Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks
Terry’s Fort Erie Best Bet
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fanduel
Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
5 – Copper King – He tried turf in his last race and was not very successful and now returns to dirt where he should do well.
3 – Romped – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis at today’s distance and a repeat performance would not be a surprise.
1 – Blueridge Traveler – He comes in from Oaklawn Park to try Horseshoe Indianapolis for the first time – The rail post is winning at a 27% clip, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer / jockey combo in last 14 days has won two out of three races, finishing 3rd in the other one.
6 – Fulco – He has early speed and just won his last race at Belterra Park receiving the highest last race speed rating (tie) and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (8 3-1-2).
Alternate:
4 – Barefootbootlegger
2 – Egomaniac
Race 2
1 – Kenzie Lou – She has been improving in each race and finished 3rd vs similar in last one.
7 – Waris – She has run 2nd two races in a row vs similar, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Mose Definitely – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and switches to a high % winning trainer.
5 – Neoqueen – She drops in class today and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (19 5-2-1).
Alternate:
3 – Bumper Girl
6 – Boo’s Gal
Race 3
7 – Sweet Justice – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race receiving the highest last race speed rating (tie), drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 3rd race off a layoff.
2 – America Rules – She finished 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a trainer in the last 14 days has this record (11 4-1-2).
5 – Justa Simple Girl – She did not like the mud in her last race, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Lashes – She took a 6-months break, and in her first race back ran a good 2nd – In the next race she was on a muddy track and did not take to it, but she drops in class today.
Alternate:
6 – Re Ante
3 – Tappin Into Summer
Race 4
5 – Gio’s Baby Girl – She has finished 2nd in four out of five races during his career at Horseshoe Indianapolis and is eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff.
3- Z Zs Red – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race getting the highest last race speed rating and the trainer wins 25% of the races when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-0-1).
1 – Signature Street – She has a decent workout on May 30th– May improve while returning to dirt.
4 – Darnell – She has a trainer in the last 14 days has this record (11 4-1-2).
Alternate:
2 – Idareyoutodance
6 – Vivijo
Race 5
7 – Yankee Mischief – He finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in last race and got the highest last race speed rating – His early speed running style helps his chances and he can improve at the shorter distance.
3 – Mr Cline – He ran 4th in his debut race after being heavily bet, drops in class today and trainer wins 60% of the time when going from a Maiden to Maiden Claiming race.
5 – Rounder – He closed at 5-1/2 furlongs missing by 3-1/2 lengths and stretches out to 6-furlongs which should help, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Fifty Two Pickup – He switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when going from a route to sprint and may improve while returning to a sprint.
Alternate:
9 – Joe’s Calling
6 – Elvis Just Elvis
Race 6
4 – Say Cheese – She just likes to win and won her last two races at Fanduel Park – She has won a couple races at a major track, Gulfstream Park so I think she can compete with these horses.
12 – Current Climate – She ran 2nd (on Dirt) in her last race, she is trying turf for the first time but her Dam has produced 1 Turf winner and she has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (19 5-2-1).
11 – Miller’s Maiden – She won her last race at Tampa Bay Downs on the Turf and distance will not be a problem.
9 – Queen of the Green – She Finished 3rd in last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
3 – Timeless Rose
Race 7
6 – Tapadera – He won his debut race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and then finished 3rd in last race after lots of trouble.
1 – Cibolo – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, got the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Scotty’s On Edge – He finished in the money in both starts in his young career including winning one of them and then took a break for 8-months but has decent workouts and drops in class today.
9 – Malibu Classic – He ran 4th in his last race, is eligible to improve in the 3rd start since the layoff and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-1-0).
Alternate:
5 – Amazing Justice
7 – Overjoy
Race 8
5 – Last Hurrah – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race getting the highest last race speed rating, has a trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 3rd race off a layoff and has a good 4F workout (May-31).
7 – Habuiah – She is trying turf for the first time, but her trainer wins 50% of the time in the 1st race on the grass and she has a good 4F workout (May-30).
12 – Zipsy Rose Lee – Her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a decent workout on May 24th.
4- Kangaroo Talk – She closed to finish 3rd in her last race on the turf and may catch them today.
Alternate:
6 – Tap the Line
2 – Mamala Kamala
Race 9
1 – Wrs Moonin Thewagon – He is a nose and a neck of winning nine out of nine career races winning the last seven in a row.
2 – Wrs Valentino – He has either been first or second in all his career races and has three speed ratings above 100.
9 – Jess Gimme a Kiss – He likes to close to win his races and may have the benefit of the outside post.
4 – High Rolling Seize – He ran 6th in his last race after bobbling during the race – A better start will make him competitive.
Alternate:
6 – Hooked on Jordan
3 – Abe
Rich’s Ranks
Raec 1 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 19 races, 15 won by speed, 4 w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 almost fair, 4-7 a little bonus, 8+ no wins
6 – FULCO – interesting comment, one whack, tons the best, that was his first race on regular dirt and was at Indy
1 – BLUERIDGE TRAVELER – ships in from OP, some mid race improvement in last, the only horse with any early race improvement, rides the 27% winning rail – Top EP and LP#s
3 – ROMPED – won his last at distance/track/surface, some regression in his last in the first half, but major LP gains
5 – COPPER KING – could be better in his second off the bench, ITM 9/12 at the distance
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 26 won by speed, 8 w2w -PP: slight rail penalty, rest are mostly fair
7 – WARIS – ran better numbers in 6f in mud than 5f on a fast track, missed as the favorite in last, tr Michell Elliott rebounds at 22%
2 – MOSE DEFINITELY – dropping in class, making 4 YO debut, some strong works getting ready
1 – KENZIE LOU – significant 2/4f improvement in last race, 2/0-0-2 at INDY
5 – NEOQUEEN –debut had top EP numbers for this group before fading
Race 3 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 26 won by speed, 8 w2w -PP: slight rail penalty, rest are mostly fair
7 – SWEET JUSTICE – TLRSP# and drops in class for his 3rd start off the bench, a 30% winner for tr Randy Klopp
2 – AMERICA RULES – was a little better ATB in her last on a sloppy track with better times at 6f vs 5f
3 – TAPPIN INTO SUMMER – hasn’t been close since winning her maiden 5 races ago, drops to the lowest level of her career, LP improvement in her last gives hope for a big run
6 – RE ANTE -won maiden debut and ran competitively vs good comp in the next two starts before struggling – 3 YO debut with 31f of OK works getting ready
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 26 won by speed, 8 w2w -PP: slight rail penalty, rest are mostly fair
3 – Z ZS RED – speed numbers are so much better than any of the others, if she just runs the same race as the last 2, one of the others will have to make a huge leap to be better
2 – IDAREYOUTODANCE – was well bet in debut, going back to dirt sprint after running 1 mile on turf – OK work between races
5 – GIO’S BABY GIRL – has the best LP#s by a wide margin, will pass all faltering speed
1 – SIGNATURE STREET – same story as number 2
Race 5 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 26 won by speed, 8 w2w -PP: slight rail penalty, rest are mostly fair
2 – EL CARDINAL – LS – track and class dropper from GP, showed EP in 2 of 4 start, has a bullet Indy work on May 31, 1st Lasix – shocker?
7 – YANKEE MISCHIEF – drops in class coming off the TLRSP# and ITM 8/0-1-3 – 50% highest hit rate in the field
3 – MR CLINE – only MSW to MCL dropper in he field, was 2-1 favorite in Debut, makes you wonder why they are drooping a horse that cost 47K into 12.5 claimer in 2nd start?
9 – JOE’S CALLING – tough call over the 5, but 1st time starter with strong work pattern
Race 6 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 1 race won by speed from 2/3 posts
8 – GO BIG GREEN – TLRSP# and gets a weight break, INDY 3/0-0-2, was fav in last at INDY but had some in race issues
11 – MILLER’S MAIDEN – went w2w to get a win at 1 1/8 miles on TB turf, has a bullet work since, jy Edgar Morales winning at crazy 27%
1 – BUMBLE OF LOVE – last race was no good, but INDY 4/3-0-0 on grass, and 2/2 at the distance, both on Indy Turf
9 – QUEEN OF THE GREEN –
Race 7 – 6 Furlongs, 33 races, 26 won by speed, 8 w2w -PP: slight rail penalty, rest are mostly fair
8 – SCOTTY’S ON EDGE – won debut at INDY, tried 100K non graded in round 2, went to bench in September, Eddie C angle, bullet work 2 back, maintenance work afterwards
1 – CIBOLO – a huge SP# jump in last race following a 9-month layoff after debut. If he runs the same race, only the 8 has numbers to compete, but a bounce is in play
6 – TAPADERA – tough start in his last at this level, was well bet and we’ll see if he can rebound to debut form
3 – REMEMBER HYMN – 3rd start after a layoff, 23% angle in 116 races for tr Cipriano Contreras, well above his 16% overall rate, has some EP and 1st time gelded with 2nd best INDY numbers on dirt
Race 8 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 1 race won by speed from 2/3 posts
5 – LAST HURRAH – has a decided EP advantage over the rest of field and has a bullet work on May 31, should be sharp in the 3rd off the bench
7 – HABUIAH – if the flip side of the 5, has the best LP# by a decent margin, stretching out for the first time, tr John Langemeier winner 3/8 1st route and first turf winner ½, strong work on May 30
12 – ZIPSY ROSE LEE – hope for improvement in her second start after a layoff, much better fractions lin last
2 – MAMALA KAMALA – a maybe horse, maybe the move to turf is the answer – compared to all the others, it’s a reason the horse could surprise
Race 9 – 350 Yards
1 – WRS MOONIN THEWAGON
2 – WRS VALENTINO
4 – HIGH ROLLING SEIZE
9 – JESS GIMME A KISS
