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Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Picks and Commentary
Race 1
1 – Sweet Justice – She has won two out of the last three races winning the last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races with claim repeater.
2 – E Street Angel – She has won two out of the last four races, has a high % winning trainer who wins 44% of the claiming races he has an entry in, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her jockey in the last 7 days has this record (14 4-2-2).
3 – Royal to Be – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
5 – Compressed Energy – She has a trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races he has an entry in, and her best dirt speed is close to the avg winning speed.
Alternate:
4 – Second Exchange
6 – Miss Deputy Star
Race 2
6 – Livingontulsatime – He ran 2nd in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and likes the distance.
1 – Topping – He ran 2nd in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Idea Man – He likes Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning four races there and likes the distance winning two out of three starts.
8 – Guard Duty – He ran 2nd in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has won three out of six starts at today’s distance.
Alternate:
2 – Taos
4 – Highest Praise
Race 3
5 – Toma Todo – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a trainer who wins 23% of the races with claim repeaters.
3 – Duchossois – He finished in the money in his last three races, winning one of the starts and his trainer who wins 62% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
11 – Something Natural – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race, has the highest last race speed rating and a high % trainer.
2 – California Swing – He drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Race 4
3 – Accidental Hero – She was well bet in her debut and ran 2nd vs similar and has a good 5F workout on Sep-02.
4 – Rabbit Hound – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her only start, drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
7 – Paddock Boss – She drops in class today and has a Trainer/Jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0) – Lasix is added.
1 – El Rayo – She has the highest last race speed rating (tie), should improve while returning to dirt and her jockey in the last 7 days has this record (14 4-2-2).
Alternate:
2 – Qualified
8 – Paynter’s Canvas
Race 5
7 – Blessed With Luck – He finished in the money in the last six races, winning one and his trainer wins 27% of routes races.
1 – The Boss Factor – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race and his trainer wins 52% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
8 – Moment – He won last race his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating and his trainer in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-0).
6 – Can’t Hide From Me – He is a closer who will try to catch the leaders.
Race 6
6 – Smokin Richie – He has finished in the money in the last six races, winning three of the starts and has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Flowerpecker – He finished 2nd in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has a high % winning trainer and the shorter distance should help.
3 – Cap de Fuego – He ran 2nd in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Mowins – He drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 4-3-2).
Alternate:
5 – Rock N June Bug
Race 7
9 – Benny’s Legacy – He closed to finish 2nd (on Dirt) in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Jacksons Gold – He has finished in the money in five out of six races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning two including the last race.
5 – Silent Sonata – He ran 5th in his last race after having trouble during the race.
7 – Concrete Charlie– He has a high % winning trainer and good workouts.
Race 8
11 – C. J’s Storm – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, and he has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-07.
10 – Backyard Justice – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and has a good 4F workout on Sep-01.
5 – Outstandingjustice – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
14 – Butch’s Best – He is first time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 6 starters and 1 stakes winner and his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
13 – Taneycomo
Race 9
5 – Tuff Secret – He finished ran 3rd in his last race.
6 – Er Crazy Secret – She finished 3rd and then 2nd in her last race.
7 – Gv Diamante – He finished 3rd in his last race after he bobbled at the start.
1 – Carters Knockout – He finished 3rd in his last race only losing by a neck.
Alternate:
8 – Country Chicks Cash
4 – A Brimmstone Concept
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 Furlongs, 132 races, 99 won by speed, 26 w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ bias, 4-7 penalty
5 – COMPRESSED ENERGY – carrying 9lbs less than the next closest horse, has +/LP edge, ran better fractions at 6f v 5 1/2f, 3rd off the break was best in last 3 race cycle
2 – E STREET ANGEL – an every other race horse, last was bad, so this should be good in classic 3rd off the bench, distance 4/2-1-0
1 – SWEET JUSTICE – tied TLRSP#, resume says this race should be the best for yet another 3rd off the bench starter
7 – BLU VIXEN – left arrow horse, not much difference between the rest, so let’s take 15-1 ML
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 132 races, 99 won by speed, 26 w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ bias, 4-7 penalty
3 – IDEA MAN – has the top LP#s in the field and moved closer to the front in his last, expecting tick higher in 2nd start after some barn time
8 – GUARD DUTY – just missed in his last, gets a weight break, looks like 6f is the right distance (maybe longer) 6/3-2-0 all others 5/0-1-1
6 – LIVINGONTULSATIME – ran better times last out, 2/2 on an off track, tr Claude Brownfield just 1/20 off the claim
9 – TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER – left arrow horse, tough call over the 1, but we’ll take the horse that breaks more sharply at a distance where early speed is the way
Race 3 – 1 Mile Turf, 59 races, 31 won by speed, 14 w2w – PP: rail penalty, 2-7 bonus, 8+ big penalty
5 – TOMA TODO – probably on the lead from start to finish, better last ½ of last race
11 – SOMETHING NATURAL – TLRSP#, 3rd off the bench a 23% winner for trainer Cipriano Contreras
3 – DUCHOSSOIS – 1st off the claim for tr Fausto Guiterrez is a 24% winner
2 – CALIFORNIA SWING – only other horse in the race
Race 4 – 1 Mile, 50 races, 39 won by speed, 14 w2w – PP: rail penalty, 2-7 fair, 8+ penalty
3 – ACCIDENTAL HERO – has a +LP and nearly ++ EP/LP combi edge, could be close to the front in race that lacks a roadrunner
4 – RABBIT HOUND – showed some early juice in his debut before fading, get the 1st Lasix juice today, 37% win rate for trainer Brad Cox, an alpha angle for him.
7 – PADDOCK BOSS – only class dropper in the field, flipping from turf to dirt, closer with 1st Lasix, not my favorite combo but jy Alex Achard and Tr Rudolphe Brisset are, at least in this race, winners of 6/12 together
2 – QUALIFIED – real tough call over left arrow 1 horse, but rail sucks and this a $150k Brad Cox debuter
Race 5 – 1 Mile Turf, 59 races, 31 won by speed, 14 w2w – PP: rail penalty, 2-7 bonus, 8+ big penalty
1 – THE BOSS FACTOR – hate the rail, but how do you pass on tr Brittany Vaden Berg winning at 52% second off the claim? 12/23 – that’s nuts.
8 – MOMENT (MTO) – TLRSP# and if the track is slightly off 9/4-3-0
7 – BLESSED WITH LUCK – left arrow horse, ITM 6/7 in 2022
6 – CAN’T HIDE FROM ME – looks like the best of the rest
Race 6 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 115 races, 93 won by speed, 41 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ penalty
6 – SMOKIN RICHIE – BB – has the top EP/LP #s, you can’t pass what you can’t catch, 2nd off the claim for tr Larry Rivelli – 33% winner
5 – ROCK N JUNE BUG – should be part of the chase from go, better fractions last out at 6f vs 5 1/2
4 – FLOWERPECKER – another with plenty of EP, a little regression in last
7 – A FEW TOOM ANY – is the lone P horse, will likely pick off fading speed at the end
Race 7 – 1 Mile Turf, 59 races, 31 won by speed, 14 w2w – PP: rail penalty, 2-7 bonus, 8+ big penalty
12 – ZOLO – could be the pacesetter and tough to catch with most other speed gone
10 – JACKSONS GOLD – better times and pace #ATB
9 – BENNY’S LEGACY – much better late in his last, mini Z pattern
13 – BELLA’S PRAYER – won his last with a clear Z pattern, fractions were a bit slow
Race 8 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 115 races, 93 won by speed, 41 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, 8+ penalty
10 – BACKYARD JUSTICE – don’t like the post, but tr Anthony Granitz by far best with 1st timers
7 – FOREVER FRIENDS – looking at August 6 and July 14 works as its potential
4 – SAN RONIN – decent works getting ready and a weight break
11 – C. J’S STORM – bullet and go, but trainer 0-41 with 1st timers
Race 9 – 330 Yard Quarter Horse Race
1 – 7 – 5 – 6
Horseshoe Indianapolis Pace Worksheet
