Horse Racing Today – Gulfstream Park Picks Live – Thursday, December 29, 2022

Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Early Speed/Stalker with Heavy Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty

1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Bias: Stalkers with Fair PPs ATB

2 – WICKED MERCURY – tied TLRSP#, maybe moves up in second off the sidelines

1 – MOSLER’S IMAGE – another with a difficult trip vs the top pick in last

7 – EMIRATES AFFAIR – potential to be lone E, speed did well yesterday

4 – SHES THE NORTH – ships in from Woodbine, tie TLRSP# and some OK works

Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: ALL/3

Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, A little Under Par 1-7, 8+ Nice Bonus

3 – ALLAGASH RUN – should be able to run his race from beginning to end – only 4 yo v 3 yo in the field

1 – BREEZY CONNECTION – TLRPS# with a little bit of in race improvement, 3SP# up in a row, Z pattern

7 – UNCLE MARK – 1s time starter that doesn’t have much to beat, like the Dec 8 work, 3f in 35.4, could challenge for the lead with a number like that

8 – TACTICAL FORCE – a little faster final 7f time in last, a little quicker this time and could compete for the W

Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 3/ALL – $0.50 Pick Four: 3/2,4,5/3,4,7/1,3,4,10

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, PP 1-7 Fair with an 8+ Bonus

4 – STRASBOURG – likely to be the one everybody has to pass, BTN heavy FAV last out with some issue, expect a better race today – lone P between Es and Cs

5 – CHIQUIRIN – upgraded his 2/4f pace#s sharply in the last race, 3SP# increases in a row, TLRSP#

2 – THE TWINS SNEAKERS – funky start in last, never got involved, has a +10 LP edge and +6 EP/LP combo, better start = better result

3 – FISHING FOR FUN – tough call over the 6, but catches a 10 pound weight break and should be forwardly placed – good combo

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,5/4,5/2,3,4,5,6

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Mostly Fair PPs

3 – CORPORATE AFFAIR – TLRSP# and has a +6 EP edge through 4f, kind of Like Chantal on Speed Horses

7 – JRUE BREEZE – taking the biggest class drop and carries 9 pounds less in this race than last and 7 pound break today

4 – PAPA KATZ – ships in from Woodbine, improved a lot in 2^nd career start, B+ GP Workout on Dec 22nd

1 – TRAPPE THE WIND – by far the most consistent performer compared to everything that remains

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,7/3,7/1,2,3,4,7

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Just 3  races – 1 w2w – the others Stalkers, 2 wins 8+, the other 4-7

1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Bias: Stalkers with Fair PPs ATB

4 – PEOPLE FORCE – saw this paly out yesterday, Jose on the lead – w2w – could see that here, a little faster 1m70y time in Race 2 vs debut

10 – IMPOSTER SYNDROME – money burner, BTN FAV in both races, no excuses in last, on the lead with slow fractions and gave it up at the wire – very concerning

3 – ISLAND SWAGGER – stretching out for the first time, numbers are on par with tip choices, nice work between races

1 – RULE IT – any improvement in career start number 2 would make him competitive, Pletcher putting Saez on suggests they think he is legit today

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,10/3,4,10/1,3,4,9,10

Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Bias: Stalkers with Fair PPs ATB

6 – KING THEO – AW is the right surface 10/4-1-0, Grass and Dirt 16/1-2-0, TLRSPR and decent work between races

3 – KITTEN’S SPA – down in class, last race was deceptively good, nice bullet work on Xmas ever 4f in 46.3

2 – INCITATUS – another flyer on a Left Arrow horse – very consistent performer on the AW, a ton better in the last half of his last race

1 – THENORTHREMEMBERS – ran some of his best fractions last out, AW is a question 11/1-1-4, tough call over the 7 and 8

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,6/3,6/1,2,3,5,6

Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Mostly Fair PPs

3 – SCARLET STRIPE – TLRSP# and drops in class, nice mid move in last

6 – DOLL BABY – is she can run to her debut – work on Dec 3^rd says she’ll be ready

5 – AMERICAN TAP – GP 11/3-3-3, nice first race after a short layoff, good maintenance work between races

7 – POIEMA – will be on the gas from go, brave if she has the lead in the stretch, weight break

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Three: 3/1,2,4,7/2,3,4,5,10

Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 10 Races – Stalkers with an 8+ Edge

Off Turf – 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: Stalkers, 2+ Fair with a Rail Discount

2- BEECHNUT TROPHY – GP Grass 3/2-0-1, both wins off the break like today, good works

4 – MY CANDY GIRL – in good form, PPs suggest she’ll improve in race 2 off the sidelines

1 – LADY DAY – is a Group 3 winner in France, 1st race in US is a toss out, looking for a better effort today

7 – ROSEBUD’S HOPE – TLRSP# at Woodbine, might need a race after a little time off

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,4/2,4/1,2,4,7,10

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: Stalkers, 2+ Fair with a Rail Discount

4 – CALIFORNIA GIGI – 3SP# Increases in row, better fractions last out

5 – KARENVILLE – consistent horse, has some of the most LP but should be close to the front with this group

10 – BEAUTIFUL STAR – maybe better in 3^rd off the break, lone AW race was the best of her career, maybe like the surface

2 – ROSA STAR – tough call over the 3, but has better AW#s

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5/4,5,10/2,3,4,5,10

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