Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Guest Host Jared and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Turf Paradise Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: LA Downs
Turf Paradise Horse Racing Picks and Commentary
Jared’s Selections and Notes
2-has early pace speed if can duplicate feb 22nd outing can win gate to wire 5-hard to ignore trainer percentage with this type but at such short price will try to topple 4-outside chance on the significant drop down 1-steps up in class however did win last under similar conditions.
selections 2-5-4-1
selections 1-2-5-7
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 ½ Furlongs – 83 Races, 69 won by speed, 35 w2w – PP: Fair
5 – WICKED FORTITUDE – TPLRSP#, improved 2/4f pace#s, drops off win, just a touch concerned with bounce
4 – CAUSE AND EFFECT – last race was better than it looked, faster fractions despite going ½ f longer
1 – UNBRIDLED’S SKYE – has the top LP# in the field, maybe the other 4 press each other
3 – GEORGIAN ROAD – has the most early giddy up and go, usually get a clean break, tough record at TP 13/2-0-0
Race 2 – 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – 45 Races. 27 won by speed, 13 w2w -PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ big penalty
3 THIRD WHEEL – tie TLRSP# in 2nd start, 1st on Turf, not in for a price, huge LP improvement in last, 2nd Lasix
2 CITY AT NIGHT – something doesn’t smell right off the 100k NGStakes drop, is in for a price – do you sell a horse for 50 that you paid 60 for and believe can win $100k races?
1 NEXT JOURNEY – won debut despite being checked, stepped up to 60K NGStakes for Race#2 and ran green, 19f works since, should be fit
4 EXECUTIVE ACTION – tie for top EP#s, 14f works since last, 1st on grass, +0.77 ROI trainer Frank Lucarelli, 1/1 on a sloppy track, can be a good sign for turf
Race 3 – 1 Mile – 146 Races, 91 won by speed, 26 w2w -PP: slight 4+ bias
6 – LA CASTIGLIONE – jockey Harry Hernandez winner of 15 of last 21 races, ran 1 mile almost 4 seconds faster, TLRSP#s
5 – JUST GRACE – won his last two on dirt, both at 1 mile by at least 1 ¾ lengths, trainer Dewey Williams winner ¾ Turf2Dirt, +4.15 ROI
4 – BIG ANDY – Robertino Diororo winning at 29%, light switch horse on/off, last was off
2 – SUGARY – track drop from Santa Anita, ATB pace improvement in last, 18f works since last
Race 4 – 1 Mile – 146 Races, 91 won by speed, 26 w2w -PP: slight 4+ bias
3 – OXBOW PARK – LS – has the top EP&LP#s – you can’t pass what you can’t catch?, S-S-R – 15%, S-R – 14% vs 8% overall tr: Joe Toye
5 – BEAR BRIAN – 2nd off the claim 43% winner Justin Evans, vs 24% overall, drops 2 classes 31%
4 – ALPINE HYPNOSIS – trainer Niccole Troiani ROI +1.31 Routes, Dirt +2.10 ROI, Distance 6/1-3-0
6 – CREATIVE FEATURE – should be on/near the lead, just needs to run back 3 races – w2w in MCL win, better ATB in last, much faster fractions in last 6.5f
Race 5 – 1 Mile Turf – 55 Races, 38 won by speed, 17 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, inside 3 bias, 8+>4-7
1 – PLUMA – gets the high win rate rail, should be on the pace, better in 2nd off layoff, better 2/4f#s in 1st
2 – WEDDING CHAPEL – last race was better than it looks, better fractions, better first half pace #s
5 – BONES AND ROSES – TLRSP#, major upgrade in late run, gets a weight break and drops in class, just missed in last
7 – ONLY DANIELLE – only TC drop in the field, MSW20 at Emerald Downs, been off since August, but Eddie C angle, bullet work two back with a maintenance work after
Race 6 – 6 ½ Furlongs – 106 Races, 77 won by speed, 43 w2w -PP: mostly fair, little rail and 4-7 penalty
7 – CREATIVE ONE – dropping in class, last was much better than it looks, faster to similar fractions despite going 1f longer on turf, back to dirt – Turf2Dirt 17% tr: Don Schnell vs 11% overall
3 – KEARNEY – small drop after TLRSP#, resume says he’ll be better in round 2 off the bench
4 – WESTPORT CAPTAIN – first time starter with 20f works since March 4, a couple decent 6f
8 – PICK A LANE FRANK – another first timer with decent works, daddy tried to be a frontrunner
Race 7 – 6 ½ Furlongs – 106 Races, 77 won by speed, 43 w2w -PP: mostly fair, little rail and 4-7 penalty
8 – EIGHT MAKAR – TP 4/0-2-2, drops, Robertino 27% down 2 classes
3 – WINNING MAGIC – small drop in class, has the top EP/LP combo, strong 2/4f improvement in his last
4 – SILVER DADDY – could improve a lot in 2nd start after a layoff of more than a year
2 – SHACKEY’S LOVE – tough call over #7, Tr Justin Wong 41& MCL, 33% up a class vs 24% overall
Race 8 – 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – 45 Races. 27 won by speed, 13 w2w -PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ big penalty
4 – GREAT ULYSSES – ran the TLRSP#, Turf2Dirt, tr Miguel Jimenez win 4/7 T2D
2 – KING PARKER – is the other EP horse and tends to win big when hits, nice workout between races
5 – ROWDYROOSTER – trainer Priscilla Leon looks like a turf specialist, winning at 29% vs 16% overall with a +4.44 ROI
7 – GORDY’S RULES – upgrade to jy Harry Hernandez and its best efforts were on turf at TP
