Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Del Mar Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Saratoga Best Bet
Picks with the Professor’s MLB Play of the Day –
Full MLB picks on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALxL-pCe5vk&feature=youtu.be
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Woodbine
Del Mar Racetrack Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry ‘Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Happy Gal – She was well bet and finished 3rd in her debut race only losing by a neck.
1 – Heart of the Night – She is a first-time starter who was purchased for $275,000, has good workouts including a bullet workout on July-28.
8 – La Peer – She is a first-time starter whose jockey in the last 7 days has this record (27 7-3-7) and she has a decent workout Jul-28.
3 – Queenzy – She finished 2nd in her debut race earning the highest last race speed rating and has good workouts for her return to the races.
Alternate:
13 – Pride of the Nile
11 – Candy Caramel
Race 2
8 – Li’l Grazen – She switches to a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (27 7-3-7), has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Righteously – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race earning the highest last race speed rating.
3 – It’s a Riddle – She has been competing in 1000 Yard races but has finished in the money in eight out of ten races at Del Mar and has won at today’s distance.
1 – Trouble N Paradise – She won her last race at Los Alamitos and the trainer wins 24% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
5 – Lady Protonico
7 – Queen Verrazano
Race 3
10 – Peligroso – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race at 5-furlongs and stretches out to a mile which may be what she needs.
1 – Velvet – She has finished in the money in all four of her career races, finishing 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning Jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (27 7-3-7).
8 – Kitty Kitana – She finished 3rd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Gimme Mo Baby – She has the highest last race speed rating and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-0-2).
Alternate:
2 – Tiergarten
5 – Adelie
Race 4
6 – Donner Lake – He finished 3rd (on Turf) in last race, has a high % winning trainer, a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (27 7-3-7) and a good 5F workout on July-28th.
5 – Hero Status – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and a good 5F workout on July-29th.
2 – Palagio – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 3-0-0).
1 – Go Joe Won – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has three bullet workouts in a row.
Alternate:
4 – Surrogate
7 – Lord Sheldon
Race 5
6 – Goldini – His best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; he has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (8 2-2-2) and a good 4F workout on July-30th.
3 – Settecento – He finished 1st and 2nd in his last three races.
2 – Ethan’s Animal – His breeding suggests he will like the grass and he should improve at the longer distance.
10 – Today Matters – He won his last race at Los Alamitos and his trainer wins 25% of the time in a claiming race.
Alternate:
12 – Cool Your Jets
9 – Rvindicated
Race 6
5 – Empire Pass – She finished 3rd in her last race and should improve while returning to dirt.
1 – Loma Vista – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race receiving the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a good 4F workout on July-29th.
2 – Shared Future – She finished 4th beaten only 1-3/4 lengths vs tougher in her last start and has a trainer who wins 25%of the time in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
8- One Silk Stocking – She won her last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (27 7-3-7).
Alternate:
4 – Everlys Girl
7 – Midnight’s Girl
Race 7
7 – Snark – She won her last race at Santa Anita, has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on July-29th.
1 – Woodbine Way – Her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she should improve at the shorter distance.
8 – Champagne Camie – She was off to a slow at the start in her last race and ran 8th and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (27 7-3-7).
3 – Pammy’s Ready – She has a trainer who wins 20% of the time in Sprints, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a good 3F workout on July-30th.
Alternate:
10 – Lexington Humor
11 – Coruscation
Race 8
6 – So Softly – She finished 2nd in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she should improve returning to a route.
4 – Fliplit – She switches to a high % winning jockey and the trainer wins 31% of the time the 1st time he puts blinkers on a horse.
5 – Slam Diego – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
10 – Jewelofakid – She came in from Churchill Downs after being claimed by a trainer who wins 25% of the time in the 1st race after claiming a horse and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
2 – No People
8 – Big Rosie
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 Furlongs Turf, 7 races, 5 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: 0 from the rail, 2/3 discount, 4-7 fair, 8+ Bonus
11 – CANDY CARAMEL – tr Peter Miller hits at 31% in 2nd career races, three good works since debut, was well bet
8 – LA PEER – 1st time starter, Philip D’Amato and Juan Hernandez strongest jy/tr combo – OK works but strong pedigree for distance/surface
2 – BALENCIAGA BETTY – three really good works leading into today
1 – HEART OF THE NIGHT – bullet and go, alpha angle
12 – THREE STRANDS – some good works getting ready, jy Umberto Rispoli hitting at 23%
3 – QUEENZY
6 – HAPPY GAL
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 8 races, 6 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: outside in bias, 0 from rail, 2/3 underperform, 4-7 fair, 8+ bonus
2 – RIGHTEOUSLY – 2 wins in 3 races at Del Mar, better first ½ mile last out, fractions were faster too, 2 maintenance works between starts
8 – LI’L GRAZEN – top Del Mar number and it’s not close, works getting ready for return are blah
1 – TROUBLE N PARADISE – 2nd run after a claim, 24% angle for tr Sergio Morfin, distance 5/2-1-1, EP type that can be pilot or co pilot and still win, just need to be in the cockpit
3 – IT’S A RIDDLE – Del Mar 10/0-4-4, gets a good weight break and closes, win? Probably not, ITM, maybe late
6 – ISLAND LIFE
7 – QUEEN VERRAZANO
Race 3 – 1 Mile Turf, 16 races, 11 won off the pace, 4 2w2 – PP: rail bonus, 2/3 underperform, 4-7 bonus, 8+ underperform
8 – KITTY KITANA – BB – won’t be 5/2 – I think closer to 6/5, maybe lower, just missed in a G3 and with a little luck, could be undefeated in her 2 US races since coming from Ireland, extra 1 ½ furlongs helps
1 – VELVET – been a money burner, BTN favorite 3 in a row, tr Richard Mandella hits at 30%, 4/0-3-1
2 – TIERGARTEN – going to take a few flyers, Mike Smith rides in career start #2, tr Clifford Sise, Jr hits at 22% 2nd career race and 28% first route
4 – RED TIARA – has a +pace edge at 4f, if no other horse goes with her, she should run free on the lead from start to finish
6 – UNWHIRLED
10 – PELIGROSO
9 – GRANOLA GIRL
Race 4 – 1 Mile, 9 races, 5 won off the pace, 2 w2w -PP: strong outside in, 0 from rail. 1 from 2/3, fair 4-7, strong bonus 8+
5 – HERO STATUS – left arrow horse, should be close to the pace, plenty of late pop, 3 SP# increases in a row
6 – DONNER LAKE – left arrow too, just missed with Juan Hernandez in last despite some early race trouble,
2 – PALAGIO – has a +LP edge over the field, EP#s say he’ll need all of it because he is likely to be coming from the back
1 – GO JOE WON – three straight bullet workouts say he could come off the bench on fire
7 – LORD SHELDON
4 – SURROGATE
Race 5 – 1 Mile Turf, 16 races, 11 won off the pace, 4 2w2 – PP: rail bonus, 2/3 underperform, 4-7 bonus, 8+ underperform
12 – COOL YOUR JETS – run OK at Del Mar 10/1-3-1, two of the best off the best, ITM 6/10, if he gets in
6 – GOLDINI – has a +4f edge over the field, C’mon, everybody knows you play Philip D’Amato on grass
5 – CONSTANT CONFLICT – got the maiden win at MSW 61k, one of the highest in the field, helps identify class
10 – TODAY MATTERS – MCL 20k risers isn’t my favorite, but the three most recent grass goes fit here
8 – BRAVESTONE – absolute flyer but won MSW 67k on turf and other turf number wasn’t far off from winning number – again MSW win can be class identifier
3 – SETTECENTO
Race 6 – 6 Furlongs, 8 races, 6 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: outside in bias, 0 from rail, 2/3 underperform, 4-7 fair, 8+ bonus
6 – BLAME IT ON ROSE – LS – won two of three at Del Mar, lone off the board finish race was over at the start getting sandwiched
5 – EMPIRE PASS – 4 times on a fast track, 4/2-0-2, decent works getting ready, should get a trip that fits her winning runs
2 – SHARED FUTURE – drops of the claim for Robertino Diodoro withs at 32%, was better 2/4 last out
1 – LOMA VISTA – top LP#s in the field, tie TLRSP#, 5 good works since
8 – ONE SILK STOCKING
9 – DANCING SOUL
Race 7 – 5 Furlongs Turf, 7 races, 5 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: 0 from the rail, 2/3 discount, 4-7 fair, 8+ Bonus
5 – STRESSED – kind of hard to overlook tr Peter Eurton winning 4/5 in second start off the claim and TLRSP# in first start with Eurton
8 – CHAMPAGNE CAMIE – Juan Hernandez rides, last and only ride was w2w win at Del Mar/Distance/Surface
10 – LEXINGTON HUMOR – if he gets in, first two races would be good enough to win, concerning Rispoli gets on the 3
2 – DEL MAR DRAMA – has the top LP#s in a race that’s loaded with speed. If it breaks down, will capitalize
7 – SNARK – a bunch of bullets getting ready, Joe Bravo rode 3 times, a win and 2 seconds
3 – PAMMY’S READY
Race 8 – 1 Mile, 9 races, 5 won off the pace, 2 w2w -PP: strong outside in, 0 from rail. 1 from 2/3, fair 4-7, strong bonus 8+
5 – SLAM DIEGO – comes in from CD, TLRSP# and can run from the front or back, much better late
10 – JEWELOFAKID – class dropper from CD for Robertino Diodoro, winner 25% off the claim
6 – SO SOFTLY – better late last out, has enough EP to be close to the front all the way around the track
4 – FLIPLIT – tr Andy Mathis hits at 26% going MSW to MCL, but debuted at this level with a 3rd place by a ½ length at GG
11 – CHARLOTTE HARBOR – class dropper making 3rd start off a break, was much better late in race 2
3 – PARCO
Del Mar Pace Worksheet
