$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for the full card on a $100 Budget
Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Fair Grounds Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Los Alamitos (TB)
Fair Grounds Horse racing Tips and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
5 – Zydeco Music – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Galaxy Thirtysix – She won her last race at the Fairgrounds and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Ourperfectprincess – She finished 3rd in her last race and has a trainer who wins 40% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
7 – Puzzling Priority – She finished in the money in 72% of her starts at today’s distance.
Alternate:
4 – See Sassy Run
1 – Rockett Magic
Bet: $5.00 to win # 5 and a $1.00 exacta #5 on Top with the # 2, 3, 7
Race 2
4 – Z Resurrection – He ran 2nd vs similar in his only start at The Fairgrounds.
5 – Veterans Day – His Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and the jockey has won six races out of his last seventeen starts.
1 – Slick and Fast – His Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters, and he has a good 5F workout on Dec-03.
Longshot:
9 – Thomas Davis – His Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner and trainer wins 50% of the races in debut Maiden Special Weight.
Alternate:
2 – Peso Pesado
Race 3
6 – Not On Herb – He is undefeated in 2 career starts and has a good trainer and jockey.
2 – Calicoco – He ran 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Tumbarumba – He won his last race at Churchill Downs, and he has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Half Full – He won his debut race at Delaware and has a good jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Late September
3 – Half Full
Bet: $4.00 to win # 6 and a $1.00 exacta box #2-5-6
Race 4
2 – Norah G – She won her maiden race at The Fairgrounds and has a Trainer who has won three out of five starts at this track.
4 – Free Drop Maddy – She has finished in the money in all five of her career races, winning three.
3 – Louisiana Liberty – She is very competitive finishing in the money in all three of her career races winning her last race at Delaware Park.
Longshot:
5 – Don’tcallmepatsy – He finished 3rd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey. – Play
Alternate:
1 – Tensas Candy
8 – Addi Bug
Bet: $1.00 exacta box #2-3-4-5
Race 5
5 – Ova Charged – She has won six out of seven of her career races, including the last four in a row.
1 – Free Like a Girl – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.
6 – Spirited Beauty – She finished in the money in seven out of her last eight races, winning three of the starts.
Longshot:
2 – Snowball– She has finished in the money in the last seven races.
Bet: $5.00 exacta #5 on Top with the # 1, 2, 6
Race 6
2 – Cryptozonic – He won two races in a row at The Fairgrounds and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Mr. Production – He has finished in the money in his last five races, winning one of the starts.
3 – Alterana – He won his last race at Delaware and the distance is in his wheelhouse.
Longshot:
8 – Dixie Street– He has finished in the money in the last six races, winning two and has two bullet workouts in a row. – Play
Bet: $1.00 exacta box #2-3-5-8 and $.50 Trifecta box #2-3-5-8
Race 7
3 – Winning Romance – She has won two of her last four race and increasing her speed rating in each of the races.
6 – A G’s Charlotte – She closed to win her last race at The Fairgrounds earning the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Fort Polk – She finished 3rd in last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Cheapskate Diva – She has won four out of the last five races and has several good workouts in a row.
Bet: $25.00 to win # 3 and $.50 Pick 3 – 7th race # 3 – 8th race # 3, 4, 5, 7 – 9th race #1, 6, 10, 11, 12, 13
Alternate:
2 – Eve’s Delight
1 – Lutie Mo
Race 8
7 – Who Took the Money – She has won three races in a row, the last at The Fairgrounds with Deshawn Parker in the irons and Deshawn returns to ride again.
3 – Touchuponastar – She has won three out of five of her career races, winning each one easily.
5 – Behemah Star – She finished 3rd in her last race and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-0-2).
Longshot:
4 – Highland Creek – She finished 3rd in last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Ballinonabudjet
1 – Maga Man
Race 9
11 – Brian’s Iron Mike – He won his last race at The Fairgrounds and beat most of today’s entries can repeat today.
12 – Bertie’s Galaxy – He has won four out of the last eight races and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Win Ya Win – He is returning to The Fairgrounds where he has finished in the money in ten out of eleven races.
Longshot:
10 – Creole Charlie – He has finished in the money in ten out of eleven starts, winning four.
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Barbell, Rail and Significant Bonus 8+
5 – ZYDECO MUSIC – missed by a head as BTN FAV with faster fractions last out
3 – GALAXY THIRTYSIX – dynamic at FG 13/6-2-3 could be better in 2nd off the bench with LP1
2 – OURPERFECTPRINCESS – missed by a neck vs top two in last and resume hints at possible major jump in second after a layoff
4 – SEE SASSY RUN – a pair of runs at the FG with a win and third, considerably better late in last
Suggested Wager: $1 Double 5 with All – Cost $8
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed
4 – Z RESURRECTION – showed plenty of early speed in debut and could be better in 2nd career start
3 – RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM – had some early speed in debut and gets Lasix, bullet work
5 – VETERANS DAY – like the October 15th work 3f in in 36.2
9 – THOMAS DAVIS – Another 1st time starter with OL works, 100K horse
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta 3,4,5,9 with 3,4,5 with 3,4,5,8,9 – Cost $13.50
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed
6 – NOT ON HERB – undefeated in two including one at this level in last with faster fraction and maintenance work between
7 – LATE SEPTEMBER – BTN FAV, tr Jose Camejo rebounds at 31%
5 – TUMBARUMBA – much faster early in last getting maiden win with a trio of works since
2 – CALICOCO – lone PC horse that could improve in 2nd start following a 2 month break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta 5,6,7 with 6,7 with 2,3,5,6,7 – Cost $6
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed
2 – NORAH G – Left Arrow horse won debut with +4 EP edge and top LP
4 – FREE DROP MADDY – 3 SP# increasing ending with the TLRSP#, ITM 5/2-12
5 – DON’TCALLMEPATSY – PRICE -expecting more in the 2nd race after a layoff with a maintenance work
1 – TENSAS CANDY – been extremely competitive at this level, just ¾ length from winning two in row
Suggested Wager: $5 Pick Three 2 with 5 with All – Cost $20
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed
5 – OVA CHARGED – 3/3 at FG, distance 4/4, overall 7/6-1-0
1 – FREE LIKE A GIRL – many ways to win and rides the 21% winning rail
6 – SPIRITED BEAUTY – doesn’t look like it on paper but last race was better than it looks, won only other 3rd start off the break by 7 ¼ lengths
2 – SNOWBALL – Benefits from the scratches and become one of two horses to compete for lead in
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Barbell, Rail and Significant Bonus 8+
2 – CRYPTOZONIC – Lone P with the top LP and likely slightly better in R2 after a short break
5 – MR. PRODUCTION – other to tie for the top LP, 3SP# increases in a row, courage w/ lead in the lane
3 – ALTERANA – big fan of the distance 20/11-2-0, all others 19/2-5-2
8 – DIXIE STREET – tough call over the 9 but 9/3-2-2
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four 2,3,5,6,8 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 3,6,10,11,12 – Cost $50
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed, rail penalty, 2+ mostly fair
3 – WINNING ROMANCE – +9 LP and EP/LP combo edge, faster fractions at 1m70y vs 7f, maintenance work
8 – FORT POLK – better 1st half mile pace#s in last, nice work between races
6 – A G’S CHARLOTTE – TLRSP# that should also be coming at the end, maybe some regression here
5 – SHE’S GONE D’WILD – very consistent performer, making 3rd start after a layoff and last 3rd in a 3 race cycle was by far the best
Race 8: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Stalkers, best 2/3, 4+ a little under par, rail penalty
3 – TOUCHUPONASTAR – could be lone E in a race full of pressure and closing types
7 – WHO TOOK THE MONEY – FG 5/4-0-1, similar fractions at 1m70y v 7f
5 – BEHEMAH STAR – FG 5/3-2-0, better ATB in 1st race after 3-months in the barn
6 – BALLINONABUDJET – comes in from CD after winning by 7 ½ lengths, 1st off the claim Brad Cox – 27% angle
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed
11 – BRIAN’S IRON MIKE – ITM 8/3-2-2 on fast, 3rd off the break was best in only other 3 race cycle
12 – BERTIE’S GALAXY – benefits from a lot of the other speed scratching, BTN FAV tr Ron Faucheux rebounds at 29% vs 23% overall
10 – CREOLE CHARLIE – FG 11/4-2-4, all at 6f and benefits from scratches too
3 – BIG CHOPPER – better fractions through first ½ at 1m70y v 7f
Fair Grounds Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
