Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers
Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
2 – Nighttime Justice – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 50% of the races when they drop off a win and jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (17 6-1-2).
1 – Ocelia – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Fearless Anna – She likes Horseshoe Indianapolis finishing in the money in 55% of the time, winning 15% of the races and the distance will not be a problem.
6 – Chinatown Nancy – She drops in class today.
Alternate:
5 – Dance Money
Race 2
4 – Turbo Six O – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 50% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
8 – Brentspence – He drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 33% of the time when taking a horse from maiden to maiden claiming races.
7 – Runaway Image – He should improve while returning to dirt and drops in class today.
1 – Palmer’s Pass – The rail post is winning at a 22% clip and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Protected Area
3 – Let’s Go John
Race 3
6 – Lord Donegal –He ran 2nd vs similar in his only start, has the highest last race speed rating, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, was heavily bet in his debut and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1) – He has a bullet 4F workout on Oct-08.
2 – Oh Chic – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start, has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races in a horse’s first race at a route race and he has a good 4F workout on Oct-11.
1 – Pace – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race on the turf.
11 – Now and Later – He is a first-time starter, and the breeding suggests he will like the grass.
Alternate:
8 – State Champ
5 – First Strike
Race 4
1 – Time to Confess – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a good jockey.
7 – Idareyoutodance – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Sister Justice – She drops in class today, the trainer horses win 21% of the claiming races, can improve while returning to a sprint and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (12 3-2-1).
2 – Justa Simple Girl – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
4 – Prime N Proper
5 – Shes My Treasure
Race 5
9 – Point Well Taken – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Martique Miss – She ran 2nd vs tougher (on Dirt) in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Spurt – She has finished in the money in her last three races shipping in with a trainer who wins 25% of the races when shipping a horse in to race and may improve with blinkers added today.
1 – One More Laugh – She had a disappointing finish in her last race after having trouble, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip, and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
10 – Sassy Sagey
Race 6
4 – Mas Oro – He has an early speed running style which will help his chances and the trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (12 3-2-1).
8 – Taillights – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Outstandingjustice – He finished in the money in three out of five starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has trainer who wins 20% of the time when taking a horse from a Sprint-Sprint-Route.
3 – Always Spring – He should improve at the longer distance and has a good jockey.
Alternate:
6 – South Decatur
Race 7
11 – New Art – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in his only start, was a heavily bet favorite in the debut, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1).
5 – Regimental – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and may improve with Lasix added.
2 – Mohaymen Holiday – The longer distance should help; his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and can improve with blinkers added today.
1 – Frady – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a decent workout on 08Oct Kee 4f ft :48.4 B 37/134.
Alternate:
3 – True Prodigy
7 – Phantom Ride
Race 8
5 – Prince Shim – He ran 2nd (on Turf) in his last race, returning to dirt may help, the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (17 6-1-2) and he has a good 4F workout on Oct-12.
1 – Hitchpin – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again and his trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (8 2-0-2).
6 – One Big Dude – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Tap Tap Comin Thru – He has a high % winning trainer, and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
7 – Sha Kon O Hey
4 – Majestic Zeus
Race 9
6- Wanna Be a Runaway – Ran 2nd in his last race.
5 – Heza Fumar Red – Ran 3rd in his last race.
9 – Tres of Glory– Always in the mix.
7 – Wheelze Up– Just missed in his last race after having trouble.
Alternate:
8 – Daddys Famous Lady
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Speed, 2+ fair, Rail Penalty
2 – NIGHTTIME JUSTICE – is dropping off an EZ claiming 10K win to claiming 5K, make sense to you? Me either
1 – OCELIA – TLRSP# by a long way, huge bump from her last, could be better in 3rd off the bench, but last peak number was followed by small regression
3 – FEARLESS ANNA – doesn’t really look like it, but could be one of the pacesetters
5 – DANCE MONEY – looks no different than the 6 – but 2x the odds
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Inside out speed
6 – PROTECTED AREA – Left Arrow Horse, +2/4f advantage, bullet work Oct 15
4 – TURBO SIX O – TLRSP#, Z Pattern, missed as the favorite tr Tim Eggleston winner 4/8
8 – BRENTSPENCE – BTN FAV in last, tr John Langmeier winner 6/14 – MSW to MCL dropper 33 angle for 16% trainer
7 – RUNAWAY IMAGE – Tough call over 1, but less races and better numbers
Race 3: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed and middle posts
6 – LORD DONEGAL – ++ EP edge and top LP, 3 Bullets in a row
2 – OH CHIC – betting favorite in debut for Brad Cox, going long for the first time 30% and strong recent work
11 – NOW AND LATER – best of the 1st timers?
4 – AUGUSTUS BLUE – going to take a flier here, EP#s in last two would put him in contention early, getting 1st Lasix, maybe speed holds
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Speed, fair 1-7, discount 8+
2 – JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL – Left Arrow Horse with some of the most LP in the field, lone PC horse, 3rd off the bench
1 – TIME TO CONFESS – coming off the maiden win in the 12th try, improved SP in last 4, but numbers are on par with the rest, might win but no way should be 7/5
7 – IDAREYOUTODANCE – got the maiden win in her last with TLRSP# in 9th try – but number is on par with the rest
4 – PRIME N PROPER – better ATB in her last, not much difference between those below or above
Race 5: 5 Furlong Turf – Bias: Inside Out Speed
2 – MARTIQUE MISS – Drops in class after TLRSP# in March, some good works getting ready, 9/0-3-4 lifetime and 2/0-1-1 on turf
9 – POINT WELL TAKEN – coming in from KDs where she has been close, closer shortens ups here?
5 – STANDUP COMEDIENNE – has some back speed, some good works in September, consistent maintenance works since
7 – RAMADHAAN – showed speed in England before coming to the US – first three here were bad, finally flashed EP in last on dirt, goes back to grass where she has struggled, but Reylu Gutierrez rides today, telling me she has a chance
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Speed, 2+ fair, Rail Penalty
8 – TAILLIGHTS – for whatever reason faced NGSTK company in last two, similar ¼ call fractions at 1m70y as 6f
3 – ALWAYS SPRING – all sorts of issues in debut, showed the most late pace, if he can clean up the problems, has a shot to come late
5 – OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE – could be one of the pacesetters going long for the first time, can be an effective combination
10 – ALMIGHTYJUSTICE – only one start, plenty of room to improve
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed and middle posts
11 – NEW ART – rallied hard as the 3/2 favorite in debut -tr Brad Cox hits at 28% in career start #2
5 – REGIMENTAL – Tie TLRSP#, drops from KD 150K, 1st Lasix – should improve
2 – MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY – lone race on turf at Lone Star would be hard to beat, if it’s sloppy speed could be the way
3 – TRUE PRODIGY – track dropper, showed some EP in last and gets 1st Lasix
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles: – Bias: Speed Posts 4-7
6 – ONE BIG DUDE – Z Pattern, much better in last vs previous, hope for more improvement
1 – HITCHPIN – heavily bet in last, tr Randy Klopp rebounds at 27% with BTN FAVS, 3rd off a layoff, probably the same as the last
3 – TAP TAP COMIN THRU – considerably better in last, continued improvement in 3rd off the bench?
5 – PRINCE SHIM – has +2f edge, almost ++ at 4f, but fades late and adds a 1/16 mile today – got to respect the speed edge, but concerned with wobbly late legs
Race 9: 350 Yards
5 – HEZA FUMAR RED
6 – WANNA BE A RUNAWAY
9 – TRES OF GLORY
4 – LOUISIANA LUKE
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