Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Delaware Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Belmont Park Best Bet
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Penn National
Delaware Park Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Spikezone – He is a first- time starter, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance, and he has several good workouts.
6 – Mission Key – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race at Delaware Park and received the highest last race speed rating – He switches to a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Silver R – He is a first- time starter, his Sire wins 21% of the time with 1st time Starters and he has a good 4F workout on Jun-15.
3 – Gordo’s Choice– He is a first- time starter, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and his jockey in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-1-2).
Race 2
1 – Hazels Little Man – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at Delaware Park, has the highest last race speed rating, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – War of Thrones – He has finished in the money in two of his last three races, winning one of the starts and he drops in class today.
3 – Opus Equus – He was better last year and tries to regain his past form by dropping in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (14 5-1-2) and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Jaime Jamel
7 – Oxbow Wind
Race 3
7 – Bourbon Over Ice – He switches to a high % winning jockey, should improve while returning to dirt and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-1).
1 – Sutton Valley –The rail post is winning at 25% clip; he drops in class today and can improve while returning to dirt.
2 – Triple Titos – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
3 – Big Irish Eyes – He came in from Golden Gate Fields to race at Delaware Park, but lost the rider in the first race, I am going to give him another chance.
Alternate:
6 – Diablo D Oro
Race 4
1 – Lanfrankophile – She won her last race at Monmouth Park and comes back to Delaware where she won her only start–The rail post is winning at 25% clip, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the jockey in last 7 days has this record (14 5-1-2).
3 – Spicy Margarita – She finished 3rd in her last race at Laurel Park, has the highest last race speed rating and is eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff.
7 – Echo Foxtrot – She won her debut race at Laurel Park; the trainer wins 37% of the claiming races he has an entry in and Lasix is added.
4 – Justhappy – She finished in 6th in her last race after breaking slowly but finished in the money in the six races before winning one of the contests and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Great Baroness
2 – Fortes
Race 5
11 – Liveforthesong – He has finished last in his last race after experiencing major problems during the race, winning the one before – He drops in class today, his breeding suggests he will like the grass as the Dam has produced 2 Turf winners.
5 – Papa Jimmy – He drops in class today and May improve while returning to a route.
2 – Shed a Tear – He drops in class today and the trainer wins 50% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
14 – Soaking Wet – He finished 2nd in his last race at the Tampa Bay Downs and is trying Delaware Park for the first time.
Race 6
5 – Shacks Way – He won his last three races at three different tracks – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer/jockey combo who in the last 7 days has this record (3 2-1-0).
4 – Fourteeneightyfour – He is undefeated in two career starts winning his last race at Delaware Park and has the highest last race speed – Lasix is added.
2 – The King Cheek – He won his last race at Finger Lakes and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Straight Shot – He has won two out of the last four races winning the last race at PARX Racing and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
1 – Kenny Had a Notion
3 – Rileys Dude
Race 7
12 – Equal Measure – She finished in the money in her last three races, finishing 2nd vs similar in the last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % trainer.
2 – Stir Crazy – She has finished in the money in five of her six career starts, finishing 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (14 5-1-2).
8 – Dawn – She won her last race at Tampa Bay Downs and has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Blue Neith – She finished in the money in five of her last six races, winning one of the starts.
Race 8
4 – Simply Valid – He has won two out of his last five races, drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes.
3 – Buttoned Up – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at Delaware Park and has a good workout.
6 – Yo Nessroundonkern – He has the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
5 – Always Drinking – He is one for one at Delaware Park, has a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 19% of the races when bringing a horse back from being 46-90 days away.
Alternate:
2 – Backatya
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 Furlongs, 24 races, 21 won by speed, 10 w2w – PP: Strong rail bias the rest are mostly fair
2 – SILVER R – if the morning line make likes the 4, you have to like the 2 as well, similar workouts but one year older
4 – SPIKEZONE – Jamie Ness 1st time starter with good Laurel Park works, teams with jy Jaime Rodriguez, pair wind at 29% together, down a touch
3 – GORDO’S CHOICE – another first time starter with OK works, just not as good as top 2
6 – MISSION KEY – the experienced horse with the best numbers, TLRSP#, going back to a sprint
Race 2 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 18 races, 13 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: 2/3 bias, rail fair, 4+ penalty, 0 wins 8+
1 – HAZELS LITTLE MAN – should be better in the 2nd start after a layoff, TLRPS# anyway and the Jaime/Jamie combo again
3 – OPUS EQUUS – track drop from OP and class drop, OK works getting ready, gets a top jockey in Carol Cedeno
2 – WAR OF THRONES – ships in from Monmouth, gets a weight break, drops a couple of classes
5 – JAIME JAMEL
Race 3 – 6 Furlongs, 24 races, 21 won by speed, 10 w2w – PP: Strong rail bias the rest are mostly fair
1 – SUTTON VALLEY – has a really aggressive EP advantage, rides the dominate rail and drops a few classes – should be w2w
7 – BOURBON OVER ICE – track dropper from GP – been cleaning up with track droppers, a little worried about blah Delaware work
2 – TRIPLE TITOS – cuts back in distance and class, last race was a little better than it looks with similar fractions at 1 mile compares to 6f
3 – BIG IRISH EYES
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 24 races, 21 won by speed, 10 w2w – PP: Strong rail bias the rest are mostly fair
1 – LANFRANKOPHILE – comes in from Monmouth, little drop in class, better LP#s last out, 4/2-1-1 at 6f
7 – ECHO FOXTROT – won his debut with a sharp performance, gets 1st Lasix here and jy Jorge Ruiz 8/5-2-0 at DP
3 – SPICY MARGARITA – TLRSP# at Laurel Park, improved pace# in last and is likely better in round 2 after a layoff
6 – MY BOSS – will likely press for the lead, Eddie C angle, June 11th work, fastest of 54, but has need a tune up race
Race 5 – 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – moved to dirt
2 – SHED A TEAR – tr Victor Carrasco, Jr winner 5/10 when dropping 2+ classes, top EP/LP combo of what’s left after scratches
5 – PAPA JIMMY – should be 2nd 3rd out of the gate and has a strong LP edge
11 – LIVEFORTHESONG – likely to be co-pilot and ran well on and good track last out
6 – ROCKY DICE – has a win and third in two on and off track
Race 6 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 18 races, 13 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: 2/3 bias, rail fair, 4+ penalty, 0 wins 8+
5 – SHACKS WAY – speed demon, likely to get the lead and could hold on, muddy track is concern
4 – FOURTEENEIGHTYFOUR – hasn’t raced since last August, but won only two races EZ, works are only OK getting ready, but has plenty of speed before going to the barn and gets 1st Lasix
2 – THE KING CHEEK – runs OK off the bench, like today, workouts are good, 5/2-2-0 on and off track
3 – RILEYS DUDE – drops in class after a really strong effort in first after a break, looking for more today
Race 7 – 1 1/16 Mile Turf, moved to dirt
2 – STIR CRAZY – could have better form in her third race after a layoff, 2/1-1-0 on off track
7 – MOSALAH – never ran on an off track, but the turf numbers says she should be aright
12 – EQUAL MEASURE – Ruben Silvera comes to ride for Jamie Ness – one of two mounts on the day
10 – A REAL JEWEL – is one for one on an off track and should be a part of the early pace
Race 8 – Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 24 races, 21 won by speed, 10 w2w – PP: Strong rail bias the rest are mostly fair
3 – BUTTONED UP – could get to the lead and not look back, improved 4f #s in last, important in sprints
4 – SIMPLY VALID – is dropping a couple of classes, a 26% winner for trainer Dale Capuano
2 – BACKATYA – GP track dropper with EP, 1 for 1 on and sloppy track
5 – ALWAYS DRINKING – if the 3 doesn’t take the lead, he will and see if he can hold on late
