Horse Racing Picks, News and Opinions
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Fair Grounds Full Card Picks
Fair Grounds Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Introducing Horse Center
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race #1
5 – Vicious Velma- Drops in class today – Has a Trainer who wins 21% of the time in maiden claiming races – She has a high % winning jockey – Her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)
3 – Hero’s Daughter – Finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who wins 37% of the time when bringing a beaten favorite back to race
7 – Face Card Contessa – Drops in class today – Should improve while returning to a route and the turf – Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)
2 – Supertaleofhoudini – Sharp 4F workout (Dec-31)
Race 2
5 – Crusader Express – Best Bet – Won his last race at Fairgrounds Racetrack earning the highest last race speed rating – Has a High % winning trainer
2 – Custom Kat – Drops in class today- Blinkers added today-bullet workout on 18Jun’21 3f ft :36 B 1/26
4 – Miss Jenny’s Halo – trainer wins 22% of the time when shipping a horse in to race – good workout on 17Dec’21 – 4f ft :49.4 Bg6/49
6 – Gallant Star – Drops in class today – 25% trainer: 2nd off layoff – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
Race 3
2 – Color Fast – Finished in the money five out of the last six races this year, winning two of the races
3 – Shippingport – He likes the turf and has the best turf speed among today’s starters
9 – Mr. Quality – – Finished second in his last race – Highest last race speed rating
1 – One Time Gem – Hot Trainer in last 14 days (8 3-1-2)
Race 4
5 – Wild Firemaker – Drops in class today -has a good trainer, good Jockey and good works
7 – Ready Redding –He has the highest last race speed rating (tie) – the distance will be no problem
1 – Chambliss – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race receiving the highest last race speed rating (tie) – Rail post is winning at 28% clip – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance
6 – Perfecture – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-3-1)
Race 5
7 – Burninhunkoflove– Breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a sharp 4F workouts
3 – Levee Proud – Drops in class today – Should improve at the shorter distance – His best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix added
winners – Blinkers added today
2 – Harmon Killer Brew – Has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a good trainer in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-2-0)
6 – Baltic Fleet – Blinkers added today
Race 6
3 – Nofansinthestands – Finished in the money seven out of ten times this year, winning two races – drops in class today and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-2-2)
7 – Total Malice – Won her last race at Fairgrounds Racetrack – Has the highest last race speed rating – best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters -Trainer in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1)
2 – Veilazig – Finished 2nd vs similar in her last race
4 – Cold Hearted Wench – Finished third in her last two races – She has a bullet workout on 02Nov’21 Ded 5f ft 1:01.1 B 1/14
Race 7
5 – Takafumi – Has finished in the money in the last six races running third in his last race – Drops in class today – Has a high % trainer and switches to a high % jockey – trainer wins 29% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite back to race
4 – Zanesville – Finished in the money eight out of ten races this year, winning four of the races -Drops in class today and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters
6 – Shake Some Action – Has done well at Fairgrounds Racetrack – Drops in class today and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-1-2)
7 – Order for Porky – He won his last race at Laurel Racetrack on 11/06 8f Dirt ft – has several good workouts in preparation for today’s contest including two bullet workouts
Race 8
2 – Steely Danza – Ran 2nd vs similar in his last race receiving the highest last race speed rating – The trainer wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to the races – his best dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
3 – Chief Charlie – Finished second in his maiden race – Lasix added
4 – Scary Larry – Finished 3rd vs tougher (on Turf) in last race – drops in class today – The trainer wins 29% of the races when going Sprint-Route-Sprint –Trainer in last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-0)
7 – Coach Hudson – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – the trainer wins 24% of the races in the first race after claim- Sharp 4F workout on 30Dec’21 FG 4f ft :48 B 5/58
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile Turf: 35 Races, 23 won by stalkers/closers, 5 w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, drops 8+
5 – Vicious Velma – 3 fresh runs in 6 races, 3 best speed #s – BIG early pace Ad, but 3rd best late pace #s
6 – Judy’s Design – $300k buy, by far most $$$, best late pace # last out, some early race trouble in debut
2 – Supertaleofhoudini – slight edge over HERO’S DAUGHTER because of 4 F work – 48.1 faster than race
3 – Hero’s Daughter
Race 2 – 5 ½ Furlongs: 24 Races, 17 won by speed, 12 w2w – PP: rail bias, 2-7 2x better than 8+
5 – Crusader Express – edge w/ early pace #s, big fraction improvement, 3rd off the bench? – LRSP>PAR
6 – Gallant Star – MSW 50K winner, tops in field, lowest level since, won only other 2nd start with top SP#
2 – Custom Kat – GIANT late pace edge, blinks for a better start? Has better speed than it looks on paper
3 – Von Dom – improved fractions in last, stepping up the performance ladder
Race 3 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf: 22 races, 50/50, 5 w2w – PP: major outside advantage 4+
3 – Shippingport – MSW 50K win, strong EP edge, Top J/T combo, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 3SP# UP
9 – Mr. Quality – scratched in – first off the claim 29% winner for trainer Norm Casse
2 – Color Fast – one on mud – W – one on turf 2nd – says Turf is the right surface
8 – Shar’s Treasure – best of the rest
Race 4 – 1 Mile: 13 races, 9 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: Big Rail bias – even out
3 – My Guitar -3rd off a layoff, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
1 – Chambliss – 3rd off a layoff, runs better on the inside, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10
5 – Wild Firemaker – #1 EP #s, small drop, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
7 – Ready Redding – tough call vs #6 – PERFECTURE – has top late pace #S, 20 off or less w STP
Race 5 – 5 ½ Furlongs Turf: 16 races, 50/50, 5 w2w – PP: inside out bias, big drop 8+
2 – Harmon Killer Brew – top Pedigree #, by far strongest late pace #s,
7 – Burninhunkoflove – good works getting ready, not facing a lot here, top jock
3 – Levee Proud – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, Biggest Drop, 1st Lasix with early speed 2 back
6 – Baltic Fleet – drops in class, top 3 LRSP#, big improvement late in last effort
Race 6 – 1 Mile 70 Yards: 21 Races, 12 won by speed, 6 w2w – PP: fair 1-7, no winners 8+
7 – Total Malice – (best bet) strongest early pace #s by wide margin, 3 SP# Up, 20 off or less w STP, Top J/T combo
6 – Princess Renee – best EP/LP combo, top pedigree, small drop, improved fractions last out
4 – Cold Hearted Wench – 3rd off layoff, strong last 3rd of 3 race cycle, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
2 – Veilazig – strong numbers after a layoff, resume says she should be better in round 2
Race 7 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf: 22 races, 50/50, 5 w2w – PP: major outside advantage 4+
4 – Zanesville – 1 for 1 at FG, 7 High Quality starts in last 10, drops in class, decent recent work
5 – Takafumi – 3rd after a layoff, 5/5 ITM at the distance, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10
6 – Shake Some Action – top J/T combo, drop in class, strong back class
3 – My Bariley – LRSP# > PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 3 SP# UP
Race 8 – 6 Furlongs: 83 races, 62 won by speed, 32 w2w – PP: inside 3 edge, 4-7 same, 8+ drops a bit
2 – Steely Danza – LRSP#>PAR, beaten favorite, trainer Gregory Foley rebounds at 30%
5 – Coach Hudson – Thomas Amoss claim getting a wight break, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
4 – Scary Larry – drops in class, strong J/T combo, 3rd after a layoff with a decent work between races
8 – Coal Town Road – first time gelded with some early pace, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10
