Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Woodbine Best Bet
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delta Downs
Horsehoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Picks and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Sentimentaljourney – She finished 2nd (on Turf) in her last at Horseshoe Indianapolis and should improve while returning to dirt – She likes to close from off the pace and with all the speed in the race it may set up for her.
3 – Varton – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, she has the highest last race speed, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and the trainer /jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-0-0).
1 – Could You – She came in from Oaklawn and tried the turf for the first time and did not take to it – She returns to the dirt and should improve as her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Lady Atlantic – She came in from Hawthorne after winning two races in a row to try Horseshoe Indianapolis for the first time and she can handle the distanced.
Alternate:
6 – Second Exchange
2 – Fearless Anna
Race#2
7 – Ronithelimodriver – He Drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes.
3 – Mr. Peterkin – He drops in class today; the trainer horse wins 33% of the races in the second race with the trainer and returning to dirt is a plus.
5 – Barstow – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and the trainer wins 23% of the races in the second race after claiming a horse.
6 – Schenectady Star – He drops in class today; the trainer horse wins 21% of the races when bringing a horse back from being 46-90 days Away and May improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
2 – Kidyounot
Race 3
2 – Jacks Spring Break – He has finished in the money in his last six race, finishing 3rd vs similar in last race.
7 – Rounder – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and his trainer /jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-1-1).
1 – Danny’s Lil Dana – He tried turf and did not seem to like it, so he is back to the dirt for this contest, the rail post is winning at 31% clip, drops in class today and the trainer wins 33% of the races when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes.
8 – Ashwins Orb – He finished 3rd vs tougher (on Turf) in last race and drops in class today.
Alternate:
6 – Jim and Jim
Race 4
6 – Sir Ronaldo – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start, has the highest last race speed rating and may improve with blinkers added today.
4 – Aaron’s Conquest – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, and she has a good 4F workout on Jun-29.
7 – Conquered – She has shown early speed earning the best dirt speed among today’s starters, has a trainer who wins 25% of the sprints races he has an entry in and may improve with Lasix added.
1 – He Goes Forever – She is a first-time starter has decent workouts including a bullet workout on Jun-12.
Alternate:
5 – General Affair
Race 5
2 – Whisky Rivers – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and his early speed running style helps his chances.
3 – Prince Shim – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
4 – One for the Money –He is a closer who has finished in the money in two out of the last four races.
6 – Pablo’s Sun – He can improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today and his trainer wins 28% of the races when taking a horse from Turf.
Alternate:
7 – Zolo
Race 6
7 – Double Tuff – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Jova – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer wins 23% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
8 – Cap de Fuego – He has finished in the money in nine of his last ten races, finishing in 3rd in last race.
4 – Bluemoon Justice –He figures to improve while returning to dirt and the trainer wins 18% of the races going from Turf to Dirt.
Alternate:
6 – Two Last Words
Race 7
5 – Judy’s Way – She finished 2nd (on Dirt) in her last race, has the highest last race speed and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
7 – Hohohoho – She has early speed and if she isn’t pressured, she could go all the way on the lead – She has a high % trainer and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Hashtag Winner – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the trainer wins 23% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
1 – April’s Gem – She finished 2nd at Hawthorne in her last race comes in to try Horseshoe Indianapolis for the first time.
Alternate:
4 – Giveusthisday
Race 8
3 – Motion to Adjourn – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in his last race, his early speed running style helps his chances.
4 – Golden Rapper – He has finished in the money in both of his career races, finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race – The only question is can he go the longer distance.
7 – Got Lost – After an 8-month break he ran 2nd vs similar in his last race only losing by a neck, has the highest last race speed rating and a high % winning trainer.
5 – Hitchpin – He has a high % winning trainer and the trainer /jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-0-0).
Alternate:
2 – Rookwood
9 – Smooth Talking Man
Race 9
7 – Jesta Concept – 10Jun Ind 1f ft :12.1 Bg2/16 – has a high % winning trainer
8 – Tellem About It – 30Mar Ind 1f ft :12 Bg8/25.
6 – Country Chicks Cash – Has a decent trainer.
5 – My Royal Jess – 25May Ind 1f ft :12.1 Bg2/9
Alternate:
3 – Darnell
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 65 races, 53 won by speed, 18 w2w – PP: rail won just 4 times, 2/3 & 8+ little underperformance, 4-7 best
3 – VARTON – just ran a peak number, the last time she popped, she followed it up with a little regression, but still a very solid race
4 – SENTIMENTALJOURNEY – small drop in class and should be coming at the end, probably best of the bunch at the distance 6/3-0-1
1 – COULD YOU – would not have bet this gal last out, but expect a strong effort in her 2nd start off the bench, two very good works since last race
5 – LADY ATLANTIC – not much difference between the rest, might as well take the one that will be closer to the front at the jump
Race 2 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 24 races, 17 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, almost fair 2/3, slight bonus 4-7, now winners 8+
7 – RONITHELIMODRIVER – dropping multiple classes, showed LP improvement, 3rd off the break
5 – BARSTOW – TLRSP#, drops in class, was better in the first ½ mile, hung on to speed longer, 24% win rate for trainer Genaro Garcia 2nd off the claim
4 – INHERENT POWERS – he also had better 2/4f pace numbers in his last and moves down in class
3 – MR. PETERKIN –
Race 3 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 24 races, 17 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, almost fair 2/3, slight bonus 4-7, now winners 8+
7 – ROUNDER – trainer Randy Klopp hits at 31% 3rd off the break, should be rolling late and the extra distance should help
2 – JACKS SPRING BREAK – been knocking at the door at the distance 5/0-3-2, showed improved 2/4f pace #s in last
1 – DANNY’S LIL DANA – rides the 31% rail, drops on class, last time he ran at this level, held the lead until the final stride
8 – ASHWINS ORB –
Race 4 – 4 ½ Furlongs, 8 races, 7 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: inside 3 penalty, outside in 4+
7 – CONQUERED – has early pace and gets first lime Lasix, has some of the best EP#s
6 – SIR RONALDO – TLRSP#, was well bet in debut, should be better in round 2
4 – AARON’S CONQUEST – good works for tr John Ortiz, winner of 3/10 at HIndy
1 – HE GOES FOREVER – tough post but the best works for the rest
Race 5 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 24 races, 17 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, almost fair 2/3, slight bonus 4-7, now winners 8+
6 – PABLO’S SUN – LS – MSW dropper that show a lot more EP In his last race, to start 3 yo campaign, he’s going to be better today and probably the one they have to catch
7 – ZOLO – MSW dropper with the most room for upside with only one career race, you just don’t know
3 – PRINCE SHIM – showed speed in his first route race, looks better than all the other MCL’s with TLSRP#
2 – WHISKY RIVERS
Race 6 – 6 Furlongs, 64 races, 50 won by speed, 13 w2w – PP: 8+ best, all the rest close to fair with 2/3 getting a minor bump up
8 – CAP DE FUEGO – BB – has one of the biggest EP advantages on the card today, has raced well against open company – gets a break vs state breds today
2 – JOVA – 1st off the claim for trainer Kim Hammond, a 23% angle, ran TLRSP# and was better ATB
7 – DOUBLE TUFF – drops in class for 100K non graded stakes, ran better time in the first half mile of his last race
6 – TWO LAST WORDS
Race 7 – 1 Mile Turf, 34 races, 21 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: rail fair, 2/3 solid bonus, 4-7 fair, 8+ struggle
5 – JUDY’S WAY – has a pair of turf miles in her last 5 races, 2 by 3/4s and 3rd by 1/2, TLRSP# with early race improvement, trending in the right direction for the 3rd off the bench
3 – HASHTAG WINNER – CD track dropper, record says there is room for improvement in 2nd start after a layoff, tr Genaro Garcia 24% 2nd off the claim
7 – HOHOHOHO – this is the one they all will have to catch, faded badly last out but absolutely has the ability to go w2w
2 – MOONSHINE DREAMER – put in a strong effort in her last, trainer David Reid must have liked what he saw with better 4/6f times as he moves her up a few classes
Race 8 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 24 races, 17 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, almost fair 2/3, slight bonus 4-7, now winners 8+
4 – GOLDEN RAPPER – been close in the last two, has some EP, which should put him close to the pace in his first route
5 – HITCHPIN – same as the 4, going long for the first time, has the best LP and top EP/LP combo
7 – GOT LOST – just missed last out with TLRSP#, should be better in 2nd go after 7 months off, but had 12 chances to get first W already
3 – MOTION TO ADJOURN – been close in his last two, flips back to dirt after trying turf with much, much better fractions
Race 9 – 250 Yards – good luck
7 – JESTA CONCEPT
3 – ER CRAZY SECRET
6 – COUNTRY CHICKS CASH
5 – MY ROYAL JESS
