Horse Racing Today – Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks – Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park

Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Picks and Commentary

Charles Tango’s Choices

1. 3,2,1,4
2. 9,6,1,4,
3. 1,10,7,9
4. 6,9,3,2
5. 10,8,7,1
6. 11,12,6,10
7. 3,7,1,2
8. 5,4,3,12
9. 8,5,2,1
10. 4,7,8,10
11. 9,8,3,4

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1:

3 – LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE – HIndy 9/8-1-0, TLRSP#, bullet work since last

1 – AZURITA – 3 SP# increases, has the top LP#s and 2^nd best EP/LP combo

2 – CARRY ON – Left Arrow Horse, bullet work on Sept 28 says she will be better 3^rd after a layoff

5 – TRAUMARAMA – tough call with the 4, both similar but the 5’s numbers are a little wilder and higher odds

 

Race 2:

9 – DONEGAL FACTOR – decently bet in debut, drops in class, 1st time Lasix 37% tr Brad Cox, major alpha angle vs 22% overall

1 – PACE – TLRSP#, has top LP# and +EP/LP combo

7 – MYTHOMANIA – going to take a first-time flyer here, tr William Cowans 26% winner with 1^st time starters vs 19% overall – another Alpha Angle

10 – RIVER BOY – KD dropper, 1^st Lasix all good stuff, but can’t help noticing much improved work on Sept 28 – best of published works, sitting on a good effort?

 

Race 3:

1 – HER WAY – tough call with the 10 for this spot, but our PP analysis says the 1 is a much better spot

10 – SNUGGLER – did grade out as the top horse, but 10 PP is a penalty

9 – ANGELSNDISGUISE – another that ranks a little lower than the 6 &7, but I am going to take the lighter raced horse with enough EP to get a comfortable trip

7 – TAP THE LINE – another tough call vs the 6, but we’ll go with the top LP horse instead of the class riser with early speed

 

Race 4:

2 – SUPE – Left Arrow Horse, drops in class, has the top EP/LP combo, 1^st time gelded, 1^st Lasix, 1^st grass – going to take a shot in a maiden spot

11 – HALOO – has a +EP edge, weight break with speed, HIndy Turf 3/0-1-2, the 2^nd was in one at the distance

6 – MIRACLE ON ICE – top LP, 12f of works sine last on Sep 1 – going to be fit, jockey upgrade to Pedroza says the horse is prime for a big run

9 – SIMPLY JACK – difficult… hard choice over the 10, but going to lean the lighter raced horse that has faced tougher competition and appears to have more upside

10 – ALYANAABI

 

Race 5:

7 – CABLE CHANNEL – BB – 1 for 1 on HIndy turf, 13f works since last race – tr Rodolphe Brisset & jy Alex Achard winners 9/14 together +3.33 ROI -that’s sick

1 – RIVER REDEMPTION – is a nose, head and neck going three for three on HIndy turf at the distance, that kind of hard to believe

9 – SAQEEL – EP horse trying grass for the 1^st time, strong LP, decent off track efforts, 3^rd after a layoff

10 – FUTURE VICTORY – 4 straight 2nds, tr Thomas Amoss 29% second off the claim

 

Race 6:

11 – HOT LITTLE THING – undefeated in three and each was better than the previous, won by 14 at this level last out

3 – QUILTER – won her debut with great comment, “ roused from three path into lane; drew past.”

7 – TIZZY JOJO – debut winner in May as the $0.90 favorite, another great comment, “clear lead, widen in hand.” – like the Sept 10^th five furlong work in 59.3

12 – BLUELIGHTSPECIAL – lone PC horse with strong LP and EP/LP combo

 

Race 7:

2 – FIREBALL BABY – been competing at this level in the last 8, winning 4 with a 2^nd by a neck, Distance 14/5-3-4

7 – CLIMBER – this is the right distance for her 3/2-1-0, lone EP horse

1 – BUMBLE OF LOVE – tie TLRSP#, hard call over the 3, but top LP#s, HIndy dirt 9/2-2-3

3 – BUOY – won last by 6 ½ lengths and has a maintenance work since

9 – TRAFALGAR SHORE

 

Race 8:

5 – HEALING WATERS – problems in last two starts, clean break with top LP could be the winning combo

10 – PASSING ATTRACTION – speed of the speed? Won debut versus 12 drawing away, swift maintenance work since

8 – GOOD FOREVER – TLRSP#, similar fractions at 6f as 5f, so it’s  faster

9 – FIERCE JUSTICE – has beaten many of these before, just needs a clean trip

 

Race 9:

2 – NOBODY LISTENS – LS – +2f and ++4f EP edge, +EP/LP edge, very fast CD work on Sep 30

7 – LATIGO – HIndy 6/5-0-1, versatile horse has won from front, middle and back

9 – CIBOLO – HIndy 6/3-2-1, coming off best effort and has two strong 5f works between starts

10 – STARSPANGLEDXPRESS – EP horse with some of the best late pace and can handle the distance 11/3-3-2 – should be better in 3^rd off the break

 

Race 10:

8 – UNPREDICTABLE BAY – just missed in last, lone EP horse, expecting more in race 2 off the bench and 2^nd with tr Kim Hammond, 4/13 angle

7 – FRENCH COMPOSER – much better fractions in career start number 2, similar improvement today and it’s another win

6 – MARITAL BLISS – tr Thomas Amoss was last night’s guest, been training well and very consistent performer

1 – GO EMI – has a +LP advantage and a +EP/LP combo edge, HIndy dirt 4/1-2-1, and could of easily won 3 of them

 

Race 11:

9 – BRITTANYSGLDNFAITH – was even money favorite in debut, issues at the start, good works say maybe better start today – Chris P angle

8 – MY BOYS – has a +EP edge at 2f, speed wins at distance, could be better in career start number 2

6 – WILDCATJUSTICE – 1^st time starter, works are good and tr Anthony Granitz hits at 23% 1^st timers, 24% debuting at MSW vs 12% overall – strong Alpha Angles

4 – D’ KITTEN – TLRSP# with Z pattern, concerned that she burned $$$ as the favorite in last 4.

 

Race 12:

9 – APOLLITICAL UPRISE

5 – COUNTRY CELEBRATION

3 – RUNNING WATER

10 – IN THE CARTEL

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Horseshoe Indianapolis Post Position and Speed Bias 10-5-22

Horseshoe Indianapolis Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet (Races 1-7)

Horseshoe Indianapolis Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet (Races 8-11)