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Horse Racing Today – Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks Live – Tuesday, November 22, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Racing Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes

Horsehoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1

5 – Holiday Ticket – He has finished in the money in the last three races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning one of the starts and has a Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has finished in the money in four out of eight starts, winning two of the races.

4 – Complex Justice – He likes the track finishing in the money in 59% of his starts, winning 15% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 80% of his starts.

3 – Golden Tone – He comes in from Hawthorne to try Horseshoe Indianapolis for the first time and takes a big drop-in class today.

9 – Prince Act – He has finished in the money in five out of his last six starts finishing in 2nd in his last race and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (18 5-4-1).

Alternate:

10 – Ferocity


Race 2

7 – Ocean Honey – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

2 – Marsanne – She drops in class today; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and may improve with Lasix added.

1 – Thatshowsherolls – She has an early foot, so the shorter distance is a plus and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.

6 – Taya Alldaya – She drops in class today and can improve with Lasix added.

Alternate:

5 – Midnight Xo

3 – Clovertowne

 

Race 3

7 – Space Force Won – He has won three races in a row at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and he earned the highest last race speed rating.

3 – Nip N Tuck – He has finished in the money in four out of the last five starts, winning two of the races and he has a high % winning trainer.

2 – Rich Kingdom – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, winning the previous race.

1 – C F V Bullet – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Mansfield Tiger

4 – Bern N Ash

 

Race 4

2 – Victor’s Deal – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and he earned the highest last race speed rating.

7 – Ferdan – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

8 – Lookin At Justice – He was off for over a year but ran a nice 3rd in his first race back, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

3 – One Eyed Johnny – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and the same jockey returns to ride again.

Alternate:

6 – Venice Beach


Race 5
 

2 – Lily’s Home – She has finished in the money in four out of six races this year, running 2nd vs similar in last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis.

5 – Gavinera – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3- Ski Slope – She has an early foot, has the highest last race speed rating and the shorter distance should help.

1 – Catcha Later Mo – She drops in class today and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.

Alternate:

6 – For the Biscuit


Race 6
 

2 – Anchor Manne – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

4 – Bolshie – He had trouble in his last race being bumped and was taken up at the 5/8 and has a high % winning jockey.

7 – Mas Oro – He has an early foot and a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 7 days has this record (4 2-0-0).

6 – Vicious Rumor – He had some minor problems in his last race and may improve with blinkers added today. 

Alternate:

1 – Carnack On Tour

8 – Almightyjustice

 

Race 7

4 – Dash of Simplicity – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.

3 – Harlans Princess – She took 2-months off and ran 2nd in her return, and she has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-3-1).

2 – Lieutenant Kitty – She ran 2nd in her last race, and she has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-1-1).

8 – V. E. Tia – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, but she has a flaw, she does not finish in the money other than winning. 

Alternate

5 – D D Seven Thirty

1 – Skippinjustice


Race 8
 

4 – Justa Simple Girl – She has won two out of the last three races and has a trainer/jockey combo record who has won two out of three races.

3 – Crossed the Line – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

10 – Expect the Boss – She finished 3rd vs tougher in last race and drops in class today.

6 – Luckywise – She has trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (10 5-1-1) and the trainer 28% wins in dirt starts.


Race 9

6 – Jolly Tommy – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the shorter distance should help, and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

9 – Jealous Eyes – He is a closer who will try and catch the front runners and returning to dirt may be a plus.

1 – Prince Shim – He has plenty of early speed and a high % winning jockey.

8 – Versatile – He returned to the dirt in his last race and ran 4th and with blinkers added today he may perform better.

Alternate:

4 – Hurry On Out

10 – Grey Charmer


Race 10

3 – Jova – He has finished in the money in three out of the last four starts, winning one of the races, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Bonnie Bill – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and he earned the highest last race speed rating.

5 – Flowerpecker – He finished 3rd in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has a high % winning trainer.

7 – Cap de Fuego – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis.

Alternate:

4 – Manuelito

8 – Successfully Done


Race 11

9 – Pickle Feet – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; he has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 7 days has this record (4 2-0-0) and a good 4F workout on Nov-11.

5 – Shooter Justice – He has an early foot and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Casper Justice – He had a nice 3rd place finish in his last race and the distance will not be a problem.

7 – Bluegrass Prayer – He could not last on the lead in his last race at 1-1/16 and now cuts back to 6-furlongs which may just be the ticket to a win.

Alternate:

2 – Grand in Bay

8 – Dossier


Race 12

9 – Eagle Joy – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis.

6 – Governor K – He broke slow in his last race and with a better break he will be very competitive.

4 – Country Celebration – She won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and seems to always be right there at the end.

8 – Jess Gimme a Kiss – Terrible break last race so I will throw it out, he should do better as he likes the track.

Alternate:

2 – Jess Dashingly

1 – Ajk Payyourtax

 

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed fair PPs

4 – COMPLEX JUSTICE – ITM 10/2-3-3 at the distance, should be involved from start to finish

5 – HOLIDAY TICKET – mispriced? Ran better 2/4 pace numbers and fractions in his last

8 – VICE COP – expecting more in the 2nd off the break combined with dropping multiple classes, capable of big mid moves

10 – FEROCITY – tough start in last, hopped, cleaner start and he should be involved from start to finish

 

Race 2: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with nice Rail and 8+ bonus, 2-7 a little less than fair

2 – MARSANNE – track dropper speed wins at the distance, +/EP edge at 4f plus 1st Lasix, just needs to hang on for 1 furlong

1 – THATSHOWSHEROLLS – already got the better of the 7 on Sept 24t, last race better than it looks early with massive 2/4f improvements and faster fractions at 7f than two most recent dirt sprints

7 – OCEAN HONEY – TLRSP# and drops from MSW 34k, better in 1st ½ mile in last, but ran this level two back and didn’t finish well

4 – LAVISH LIFE STYLE – decently bet in her debut and did nothing, has three workouts since including a nice 4fs at Keeneland – gets Lasix here, we’ll see if horseplayers were onto something in debut

 

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed 2-7 best, rail penalty and 8+ small penalty

7 – SPACE FORCE WON – this race should set up perfectly for the lone P with ++LP and enough EP to keep close

5 – MANSFIELD TIGER – lone EP horse that is all or nothing 10/4-0-0 – drops from 2 NGSTK, wn last at this level

3 – NIP N TUCK – last work was good for his 1st since late September, won his last fresh start

2 – RICH KINGDOM – tough call over the 1, but its in the name and the 1 is coming off maiden win in 7th try, vs this one that is 1 length from winning three of his last four, including a blowout at this state-bred Level

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed fair PPs

7 – FERDAN – should be close to the pace and has the 2nd best LP, resume says 2nd off the break should be better than the 1st

2 – VICTOR’S DEAL – TLRSP# in 2nd start after more than a year off, could be better in 3rd off the long layoff

8 – LOOKIN AT JUSTICE – second race after more than a year in the barn, has the most LP vs a field of P and E horses, should get a lot of speed to chase

3 – ONE EYED JOHNNY – might be involved from start to finish and another that’s making his third start off the bench

 

Race 5: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with nice Rail and 8+ bonus, 2-7 a little less than fair

2 – LILY’S HOME – HINDY 5/0-3-1 all in short sprints

1 – CATCHA LATER MO – bit too much off in KEE 100K MSW, back to a level that fits, top EP/LP combo – lookout if she gets the lead

3 – SKI SLOPE – TLRSP# and very limited resume says second off the bench better than the 1st, same fractions at 6f v 5f in last

6 – FOR THE BISCUIT – left arrow horse? Showed plenty of EP in debut, track dropper from CD, 1st Lasix with EP – one of my favorite combos

 

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed fair PPs

2 – ANCHOR MANNE – TLRSP# with some of the most EP, has +/LP, can’t pass what you can’t catch

4 – BOLSHIE – could be part of the early pace and might improve in career start #2

6 – VICIOUS RUMOR – numbers were better ATB in 2nd career start with Z pattern

7 – MAS ORO – consistent performer that gets a helpful weight break today

 

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed with an edge for PP 4-7

4 – DASH OF SIMPLICITY – Left Arrow horse was better ATB in last, similar fractions at 6f v 5 1/2

11 – MISS LUV SHACK – Left Arow horse that should be involved from the jump HINDY 8/2-2-0

2 – LIEUTENANT KITTY – better ATB in last with better times at 1 1/16m v 1m70y

3 – HARLANS PRINCESS – Lone EP horse that could be better in 2nd off the break, Distance 6/2-2-0

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed fair PPs

3 – CROSSED THE LINE – might be better in her second start after a layoff, HINDY 9/1-2-3

5 – ADMIRAL’S GARNET – left arrow horse that just needs to run back two races, last was better than it looks with better fractions at 6f v 5 1/2f
4 – JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL – TLRSP#, worried a tough about the pop and possible regression, but same race equals another win

2 – SWEET GINGER – going to take a flyer here, has some EP, a decent work and gets a 10 pound weight break

 

Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed 2-7 best, rail penalty and 8+ small penalty

6 – JOLLY TOMMY – losing a little distance helps for the horse with a +O advantage

4 – HURRY ON OUT – track dropper? TLRSP# by decent margin in last at Keeneland, could up it in R2 after a layoff

9 – JEALOUS EYES – Lone PC horse in a field packed with closers, flipping from turf to dirt, 23% angle for tr Cheryl Winebaugh – 23% angle for 15% trainer

7 – KINISON – left arrow horse, been off more than a year, has a ton of EP and gets 1st Lasix here

 

Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed fair PPs

3 – JOVA – very consistent performer, PC horse with +O edge

5 – FLOWERPECKER – faster fractions in last with huge improvement with 2/4 pace#s

7 – CAP DE FUEGO – plenty of EP, should be on the gas from go to photo – Distance 11/1-4-3

2 – BONNIE BILL – TLRSP#, distance in the key here 4/2-1-1, others 8/1-0-0

 

Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed fair PPs

9 – PICKLE FEET – drops from a 100K NGSTK, cutting back in distance should help, +O edge

5 – SHOOTER JUSTICE – +2f, +/4f edge, BTN FAV tr Randy Klopp rebounds at 25% vs 20% overall

2 – GRAND IN BAY – TLRSP#, was much better through 1st half mile last out, usually has some of the most LP

7 – BLUEGRASS PRAYER – fast dirt 6/1-2-2, cutting back in distance helps here too

 

Race 12: 330 Yards

4 – COUNTRY CELEBRATION

5 – FLY THE COUP

2 – JESS DASHINGLY

9 – EAGLE JOY)

Horseshoe Indianapolis Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet (Races 1-8)

Horseshoe Indy Pace Worksheet 11-22-22

Horseshoe Indianapolis Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet (Races 9-11)

Horseshoe Indianapolis Pace Worksheet 11-22-22 part 2

 

 

 

 

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