Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs
Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Koselio – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his only start, drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-0).
1 – Grey Charmer – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in his last race, the rail post is winning at 18% clip, and he should improve while returning to dirt.
6 – Cloud Without Rein – He should improve while returning to dirt, the trainer wins 20% of the time with a horse he moves from turf to dirt, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – C J All the Way – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
5 – White Pigeon
2 – Trappe the Gold
Race 2
1 – Silver Moon Road – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating, and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Little Mighty Man – He won his last race at Fanduel and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Taos – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Heavenly Trip – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and should improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
6 – Touchofchilipepper
3 – Highest Praise
Race 3
7 – Raceday Attire – She has finished in the money in six out of seven races, winning one of the starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Expect the Boss – She finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Guest in My Heart – She drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 32% of the time when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (10 5-3-0).
1 – Second Exchange – She finished 3rd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Race 4
1 – Zipsy Rose Lee – She finished 3rd in her last race and has a trainer who wins 28% of the time when going from a maiden to maiden claiming race.
10 – Sakonna – She has a trainer who wins 34% of the time when going from a maiden to maiden claiming race and has a maintenance workout.
8 – Ineedagirllikeyou – She switches to a high % winning trainer and has a good workout on Oct 6th.
3 – Layla’s Song– Her best turf speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed and she has a decent workout on Oct. 6th.
Alternate:
6 – Cajun Kid
Race 5
6 – Judy’s Market – She finished 3rd in her last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the time when going from a sprint to route.
7 – Harlans Princess –She has won two races at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Hashtag Winner – She drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating (tie), her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (10 5-3-0).
4 – Mexia – She has finished in the money in 57% of the time during her career.
Alternate:
3 – Two Carrot Ransom
Race 6
11 – Investment Income – She won her last race at Monmouth Park on the turf and at today’s distance and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Fairy Cakes – She comes in from Colonial Downs to try Horseshoe Indianapolis for the first time and has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Bia Bolt Runner – She returns to Horseshoe Indianapolis where she has done well in the past and has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Cycologist –She should improve while returning to a route, has a high % winning trainer and a jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (20 5-2-2).
Alternate:
5 – Ms Merrabel
1 – Lucky Shore
Race 7
8 – Crickenberger – She is a first-time starter, her Sire wins 16% of the time with 1st time starters, her Dam has 6 winners from 8 starters and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
3 – Addicted to Love – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and her best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
6 – Castle Magic –She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
7 – Flat Out Cali – She is a first-time starter whose dam has 2 winners from 6 starters, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a good 4F workout on Oct-04.
Alternate:
4 – Chimes
Race 8
5 – Groom Lake – He is one for one at Horseshoe Indianapolis on the turf and at 1-mile.
3 – Big Blue – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Driven One – He drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.
12 – Ascending Moon – He drops in class today and the trainer wins 20% of the claiming races he has an entry in.
Alternate:
10 – Killer Bee
9 – Vasilevskiy
Race 9
1 – Gv Diamante – Improving each race.
3 – Menina Do Samba Pz – Ran a nice 2nd in her debut race.
6 – My Little Star – Ran 3rd in her last race.
2 – Three X a Ladie – Good start and held on for 3rd.
Alternate:
5 – Vrs Powerful Beach
4 – Vrs Famous Cartel
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with slight inside Post Position
3 – C J ALL THE WAY – track dropper with TPLRSP#, moves up in class form MC 30k at CD?
6 – CLOUD WITHOUT REIN – probably the pacesetter, HIndy dirt 2/0-1-1, Distance 3/0-1-1
4 – KOSELIO – has a super duper +++LP advantage, CD MSW dropper to MCL, 1st Lasix for tr Brad Cox, 38% score
1 – GREY CHARMER – just missed in last, Chris P angle, rides high win rate rail, likely better in R2 off the bench
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with slight inside Post Position
1 – SILVER MOON ROAD – numbers are so superior to all other, needs to regress a lot or other step up a lot
5 – TAOS – lone PC horse that could benefit from a hot pace, CD#s way back are comparable to the 1s
2 – HEAVENLY TRIP – good form in last three, minor regression in last, drop in class makes sense
4 – LITTLE MIGHTY MAN – has par speed and pace #s with top contenders, just unsure how well Fanduel # hold up at Indy?
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with a slight inside out bias 1-7, drop off 8+
7 – RACEDAY ATTIRE – has a +EP/LP advantage and could get a good trip behind a lot of speed and in front of the closers
2 – EXPECT THE BOSS – distance is his best 7/0-4-1, better fractions a 6f than 5 ½f.
5 – GUEST IN MY HEART – down multiple classes, 32% winner for
1 – SECOND EXCHANGE – 3SP# increases, TLRSP#, better fractions through 5f in last with noticeable mid-move improvement
3 – RAP STAR
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed with a Middle Post
6 – CAJUN KID – MSW to MCL dropper for Thomas Amoss, 26% winner, some good works getting ready for 1st race of 2022
1 – ZIPSY ROSE LEE – another MSW to MCL dropper, 29% angle for 12% trainer Anthony Granitz, ++ LP Advantage
10 – SAKONNA – yet another MSW to MCLer, trainer Brian Lynch hits at 35%
8 – INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU – Maybe another MSW dropper, decent works between races
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Inside Speed Bias
6 – JUDY’S MARKET – Left arrow horse, +Ep edge, EZ win in lone run at the distance as top career performance
7 – HARLANS PRINCESS – has two wins in 11 races, both in just 5 races at the distance,
2 – HASHTAG WINNER – tie LRSP# and drops in class, track dropper but has run on Hindy turf 2x, resume mixed for 2nd off the bench
3 – TWO CARROT RANSOM – will take a bomb here, down two class, has some back speed, should improve a lot in R2 off the bench, big late move last out
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Inside Out and Off the Pace
2 – BIA BOLT RUNNER –Left Arrow Horse, hasn’t run since Feb, HIndy Turf 3/1-1-0, some OK works getting ready
8 – CYCOLOGIST – just missed in her lone turf race which was at Indy
4 – FAIRY CAKES – top pedigree numbers for the turf, Z pattern in last, TLRSP#, maybe better 3rd off the bench
11 – INVESTMENT INCOME – Track Dropper, was improved first half mile in last race, maybe better in 3rd off the bench
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with slight inside Post Position
first time starters ranked by my interpretation of workouts
8 – CRICKENBERGER
7 – FLAT OUT CALI
6 – CASTLE MAGIC
3 – ADDICTED TO LOVE – improved ATB last out with Z Pattern
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed with a Middle Post
6 – DRIVEN ONE – TLRSPP# and drops in class, better fractions and considerably better late in last
10 – KILLER BEE – has some of the most LP in the field and best combo of EP/LP
4 – NOMADIC FIGHTER – Left Arrow Horse, really improved for the first half mile in last outing – owned and trained by Steve Asmussen
12 – ASCENDING MOON – tough call over the 3/11, but I’ll take the horse with better numbers at the track/distance/surface
Race 9
3 – MENINA DO SAMBA PZ
6 – MY LITTLE STAR
1 – GV DIAMANTE
5 – VRS POWERFUL BEACH
Horseshoe Indianapolis Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
