MO BABY – been close to the top pick on two of her last three races

12 (AE) – LADY JAE – small Left Arrow Horse, better fractions last out, likely to improve in 2nd off the bench if she gets in

Del Mar Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet