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Horse Racing Today – Fair Grounds Picks Live – Thanksgiving 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Fair Grounds Racing Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Laurel Park

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Santa Charles’ Selections

  1. 7,2,3,6
  2. 4,7,1,3
  3. 7,2,5,4
  4. 5,7,4,9
  5. 6,7,2,5
  6. 5,3,7,6
  7. 6,2,5,7
  8. 1,6,5,3
  9. 10,7,6,8

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical with Big Inside Out Speed Edge

2 – ARGYBARGY BUCK – has some of the most EP and the top EP/LP combo

7 – ARCTIC ROSE – could be better in his second start after a layoff and has the best late legs

6 – CIROC O CLOCK – is an all or nothing horse at FG 5/2-0-0

1 – COUNTERFEIT – lone PC horse in a field of E horses, was better ATB in his last, room to get better in r2 off the bench

 

Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalker Type with mostly fair PPs

1 – HOT STOVE LEAGUE – been off since August, some good works getting ready, 1-1 at FG, Lonely EP

3 – CAP ROCK MINER – has a +4f edge and has some good works getting ready for today

4 – EAST LEX – has a +/ LP advantage, dropping multiple classes

2 – SERMONONTHEMOUNT – has the most back class, but FG 3/0-0-0

 

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical with Big Inside Out Speed Edge

7 – GO BROTHER GO – Left Arrow horse, sort of weird debut race, broke 1st, faded to 6th, then 10th and then rallied to 2nd by 3/4 a length with huge stretch run – upgrades to Reylu

2 – RELIC HUNTER – last race in April would be good enough to win this one, works getting ready are OK

6 – LIL WOADIE – well bet in debut, got off to a fast start, had to run between horses, like the November 8 and Oct 22 FG works

5 – HARD FOUR – looks like the best of the pair of first timers

 

Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Off the Pace Outside to In Bias OFF TURF – 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalker Type with mostly fair PPs

4 – UNINVITED GUEST – 3rd off the break, 3rd was the best by a wide margin in the last 3 race cycle

9 – DUST EM – TLRSP#, faster fractions at 1m v 6 1/2f, possible even more in 3rd off the bench

7 – JACK A ROSE – Lonely EP horse in the field, is undefeated in two on turf and 1 for the 1 at the distance

1A – FREEDOM FACTOR – We’ll take the 2 for 1 Entry special but hard call over the 25       1
1 – SEDUCTIVE U S A

2 – BURNING BRIGHT – 1st off the claim for tr Norm Cassem 20% angle, has plenty of EP and showed more LP last out

 

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed with fair 1-7, slight discount 8+

9 – SUNDAY BREEZE – lone P horse with a ++LP edge, TLRSP# and drops in class

7 – ITS WILD AGAIN – BTN FAV tr Ron Faucheux rebounds at 30%, much better through the first ½ mile in last

2 – COMMANDER SCOTT – really nice Nov 10 work, FG 9/0-4-1, Distance 3/0-3-0

6 – RUNNINGINTHEMONEY – has some back speed, 2/4f pace#s were significantly better in last

 

Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalker Type with mostly fair PPs

6 – RUNNING LATE – TLRSP# and dropping from KD 150k MSW, getting 1st L

5 – NOTION – has a ++2 and +/4f pace edge, must think they have something here, debut 100K NGSTK

1 – GEM COLLECTION – debuted on GP all weather, top LP and gets 1st Lasix

7 – MOTOWN MISSILE – was decently bet in debut, tr Bret Calhoun wins 23% 2nd career start vs 18% overall

 

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical with Big Inside Out Speed Edge

2 – CUSTOM BOBBY’S – TLRSP#, some nice works since last race on Sept 3rd, won last off the bench with ease

10 – GOLD PUNCH – plenty of early pop, been off since March, good works, question is can go w2w or will he fade at the wire

1 – EDDIE’S HUMOR – rides the high win rate rail, track is likely to be wet 2/1-1-0 –

5 – DUVEE – could be lone on the gas from go. Lookout if he snags the lead early

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical with Big Inside Out Speed Edge

3 – SURVEILLANCE – Left Arrow Horse with better early fractions last out, FG 2/2-0-0

6 – CARRIBEAN CAPER – hard to argue with 6/5-0-0 lifetime record, lone miss was last out but FG works says she’ll be sharp here

4 – CHATTALOT – FG 2/2-0-0, Distance 4/3-0-1, resume says will likely pop or drop in R2 after a layoff

2 – READY TO POUNCE – tough call over the 1, but did beat her a few back, top LP and EP/LP combo

 

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical with Big Inside Out Speed Edge

6 – SCHNELL – means fast in German, lives up to the name with plenty of backspeed, drops for 100K NGSTK

4 – PICKENS – tr Karl Broberg wins 30% when dropping off a win, 3rd start after a layoff, maybe improves

1 – ZION – seen too many Lonely P horses win to not include, especially at 20-1, all of nothing FG 7/3-0-0

10 – HOORAY AUSTIN – tr Keith Bourgeois is 27% 2nd off the claim, best FG#s of the rest, works are OK

Fair Grounds Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet

Fair Grounds Pace Worksheet 11-24-22

 

 

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