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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks

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Horse Racing Today – Delaware Park Picks – Wednesday, September 7, 2022

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Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 6 Furlongs, 105 races, 79 won by speed, 39 w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little better than par, 4-7 penalty, 8+ Bonus

5 – ANGELOFCANTERBURY – double bullet and go, trainer Jamie Ness and jy Jaime Rodriguez win at 21% and ITM 73%

6 – CLASSIC VINYL – looking at the mid-August works at 4f both 49s

2 – LADY THOR – $2 favorite in debut, never fired, gets 1 Lasix, we’ll see if she rebounds

3 – FANCEE GRACE C – ran better #s ATB in last, resume says beware in R2 off the bench

 

Race 2 – 1 Mile 70 Yards. 42 races, 27 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: rail fair, 2/3 discount, 4+ small bonus

1 – BON FIRE DIVA – +EP advantage at 2/4/6f could be difficult to overcome as the lone E horse

6 – VIOLET JESSOP – won his only Delaware dirt race by 10 with Daniel Centeno riding, his only time on the horse

2 – CHALK HILL – been knocking on the door Bob Dylan style, Delaware 6/1-0-4, distance 4/1-0-3, jy Kevin Mendez searching for win #1 20/0-1-5

5 – PARTY MONSTER – has the +LP edge and a +++ EP/LP combo, just hard to put jy Wesley Henry any higher with 20/0-2-1 record

 

Race 3 – 5 Furlongs Turf, 10 races, 8 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP none from rail, 1 from 2/3 all the rest 4+ and win at the same rate

1 – PROUD CIVILIAN – has the most LP in the race, never off the board in 5/0-3-2, 1st turf, probably best horse but crappy PP

8 – MUD ISLAND – showed more EP in his last start, maybe he can hod on longer today

2 – EDMUND FITZGERALD – has some EP, but is moving up in class, consistent performer

3 – SILVER R – would have a chance if he can run back to debut

 

Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 105 races, 79 won by speed, 39 w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little better than par, 4-7 penalty, 8+ Bonus

2 – CLASSY NANCY – bullet and go, fits the track bias

3 – ALVA STARR – tr Brett Brinkman hits at 24% with 1st timers vs 18% overall, nice work Aug 14th

7 – LOST LUGGAGE – momma has a stakes winner from 3 starters, some good works getting ready

6 – PEEP’S DAY – tr Victor Carrasco Jr, has a $1.83 ROI with 1st timers

 

Race 5 – 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf, 10 races, 6 won off the pace, 0 w2w – PP: Strong inside 3 bias, 1 winner 4-7, now winners 8+

3 – GIVING SPIRIT – has a big edge in EP at 4f, if she can get the right fractions

8 – KATIE GOT LUCKY – class dropper from CNL 60 MSW, Z pattern in debut, but no winners 8+ so far

2 – SOCIAL LADY – get coveted inside 3 draw, last race was UGLY – maybe 1st Lasix helps, tough call over the 1

1 – MISS KRISTY – rides the high, win rate rail and was well bet in debut

 

Race 6 – 6 Furlongs, 105 races, 79 won by speed, 39 w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little better than par, 4-7 penalty, 8+ Bonus

1 – SNACKSTER – LS – better ATB in last, missed by a head, rail winning at 27% is the difference

4 – DILLY DILLY PHILLY – if she is ready, she could run away with this, bullet work on AUG 24 says yes, but 3/0-0-1 at DP says beware

3 – AWESOME VIEW – all or nothing at DP, 5/3-0-0, better ATB pace #s in last, but slightly slower fractions is a yellow light

6 – R AVERIE LYNN – never off the board in 5 at DP 5/3-2-0, ITM 12/2-6-2 at distance, chased fast fractions in last on grass, likely not to see that here

 

Race 7 – 1 Mile Turf, 3 races, 2 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: 1 winner 2/3, 2 winners 4-7

4 – GRAND SIR – just missed in his last despite multiple problems, 1 for 1 on dirt – down in class,

3 – SIMMS – was better early, extremely consistent performer, high floor, low ceiling, maybe better in 2nd off the bench

7 – LINDROS – down class, jy upgrade to Mychel Sanchez, winning at 34% with tr Cathal Lynch

6 – MO WINE PLEASE – not a fan of MCL 5k risers unless, TLRSP#, but crazy pop higher, same race wins again, but expecting a lot of regression

 

Race 8 – 1 Mile, 60 races, 33 won off the pace, 9 w2w – PP: Absolute outside in bias

6 – MERCURY TEN – was better from start to finish in last, almost ++LP and should track the leader

2 – IM YOUR PAPI – has some EP but tends to fade, tr Pedro Nazzario won 2/3 with horses making 2nd starts for him

5 – BLACK LIMO – has a ++ edge at 2/4f, but has struggled late, distance might be too much, although just missed at last try at this level, just can’t take 9/5 ML on 18/0-2-1 horse

3 – DIAMANTE DE ORO – been knocking on DPs door, 4/0-1-3

Delaware Park Pace Worksheet

Delaware Pace Worksheet 9-7-22

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