Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Finger Lakes Racetrack Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Finger Lakes Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Jumpster – He won his last race at Finger Lakes and has a trainer who wins 18% of the time with claim repeaters.
2 – Kingfish – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the claiming races he has an entry in.
1 – Thank You – He won his last race at Finger Lakes, has a high % winning trainer and jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Smooth Operation – He likes the track finishing in the money 63% of the time, winning 27% of the races and does well at today’s distance finishing in the money 65% of the time, winning 29% of the races.
Alternate:
4 – True Palace
5 – Smooth Tales
Race 2
4 – Clingman – He won his last race at Finger Lakes and a has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Juggler – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Codys Express – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and should improve at the shorter distance.
5 – Civil Service – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Persistent Danger
Race 3
4 – Acoustic Ave – He comes in from Saratoga after finishing 3rd in his last race to try to break his maiden at Finger Lakes, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a good 4F workout on Sep-18.
3 – Mo Trump – He won his last race at Finger Lakes, has a high % winning trainer and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Gold in Them Hills – He ran 2nd in his only start at Finger Lakes, adds blinkers and has a bullet 5F workout on Sep-17.
2 – Tiz Lucky – He was well bet in his debut, has a trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-0) and a bullet 4F workout on Sep-19.
Alternate:
1 – Dynamic Storm
Race 4
7 – Devil Or Angel – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Cinco Linko – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Kobe’s Legacy – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (10 3-0-2) and has trainer who wins 26% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
2 – Gonna Be Dancing – He drops in class today, his early speed running style helps his chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
1A – Dr. Cerfolio
6 – Dragon Ballet
Race 5
2 – Warsaichi – She won her last race at Finger Lakes, has a high % winning trainer and jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (10 3-0-2), he has the highest last race speed rating and her trainer who wins 23% of the time in Non-Graded Stakes.
4 – Isabel Luvs Gold – She won her last race at Finger Lakes and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Womanonthewarpath – She won her last race, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Ruler of the Night – She switches to a high % winning jockey and her trainer wins 20% of the of the races in their 2nd career race.
Alternate:
3 – Super Slide
5 – Striking Melody
Race 6
2 – Miss Gold Medalist – She has finished in the money in her last three races running 2nd vs similar in last race and a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – First Forever – She finished 3rd in her last race for the second time in a row at Finger Lakes after coming in from PENN National.
8 – Trivia – She won her last race at Finger Lakes and a has a high % winning trainer and jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).
5 – Clifden Punch – She has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-0) and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Trivia
9 – No Stone Unturned
Race 7
4 – Jackiegirl – She won her last race at Finger Lakes and a has a high % winning jockey and a trainer who horses win 25% of the time in routes.
5 – Flurry of Roses – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, jockey Jose Baez stays with her, and she has a high % winning training.
1 – Alicia’s Way – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the time in allowance races and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (10 3-0-2).
3 – Tempermental– She comes in from Saratoga to try Finger Lakes for the first time and the trainer wins 26% of the time when shipping a horse in to run.
Alternate:
8 – Insufficientnotice
7 – Tivoli Gardens
Race 8
5 – Darn That Song – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Boxed in and Bored – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins19% of the time with 1st time starters, the trainer wins 22% of sprints he has a horse entered in and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
10 – Lollygag – She comes in from Saratoga to try to break her maiden at Finger Lakes, has the highest last race speed rating and can improve while returning to dirt.
7 – Racing Queen – She ran 2nd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
9 – Beautiful Banks
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1:
5 – SMOOTH TALES – LS – Left Arrow Horse with +2/4EP advantage and top EP/LP, TLRSP#, 3SP# Increases
2 – KINGFISH – better ATB in last, has a +LP edge, another with 3SP# increases, tr John Grabowski winner 8/20 in claiming ranks with +1.29 ROI
6 – JUMPSTER – is the lone EP horse, won last in 2nd Flakes tray after track dropping from NYRA at same distance
1 – THANK YOU – is training OK for first race following a short break, this 10-year enjoyed his last break coming back to score his only win in last 10 starts
Race 2:
2 – JUGGLER – TLRSP#, a pair of seconds in 2 at Flakes, better fractions last out, could be better 3rd off the break
5 – CIVIL SERVICE – Saratoga track dropper, could be the pacesetter, ,tr Michael Ferrata/jy Andre Worrie won 4/7 & ITM 6/7 for +$2.06 ROI
1 – CODYS EXPRESS – should be in the mix out of the gate, probably improves in 3rd off the bench
7 – PERSISTENT DANGER – has the most late octane and the top EP/LP combo
Race 3:
4 – ACOUSTIC AVE – has a superior +++ EP edge, should be out alone and go w2w
5 – GOLD IN THEM HILLS – beat the 3 in their debuts, has a bullet work since
3 – MO TRUMP – last race fractions were slower, albeit on mud 50/50 if there was any improvement
1 – DYNAMIC STORM – we’ll give the 1st time starter a chance, but if we get down this far, upset
Race 4:
7 – DEVIL OR ANGEL – BB – 5Left Arrow Horse, lone PC horse, top LP and top EP/LP combo, TLRSP#
1 – CINCO LINKO – should be close to the pace, knocking on Flakes door, 7/0-2-3
2 – GONNA BE DANCING – last race was better than it looks, better ATB, MSW dropper, should challenge for lead
5 – KOBE’S LEGACY – BTN FAV last out, tr Chris Englehart rebounds at 26%, wins 36% with top jock John Davila, Jr
Race 5:
3 – SUPER SLIDE – going to take a chance here, was decently bet in Toga debut, ran evenly, first two came back to run decently in next start, winner 4th in NGSTK, 2nd won MSW at BoA – jockey Dylan Davis come for 1 mount, and this is it
2 – WARSAICHI – won last with ease, TLRSP#, slightly faster fractions at 5 ½ v 5f, all of improvement came at the end
4 – ISABEL LUVS GOLD – won her last with ease too, 4 works since including a mud bullet on Aug 23, a trio of maintenance works since
1 – RULER OF THE NIGHT – tough call over the 6, but I am going to take the Toga horse over the La Downs and Lone Star horse, got the lead and folded in last, maybe he holds on this time
Race 6:
8 – TRIVIA – Left Arrow Horse, a lot better ATB in last, TLRSP#, worried about regression, but same race = same result
2 – MISS GOLD MEDALIST – did regress in her last, bounced higher the next out after previous step back, distance 9/3-2-2, Top LP and EP/LP combo
5 – CLIFDEN PUNCH – last race was better than it might look on paper and bullet work since, could be sitting on a nice one here
9 – NO STONE UNTURNED – really tough post position, but should be a part of the early pace and maybe better in 3rd off the bench
Race 7:
5 – FLURRY OF ROSES – Denzel in routes close to this length – 9/0-3-6, due
3 – TEMPERMENTAL – Left Arrow Horse, track dropper with bullet on Sept 21
8 – INSUFFICIENTNOTICE – want to rank higher as potential pacesetter with top LP and EP/LP combo, but post is winless
7 – TIVOLI GARDENS – has a +2f EP edge, won maiden w2w at Flakes, 1st Lasix and stretching out for the first time – could really get loose upfront – can she hold on?
Race 8:
5 – DARN THAT SONG – NYRA track dropper and could be the pacesetter
2 – BOXED IN AND BORED – 1st time starter without a lot to beat in here, a few nice works
10 – LOLLYGAG – really want to put higher, but post is a killer
7 – RACING QUEEN – just missed last out and was better from start to finish
Finger Lakes Post and Pace Worksheet
Post and Pace Worksheet 9-26-2022
