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Horse Racing Today – Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks – Wednesday, May 18, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Jared and Rich discuss…

Horse Racing Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks

Terry’s Horseshoe Indianapolis Best Bet

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs

Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 1 mile 70 yards, 11 races, 8 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: major rail bias, 4-7>2/3

7 – RANDELLO – LS – won first race at INDY with stronger 2/4f pace#s, better 4f fractions

2 – CARTIER CAT – TLRSP#, could add to it in his second start off the bench, 3/0-2-1 at Distance

6 – BAROSSA – major class drop, first half of last race was better than the previous two, bullet work since

5 – DREAM KEEPER – ITM 9/1-2-3 on a fast track, 4/1-1-1 at the distance

3 – PERFECT SILENT CAT – track drop from GP, been running better #s than #4, expecting a solid race in 3rd off the bench with three excellent works since last race

 

Race 2 – 6 furlongs, 6 races, 100% speed but only 1 w2w – PP: fair, slight edge 2/3

2 – TRAUMARAMA – since October, last two works were sharp, indicating she’ll be ready

4 – APRON STRINGS – Distance 8/4-0-2, big late move in her last, might improve in her 2nd off the bench

3 – GOLDEN COMMAND – is dropping in class in her third start after a layoff, gets a weight break

7 – CECILIA’S HOPE – huge drop, has never been available for claim, suspicious

 

Race 3 – 1 Mile Turf, 6 races, 100 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: small inside three bias

4 – ROCKY RUSH – been off since August, 30f works since March 16, including two bullets, ran second following the last long layoff

1 – CLEARING WAIVERS – never off the board in 4 grass races at Indy 4/1-2-1, 3rd off a layoff. 25% winner for tr Kim Hammond, vs 11% overall

7 – LEAVE IT TO KITTEN – will be rolling late with superior LP#s, weight break, decent 6f work since last

8 – FEVER TEMPLE – is the best of the rest because of the success at the distance 10/1-4-2

 

Race 4 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 35 races, 29 won by speed, 9 w2w -PP: just  1 from the rail, 4-7>2/3>8+

9 – SWEEPINJUSTICE – TLRSP#, better fractions at 5 ½ f vs 5 f in second start

2 – LOVE DRUNK – just two races as a 3 YO, could come back better as a 4 YO, 19f works since April 12

8 – BOTOX KATIE – 5 YO debut, mature horse for sure, solid work in her last

4 – ONE LAST BITE – solid work in her last at 3f, suggesting trainer Michael Lauer is hoping for a fast start

 

Race 5 – 7 ½ Furlongs Turf, 1 race, stalker, was 8+

5 – OVERTHETOPJUSTICE – 2nd off the claim for tr Marvin Johnson, winner 4/9 +2.44 ROI

10 – GRAND IN BAY – hasn’t run since late November, major class drop from that race, been working nicely getting ready for return

4 – NATES HEARTTHROB – been off since October, 20f works since April 3,

7 – MANSFIELD TIGER – 2nd start for tr Marvin Johnson, 19% winner with +0.71 ROI

 

Race 6 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 35 races, 29 won by speed, 9 w2w -PP: just  1 from the rail, 4-7>2/3>8+

6 – PICKLE FEET – won his debut with the TLRSP#, not the biggest fan of the MSW to NG 100k,  TLRSP# is the exception

1 – MR CHAOS – is undefeated in three all at INDY and the last at the distance, none were close – probably should be top choice, but 1 for 35 from the rail?

9 – TOO BAD JUSTICE – finally got the maiden W after 4 seconds, last race had better fractions at 5 ½ vs 5 furlongs in last, could be as good, maybe better in third start off the break

2 – ME AND CHILI – tough call over the 8, but we’ll take the higher win rate jockey and one that has competed vs may of the top choices

8 – HIGHCOTTON JUSTICE

 

Race 7 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 35 races, 29 won by speed, 9 w2w -PP: just  1 from the rail, 4-7>2/3>8+

6 – UNBRIDLED VICTORY – already has a win at this level, beating some of these and lost to some of these in debut, solid work on May 10th

1 – HOLY JUSTICE – solid Indy Record, 5/3-1-0, fast track 6/3-1-1, last race at Oaklawn with better numbers in the first half mile

3 – LEXI SUN – beat a few of other odds makers’ favorites in two races, resume says she could pop in her third start off the sidelines

12 – LIL EVIE – ran her best 4f fractions in 6 starts in her last race, that number is important in sprints and expected to see better late performance in her second run after a long layoff

 

Race 8 – 1 Mile Turf, 6 races, 100 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: small inside three bias

3 – BRAVO KITTEN – ships in from Keeneland, tied TLRSP# and might be better in her 3rd start after a layoff, gets 1st time blinkers – 24% winner for tr Saffie Joseph, Jr.

2 – ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK – been running at AQ, TB, GP… Paco Lopez rides has both wins and he second on this horse

6 – LOLLOPING – ships in from Keeneland, better in the first half of her last start, 2nd best pedigree for distance/surface

8 – DREAMWORKER – three races on turf, all at a mile with two wins and has a bullet work in her last

 

Race 9 – 1 Mile Turf, 6 races, 100 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: small inside three bias

4 – TOMMY BEE – has six HQ starts in seven starts, comes in from Keeneland after exploding late in his last race for trainer Brad Cox

5 – STITCHED – all or nothing with three wins in six starts, but 3 for 3 at the Distance

8 – SETNA THE WISE – last race was better than it looks on paper, ran better times at 1 1/16 miles on good rated turf compared to 1 mile on firm turf

1 – SLIM SLOW SLIDER – looks considerably better on paper than the 2

2 – WAKE SURF

 

Race 10 – 300 yards

6 – TOOYAHBOOYA DHD
2 – SECRET EYES
7 – BEACH FRONT
4 – TOO PRETTY TO CATCH
5 – BV AMAZED
1 – PERRY SPECIAL CHICK

 

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