Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Delaware Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Horseshoe Indianapolis Best Bet
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Dreams Delivered – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race in his only start at Laurel Park, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a trainer who wins 31% of the races in the horse’s 2nd career race.
3 – Gettin’downonit – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starter and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
5 – The Grayt Pumpkin – He is a first-time starter who’s breeding suits today’s sprint distance, he has a trainer who wins 24% of the races in dirt starts and he has a good 3F workout on Jun-25.
2 – Dragon Run – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, the breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a bullet 3F workout on Jun-25.
Race 2
1 – Mama G’s Wish – She won her last race at Delaware Park, the rail post is winning at a 27% clip, and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Date Night Kisses – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at Laurel Park and at today’s distance, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie), a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (17 9-2-2) and a good 5F workout on Jun-30.
2 – Coco Puff – She comes in from Churchill Downs after winning her last race by 10-lenghts and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
5 – Dare Me – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, and she has decent workouts.
Alternate:
6 – Joe Mike Jim
Race 3
11 – Blowing Big Smoke – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (17 9-2-2).
3 – Two Step Dance – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
10 – Mercury Ten – His best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Only Child – May improve in 3rd start since layoff.
Alternate:
8 – Lucky for Shore
Race 4
4 – War Cross – He has won two races in a row, has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and the trainer wins 33% of the races with horses coming back after 90+ days away.
7 – Lake Nakuru – He closed in his last race to finish 5th at PARX Racing and is trying Delaware Park for the first time and can improve while returning to Dirt.
5 – Minecrafter – He has won a race at Delaware Park in the past and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – Market Mover – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to Dirt and at the shorter distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
3 – Urban Warrior
Race 5
12 – Kinda Lucky – There is very little early speed in the race so she may get to the lead and go all the way – She has won two races in a row then took a break since last October, has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and a high % winning trainer.
2 – New York Rock Star – She has finished 3rd in her last two races and has a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (17 9-2-2).
8 – Lightfoot Miss – She finished in the money in the last seven races, winning two and has a good jockey.
11 – Esta Chuck – She closed to win her last race at Delaware Park.
Race 6
2/2B – Kenner/Heartness – Kenner finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Union Fleet – He won his last race easily at Delaware Park and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Rustys Gfivefifty – He has won two out of the last four races, finishing 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has the highest last race speed rating.
1- Teewinot Pass – He has won two races in a row going for a hat trick and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1A – Formal Order
4 – Stacks of Silver
Race 7
1 – Cashing Big Checks – She closed at 6-furlongs to just miss by a neck in her first race back after an 8-month break and stretches out to 7-1/2 furlongs and she has a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (17 9-2-2).
2 – Texas Reward – She finished 3rd in her only turf race trying turf again.
9 – Murph – She has a high % winning trainer, has the highest last race speed rating and a good 4F workout on Jun-26.
4 – Quiet Imagination – She comes in from Laurel Park to try Delaware Park for the first time and has improved her speed ratings in each of the last three races.
Alternate:
6 – Izzybella
Race 8
1 – B B Bad – He tried turf and didn’t fare very well and returns to the dirt where he can be more competitive, drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a trainer/ jockey in the last 14 days has this record (17 9-2-2).
3 – Event Party – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the trainer wins 18% of the time when his entry is in routes.
4 – Heffner – Returning to a route should help and the trainer wins 18% of the races when shipping a horse in to race.
5 – Lifespan – He finished 2nd in his last race winning the race before, he has done well at Delaware Park in the past and the distance will not be a problem.
Alternate:
2 – Vinny
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 Furlongs, 13 races, 9 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: no winner rail, 2 from 2/3, bonus 4-7, big edge 8+
2 – DRAGON RUN – bullet and go for the first time starter
5 – THE GRAYT PUMPKIN – Eddie C works, but other good works as well
4 – DREAMS DELIVERED – started slow, rushed up and then faded at the end, work between races doesn’t give any hint of a better start
3 – GETTIN’DOWNONIT – some good works getting ready, nice work on April 30th, tr Mark Beecher 2/2 this year
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 43 races, 32 won by speed, 17 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, slight discount 2/3, little bonus 4-7, no wins 8+
1 – MAMA G’S WISH – been 1st or 2nd in 9/10 races, lone miss was route 100K non graded, all others sprints like today
4 – DATE NIGHT KISSES – Laurel Park dropper, tied for the TLRSP# and the number should go up at Delaware
6 – JOE MIKE JIM – tough call over #2, but has better early speed at distance/surface that favors speeds, gets a weight break
2 – COCO PUFF
Race 3 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 10 races, 50/50, 4 w2w -PP: non from the rail, 1 from 2/3, 4-7 bonus and best, 8+ bonus too
11 – BLOWING BIG SMOKE – TLRSP#, Jaime Rodriguez, Jamie Ness 30% winners together, slightly better fractions at 1m70y on turf than 1 mile on dirt
7 – ONLY CHILD – had to run wide for a lot of his last start, some late improvement in last, gets a weight break and expect jy Maddy Rowland to get max effort here
3 – TWO STEP DANCE – consistent performer, not a lot of upside, not a lot of downside, the last 3 races are probably good enough to hit the board but not win
10 – MERCURY TEN
Race 4 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 14 races, 10 won by speed, 4 w2w – PP: 1-3 suffer – only 3 winners, the other 7 from 4-7
4 – WAR CROSS – if he’s ready after being in the barn since mid-October, is likely to make easy work of this crew, workouts suggest he’ll be ready and it’s the perfect distance 2/2
2 – SUNNY SAINT – is dropping from straight 12.5 claiming, last race at Tampa before coming up north had EP#s that would smoke this field, expecting a substantial move forward in 2nd start off the break
5 – MINECRAFTER – last 4 races are terrible, dropping to lowest level since winning maiden, best workout in a while on June 8th hints that he could be on a good race here
3 – URBAN WARRIOR – tough call over the 7, but I’ll take 3rd off the break vs 7/1-0-0 on a fast track and 6/0-0-1 at the distance for #7
Race 5 – 7 ½ Furlongs Turf, 3 races, 2 won off the pace, 1 w2w – PP1 from 2/3, 1 won from 4-7, 1 from 8+
12 – KINDA LUCKY – is undefeated in two easy wins on Delaware Park turf, one at 7 ½f, been off since Oct 4 – been on the lead in all 4 turf starts, a neck from winning 3/4
2 – NEW YORK ROCK STAR – burned $$$ as the favorite in the last 2, better SP# last out, but fractions were about the same, maybe 3rd time is he charm after 16 months on the sidelines
7 – MIZZEN – going to try turf doe the first time, was better ATB the board on slop in last, can foreshadow success on grass
Race 6 – 1 Mile, 24 races, 15 from off the pace, 2 w2w – PP: just 1 from the rail, 2/3 underperform, 4+ bonus more outside the better
3 – RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY – TLRSP# and a maintenance work since, a nose from winning 3 of last 4, 2/1-1-0 at the distance
2 – KENNER
1 – TEEWINOT PASS
5 – UNION FLEET – stepping up from MCL win with a strong LP advance, decent work between races, jy Jorge Ruiz 10/6-2-0
Race 7 – 7 ½ Furlongs Turf, 3 races, 2 won off the pace, 1 w2w – PP1 from 2/3, 1 won from 4-7, 1 from 8+
8 – MALIBU BEAUTY – should have a 1-2 length lead coming out of the turn with only one other speed horse
9 – MURPH – this is the other speed horse and very strong bullet work on June 26th, yet to win fresh
1 – CASHING BIG CHECKS – much, much better early in her last race, 3 SP# increases in a row
4 – QUIET IMAGINATION – off track 3/-1-1-1, improved 2nd half of last race and should be at least as good in 3rd start off the bench
Race 8 – 1 Mile, 24 races, 15 from off the pace, 2 w2w – PP: just 1 from the rail, 2/3 underperform, 4+ bonus more outside the better
4 – HEFFNER – is the most likely to get the lead, fast work between races
3 – EVENT PARTY – dropping in class, improved late in his last, two works between races, possibly better in 3rd off the sidelines
1 – B B BAD – Jaime/Jamie combo again, needs to be respected should be coming at the end
2 – VINNY – has back speed and won his only off track race with his best effort by far
