Horse Racing Today

Horse Racing Today – Keeneland Picks – Wednesday, October 12, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

Keeneland Full Card Picks

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks and Commentary

Charles Tango’s Tips

  1. 1,5,8,4
  2. 10,3,7,12
  3. 8,6,5,9
  4. 5,2,12,3
  5. 4,11,2,7
  6. 6,11,9,4
  7. 5,4,1,2
  8. 7,5,8,3

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail and Speed

3 – ARTHURIAN – PC horse that should be close to the lead, at his best wins easily

1 – CLASSIC KING – can’t overlook the rail that’s won 4/11 – Tie TLRSP#, all or nothing horse

4 – BRAWNDO – EP horse with some of the best EP, distance is his best 3/1-0-1

8 – EDITORIAL COMMENT – was winning group races in Argentina, been terrible in its first two here – can’t imagine US 30k claiming isn’t a lot lower, 1st Lasix, so maybe something was wrong with him

 

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail and Speed

10 – UPTOWN HUSTLER – TLRSP# and one of the biggest class dropper, tr Wesley Ward hits at 37% dropping multiple classes, although this drop is a bit suspicious considering the good works

7 – NORTH BAY – EP horse that’s dropping, a bunch plenty of early speed, bullet work on Oct 5

3 – CONSPIRACY FACT – flashed early speed in 3 of 5 races, needs to hold it longer

12 – AZZURRO – been working out well, takes a small dip in class, a 28% winner for tr Michael Tomlinson

 

Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Fair ATB

4 – KING DOODLE – LS – he’s a bomb, has some of the most LP and better combos of EP/LP and has a bullet work on Oct 5

7 – PAID TWICE – a couple of bullets getting ready for the 1st race after a short rest

12 – LIAM THE BRAVE – could be pacesetter, bullet work on Oct 7th, Z pattern and hoping for more in classic 3rd start after a layoff

9 – SHAKEDOWN STREET – class dropper that should be closing at the end

 

Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Fair ATB

3 – ONE MORE BABY – 1st off the claim and drop for tr Robertino Diordoro 30%, not worried about the drop as the purse is 43k

9 – MULBERRY STREET – top LP and as a P horse, best work on fast dirt 10/1-2-3, Z Pattern

2 – SONO GRATO – 3SP# increases, 3rd off the bench, better fractions in last at 1 1/16 m vs 1m in previous race

5 – WRITEITONTHEICE  – dropping multiple classes for tr Thomas Amoss, 35% angle

 

Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Inside and Off the Pace 

6 – MARTINI’NMOONSHINE – just missed in last with much better times, could be best in his 3rd off the break

2 – TWO BIRDS – price play – TLRSP# in first try on grass, at KD in 4th career start, Better ATB and looking for more today in 2nd grass and 2nd off the break

4 – POLICY OPTION – run well on turf recently, likes the distance 8/3-1-2, definite closer

7 – BAJ – Left Arrow Horse, broke maiden in KD 150 MSW, some improvement likely in r2 off the bench

 

Race 6: 7  Furlongs – Speed, all PPs ok, except 4-7 have struggled

11 – THE ALYS LOOK – Geroux and Cox, steady, consistently good works

3 – DIAMONDSIFYOUDO – bullet and go

6 – MIJA – was bet to the $1.45 favorite in debut, just didn’t run, we will give her another chance

8 – MISCHIEVOUS GAL – tough call over the 7, but like that Sep 30 Keeneland work 4f 48.2, fastest of 37

 

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Fair ATB

11 – NITROMAN – Belterra horse, ugh, based on debut could be speed of speed and has ++EP/LP

2 – BOURBON SPIRIT – drops from $204 NGSTK, been working well for tr Brad Cox for 1st since late Aug

1 – FORBIDDEN SECRET – blew away the competition in last winning by 9 ¾ vs field of 10 to break maiden

8 – CARMEL ROAD – tried a G1 in last start, probably way over his head, Baffert horse than can run from front or back

 

Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Inside and Off the Pace

3 – RHETORIC – BB – has the most EP, most LP and +++EP/LP combo

10 – AXTHELM – got maiden win in 2nd try with consistent effort from start to finish

7 – COLERIDGE – hasn’t races since January, series of good works suggest he is ready to picks up where he left off

5 – BAY STREET MONEY – always close at the end and should be more forward than usual

Keeneland Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

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