Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Delaware Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s MLB Play of the Day
Terry’s PARX Best Bet
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Canterbury Park
Delaware Park Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Saloon – He is a first-time starter whose dam has 3 winners from 4 starters and a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
5 – I Know You Love Me – He is a first-time starter who has a good workout on 18Jun Del 3f ft :37 B 3/31.
3 – I Wanna Rock– He showed early speed and faded in the stretch and may improve with Lasix added.
1 – Wildhunch – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starter, the breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a bullet 3F workout on July-01.
Alternate:
2 – Blackwater Falls
Race 2
7 – Backatya – He won his last race at Delaware Park and was claimed by a trainer who wins 32% of the races in the first race after claiming a horse and he has a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (21 8-3-2).
1 – Law of the Land – He ran 7th in his last race at Laurel Park after having problems in the race, the rail post is winning at a 27% clip, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and his jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
4 – Always Drinking – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 21% of the sprint races he has an entry in.
3 – Mesmerized – He won his last race at Delaware Park, and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
2 – Runandhide Wind
Race 3
1 – Coppola – He is a first-time starter who was purchased for $800,000, his Sire wins 16% of the races with the 1st time starters, the rail post is winning at a 27% clip, and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-01.
3 – Proud Civilian – He has finished in the money in all his three career races, running 2nd vs similar in last race.
6 – Naval Officer – He finished 3rd in last race and has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a horse back after being off 46-90 days.
2 – Boat Song – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Ghost of Khozan
Race 4
3 – Baci – She has finished in the money in the last four races, winning two of the starts, drops in class today and has a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (21 8-3-2).
1 – Shero – She has finished in the money in eight of the last nine races, winning four of the starts and drops in class today.
2 – Midtown Rose – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
4 – Vics Cool Cat – She switches to a high % winning jockey and drops in class today.
Alternate:
5 – Plane Drunk
Race 5
9 – Mahkato – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, has a high % winning trainer, has a trainer who wins 27% of the races with a horses in their 2nd race off a layoff and she has a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
6 – R Tenderoni – She won the last two races in a row, has tried turf racing twice without success but had trouble in both races – She has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 22% of the races when shipping a horse in to run in a race.
7 – Riveting Spirit – She likes the turf finishing in the money in two out of four starts, winning one of the races and switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – No Sniveling – She won her last race on the turf at Delaware Park and has won 22% of her starts on the turf.
Alternate:
3 – Nana’s Shoes
5 – Purrageous Dyna
Race 6
2 – Spicy Margarita – She has finished in the money in the four out of five career races, winning one of the starts, has the highest last race speed rating and has a trainer who wins 29% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
1 – Leah’s Legacy – She has finished in the money in both of her career races winning one of the starts, the rail post is winning at a 27% clip, her trainer wins 22% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again and her jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
6 – Esperannna – She comes in from Laurel Park after winning her debut race easily to try Delaware Park and has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-02.
5- Romantic Comedy – She has finished in the money in the her last four races, winning the one of the starts, at Delaware Park and he has a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (21 8-3-2).
Alternate:
7 – Castilleja
4 – Moving in Stereo
Race 7
4 – Unconquered Spirit – He has finished in the money in all seven of his starts on the turf, winning three of the starts and ran 2nd in his last race.
3 – Outrageous Bet– He is one for one on the turf at Delaware Park and finished 3rd in his last race.
1A – Shofar – He won his last three races in a row, he can either lead the race to the finish line or come from off the pace to win and likes the turf.
10 – Initforthelove – He has finished in the money in nine of sixteen starts on the turf, winning five of the races and drops in class today.
Alternate:
11 – Petit Fils
Race 8
2 – Master of War – He finished 2nd in his last race, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Baby Bull – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and may improve while returning to dirt.
7 – Social Equality – He finished 5th in his last race after coming into the stretch very wide, switches to a high % winning jockey, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (12 3-1-1).
3 – David’s Prospec – He drops in class today, trainer who wins 50% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and can improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
4 – Gunhand
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 Furlongs, 17 races, 13 won by speed, none from the rail, discount 2/3, 4-7 a small bonus, major bonus 8+
4 – SALOON – $100,000 horse with some nice 4f works, tr Cathal Lynch won 10/26 at Delaware so far
3 – I WANNA ROCK – 4f pace #s are better than the co-favorite 5, but gets 1st Lasix here, could get to the lead and take it w2w
2 – BLACKWATER FALLS – doesn’t have any bullet works, but the 4f work on June 25 of 48.3 is quick enough
1 – WILDHUNCH – bullet and go, also has some other good works, wish she wasn’t running from the rail
5 – I KNOW YOU LOVE ME – might regret not putting her higher
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 51 races, 40 won by speed, 22 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, small penalty 2/3, a little bonus 4-7, no winners 8+
7 – BACKATYA – 1st off the claim for Jamie Ness after being better ATB in his last, Ness hits at 31% ist after the claim, bullet work since the claim
1 – LAW OF THE LAND – big rail edge for a horse with the best LP#, might be better in 3rd start after a layoff, a swift workout since his last race
4 – ALWAYS DRINKING – TPLRSP#, potentially has a major ½ mile pace edge that could put him more than 2 lengths ahead of the rest, resume says he’ll be better in her 2nd off the break
6 – BUTTONED UP – the pace shape sets up well for the six as he should be co-pilot as a pressure horse
Race 3 – 6 Furlongs, 51 races, 40 won by speed, 22 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, small penalty 2/3, a little bonus 4-7, no winners 8+
6 – NAVAL OFFICER – has the top EP#s and is a track dropper from CD, first off the claim for trainer Andrew Simoff wins at 18% vs 13% overall
1 – COPPOLA – first time starter that cost $800k, has some strong works and gets the high win rate rail
3 – PROUD CIVILIAN – improved in each of his three races, raising his speed figure, and holding onto speed longer
2 – BOAT SONG
Race 4 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 30 races, 23 won by speed, 10 won by speed, PP: a little rail penalty, nice bonus 2/3, 4-7 penalty, no winners 8+
2 – MIDTOWN ROSE – should be close to the front, but all of these have speed, has the some of the best LP# in the field – always breaks sharply
1 – SHERO – has the most back speed, especially at 4f, this is the shortest race in a whole, if she runs back to those 4f numbers, nobody will catch her
4 – VICS COOL CAT – has the top LP and won’t be too far off the pace and has a chance to get the lead like all of these
3 – BACI
Race 5 – 1 Mile Turf, 28 Races, 19 won by speed, 12 w2w – PP: strong inside 3 bias, inside out 4+
5 – PURRAGEOUS DYNA – comes in from Belmont and makes its 3rd start after a layoff, better late in last, ran same fractions at 7f t as 6f slop
9 – MAHKATO – should be near the front, Delaware Turf 3/2-1-0, 2nd was by ½ length
7 – RIVETING SPIRIT – Gulfstream Park dropper, her speed #s are among the best and are likely to go up at DP
2 – NO SNIVELING – it the lone E horse in the field, just went w2w at DP, if she gets to the lead on easy fractions, look out
Race 6 – 6 Furlongs, 51 races, 40 won by speed, 22 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, small penalty 2/3, a little bonus 4-7, no winners 8+
1 – LEAH’S LEGACY – BB – might have the biggest EP advantage on the card, gets the high win rate rail
5 – ROMANTIC COMEDY – is coming off the maiden win, not the biggest fan of the MSW step up, but was better ATB last out
2 – SPICY MARGARITA – TLRSP# as BTN favorite, tr Claudio Gonzalez rebounds at 30%, horse didn’t do well last 3rd race in 3 race cycle
6 – ESPERANNNA – has the top LP# winning her debut at LRL with ease as the $0.90 favorite, has the bullet workout since, fastest of 55 at 4 furlongs
Race 7 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf,1 race won w2w from posts 4-7
4 – UNCONQUERED SPIRIT – never off the board at DP 5/2-2-1, or on turf 7/3-3-1, no problem with the distance as he finished 2nd by a head at 1 ½ miles
3 – OUTRAGEOUS BET – much better fractions last out, 3rd SP# increase in a row, has some of the most late punch and should be mid pack
1A – SHOFAR – winner of 3 in a row, better pace #s in the first ½ mile of his last, Jamie Ness and Jaime Rodriguez hit at 29%
8 – MOROCCO – there is a lot of horses with similar EP#s which could open the door for closer, has the top LP in the field – tough call over the 12
12 – SANDY LANE KITTEN
Race 8 – 1 Mile, 32 races, 19 won off the pace, 4 w2w – PP: 1 win from the rail, stay away, small penalty 2/3, 4-7 best, 8+ fair
2 – MASTER OF WAR – TLRSP# and has a decided LP advantage with the 5 scratched
3 – DAVID’S PROSPEC – could be at/near top form in 3rd off the bench, was better in the first ½ f his last race
6 – FORE ON SEVEN – if any is going to go w2w, this is the one, gets a weight break and could rebound in r3 off the bench
7 – SOCIAL EQUALITY – tough call over the 1, but with the rail winning just 1x in 32 tries, let’s go lucky 7
1 – BABY BULL
