$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream Park on a $100 Budget
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Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Hawthorne
Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Charming Charles Choices
Picks
1. 6,9,4,1
2. 6,7,8,4
3. 4,6,1,5
4. 3,1,7,8
5. 7,6,5,8
6. 8 4,7,3
7. 10,1,7,4
8. 7,8,12,3
9. 7,12,1,8
10. 7,4,8,2
11. 11,2,3,5
Bets
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers 1-3 Fair, 4-7 Penalty and 8+ Bonus
6 – GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR – 1st time claiming for tr Chad Brown, winner 27/71, this should fit, nor more than 1 ¾ lengths from winner in 5 of last 6 – won the 6th – top LP
1 – MY MAN FLINT – won 2/5 of turf, including last with TLSRSP#, 0-8 on AW, fractions were way better in last
9 – TELEPHONE TALKER – grass goes 5/2-1-1, could up his game in 3rd off the bench, 3 sold works between races
11 – BACKWOODS BOOGIE – going to take a flier with potential pacesetter – stretches out and could get brave with the lead late – best EP/LP Combo
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 6/ALL
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Ealy Speed with Small Rail Discount, 2-7 fair, 8+ Bonus
5 – CASE – solid workouts, good 1st time out record for tr Jonathan Thomas, 19%
2 – SHESTERKIN – another 1st timer with solid works – Pletcher hits at 19% too, 20% Debut MSW
4 – GOODLOOKINRAGS – just missed in his last with better fractions at 6 1/2f v 5 1/2
6 – KENTUCKY JOKER – also finished 2nd in last – but at 35-1? 12 furlongs works between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,5/2,5/2,4,5,6,7
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w, PPs Fair with Tiny Rail and 8+ Bump
5 – EDIE MEENY MINY MO – this is likely the one they will have to pass, all 4 wins came at the distance – odds of 5-1 or higher make him a good value bet
4 – FRANK’S ROCKETTE – been battling tougher field with success, but hasn’t won 1st up in last 5 tries
6 – COPPELIA – lone P horse behind the wall of speed and ahead of the lone C that might not factor, TLRSP# and bunch of good works too
3 – RESTOFTHESTORY – second after a layoff and should benefit from a lot of pace upfront
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5/4,5,6/1,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers 1-3 Fair, 4-7 Penalty and 8+ Bonus
3 – CLASSIC LADY – TLRSP# and has decent record in first after a layoff, strange that he is taking a drop to straight claiming
8 – VANDALIA – last race was better ATB and faster fractions, winning in first go around on GP grass
7 – GOLDEN VOICE – has by far the best turf pedigree numbers, 1st off the claim for tr Peter Walder 21% vs 17 overall
11 – TIZ IMPRESSIVE – GP Grass – 4-1-2-1 has the most LP and a nice work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,8/3,8/2,3,7,8,11
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed with Outside In Bias and 2/3 Major Discount, Rail Minor Downgrade
7 – EXPECT MORE – don’t know what to make of the debut, dwelt at the start and then ran like crazy at the end – a lot of really good works getting ready for the second go around the track
8 – JUNGFRAU – last race speed number much better than anything else left, but the fractions were unimpressive
4 – DREAM KNIGHT – all the rest will have to pass this one and not sure they’ll be able to make up the head start he gets
5 – COLLIER’S TIME – showed more early through the first half mile in last and has strong LP
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 7/ALL
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w , Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
7 – MARYQUITECONTRARY – has a strong +14 LP and won’t have a lot to chase down
8 – MUSIC CITY STAR – maybe doesn’t deserve to be this high, 30% 1st time off the claim tr Saffie Jospeh Jr, at odds of 6-1 or higher, value bet to go w2w
4 – COLORFUL MISCHIEF – Lone P horse without a lot of speed to chase, drops from a G2 and 3
3 – SOUL OF AN ANGEL – 3 SP# Increases and the last one was crazy good with much faster fractions and best GP# for these – why not at 15-1?
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 3/ALL
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Ealy Speed with a Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Underperformance
1 – SCOTISH STAR – gets the high win rate rail, highly consistent performer
3 – BAY STORM – Turf 10/4-4-1, runs fairly well off the bench, should be close to the front all the way
8 – PHANTOM VISION – lone P horse without a lot of speed to chase and ahead of most of closers
10 – LADY ROCKSTAR – tough call over the 7, but should be flying late, Distance 2/0-2-0
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,8/1,3,7,8,10
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Ealy Speed with Small Rail Discount, 2-7 fair, 8+ Bonus
7 – PREVALENCE – Gulfstream 4/3-0-0, bullet and Go
3 – SIBELIUS – always around at the end, good works getting ready, stepping up
6 – WIND OF CHANGE – a flyer – should be the early leader and the works has crazy good works getting ready
8 – UNCLE ERNIE – really not a fan of PARX shippers in track upgrades – but he has a ton of EP and gets Irad
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,7/3,7/3,5,6,7,8
Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile Turf – Bias: Not Many at this distance – Tactical Speed Fair PPs, Slight Discount Rail and 8+
12 – COLONEL LIAM – undefeated in 3 at GP which includes career best effort, workouts are good for first race since March, won the only other time had an extended time off
8 – WINFROMWITHIN – has too much of an EP advantage to ignore, +12 4f, +13 6f, just needs to hold on
7 – CITY MAN – should be close to the pace and has solid late legs, 3 straight bullet works getting ready
3 – PAO ALTO – feel like he prefers firm footing, won a Group 3 in Qatar and ran top number on firm
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 8/1,3,7,10,12
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed with Outside In Bias and 2/3 Major Discount, Rail Minor Downgrade
1 – O’CONNOR – has group 1 wins in Chile – probably the equivalent to Grade 3 here, won US debut with ease
7 – SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING – has the back class for sure and some nice works for first race since September
4 – SIMPLIFICATION – a horse for the course for sure GP 7/3-1-2 – elsewhere 5/0-0-1
2 – PIONEER OF MEDINA – 3rd off the break and only other 3rd off the break was career best outing
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,7/1,7/1,2,4,7,8
Race 11: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers 1-3 Fair, 4-7 Penalty and 8+ Bonus
11 – MARKETSEGMENTATION – TLRSP# last two should sit off the pace and go
8 – INSATIABLE – third race after a layoff – only other 3 race cycle, 3rd was the best and set high water mark
9 – MOZAY – closed ground in last four and should be better in 2nd layoff, really upped 2/4f pace# in last
5 – TEXAS SHUFFLE –runs her best off after a layoff, just like today
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,11/8,9,11/5,7,8,9,11
Gulfstream Park Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
