Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Santa Anita Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
5 – Gold Phoenix – Breeding suggests he will like the grass – Won his only race in Ireland on an all-weather track – Lasix added – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (6 4-0-1) – Sharp 5F workout (Jan-09)
4 – Mucho Del Oro – Switches to a high % jockey and the Trainer in last 14 days has this record (7 3-3-1)
7 – Noble Reflection – Breeding suggests he will like the grass – drops in class today – Dam has produced 4 Turf winners -Sharp 4F workout (Jan-08)-two bullet works in a row
6 – I’ll Stand Taller – Can improve while returning to a sprint
Race 2
1 – Scream and Shout – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race and received the highest last race speed rating – Rail post is winning at 29% clip – Drops in class today – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
3 – Happy Trails – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Drops in class today
4 – Season to Remember – The trainer wins 29% first race after a claim – Trouble last race threw head and crowded at the break
5 – Wild Arch – Finished in the money in 50% of the races at Santa Anita.
Race 3
2 – Floral Essence– Highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Highest speed figure at today’s distance – Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie)
4 – Twirling Grace–Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – Sharp 3F workout (Jan-10)
5 – Witch Moon – Finished in the money in two out of five races at Santa Anita. Mike Smith returns to ride her again.
6 – Acoustic Shadow – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (6 4-0-1) – Sharp 5F workout (Jan-10)
Race 4
2 – Big Well – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race and received the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-09
3 – Careless Kitten– Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – Verragio – Showed some speed in his first race
7 – Dutch Bus – Off slow in his first race and a better start this time will help his race.
Race 5
5 – Cider Apple – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has finished in the money in five out of six races at Santa Anita – Switches to a high % jockey Johnny V.
3 – Closing Remarks – Back on the Turf where she likes it better – Drops in class today – Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix is added-Sharp 5F workout (Jan-10)
6 – Buzz of New York – Won last race at Del Mar and received the highest last race speed rating ñ Has a good Trainer/Jockey combo.
4 – Fearless Girl – The trainer wins 27% first race after bringing a beaten favorite back to race – Blinkers added today -Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1)
Race 6
6 – Storminside – Won last race and has finished in the money in nine out of eleven, winning six races in 2021 – The trainer wins 38% of their first race after bringing a winner back to race again -Sharp 3F workout (Jan-09)
5 – Starship Chewbacca – Won two races in a row and is going for a hat trick-Sharp 4F workout (Jan-11)
4 – Satanta – has finished in the money in nine out of twelve races, winning six at today’s distance – Will close to try and win.
1 – Black Storm – Won last race (LRC) receiving the highest last race speed rating – Rail post is winning at 29% clip.
Race 7
1 – Neige Blanche– Won last race at Del Mar – Has the highest last race speed rating and best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters
4 – Reiwa – Ran 4th in his last race on the dirt and now returns to Turf – Won her last two races in a row on the turf.
2 – Disappearing Act Likes Santa Anita finishing in the money in five out of six, winning two races – Jockey Flavien Prat has this record in the last 7 days (18 9-4-0)
5 – Scherzo – Won last race (GG) -The trainer wins 24% of their first race after bringing a winner back to race.
Race 8
1 – Unbroken Star– Has won two races at Santa Anita and at today’s distance – Drops in class today – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Jockey in last 7 days has this record (18 9-4-0).
4 – Buttered Noodles – Ran second in his last race at Los Alamitos. The trainer wins 22% routes their mounts are entered in.
3 – Big Buzz – Has the highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Has a good workout on 03Jan Slr 4f ft :48© H 3/22
2 – Tembo – Won last race (LRC) – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-08)
Race 9
7 – Nice Ice – Back to turf which I think she likes better – Drops in class today – Has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (5 2-2-0).
2 – Clearly Gone – Won last race (GG) and has finished in the money the last four races, winning two – Has a sharp 5F workout (Jan-09)
1 – Bye Bye Bertie – Won two out of the last three races at Santa Anita.
5 – Trickle In – Won last race (SA) – The trainer wins 24% when bringing the Winner of last race to race again.
Rick’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 ½ Furlongs, Hillside Turf: 4 Races, 3 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: no rail, 1 from 2,3 rest 4+
4 – Mucho Del Oro – good early/mid pace improvement, had some issues early in last, Tr. Cerin 40%
5 – Gold Phoenix – US debut, high class race rating in debut Irish win, not sure what he faced in debut
3 – Tigerhon – #1 combo EP/LP #s, Johny V winning sprints at 36%, should be close to the pace
6 – I’ll Stand Taller – snagged a win at the distance/surface/track w/top grass SP#
7 – Noble Reflection – those workouts, major drop 500-69 – long break
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs: 18 Races, 17 won by speed, 11 w2w – PP: inside 3 bias and 8+ bias
1 – Scream and Shout (4/5) – top EP by decent margin, LRSP>PAR, drop, 3 SP# increases, faster fractions
4 – Season to Remember – Tr: J Won 30% off claim – 306 races, Top Pedigree, 2 Fast Open 1/4 Fractions
5 – Wild Arch – similar EP/LP combo as #4 – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
3 – Happy Trails – 3 SP Increases, maybe improves 2nd off the bench, much better fractions in last
Race 3 – 1 Mile Turf: 15 Races, 8 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: inside 3 and 8+
6 – Acoustic Shadow – J: Prat 50% winner on turf, Tr: D’Amato top Turf, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
3 – Lady Macarena – top EP#s by a wide margin, MSW-MCL drop 70-39, Top Pedigree, weight break
2 – Floral Essence – 10% win/50% ITM, DROP 70-39, LRSP>PAR, Baze 0-18 on grass, 2 3rds
1 – Golden Journey – resume says better 2nd off the bench, Johnny V upgrade
Race 4 – 6 ½ Furlongs: 6 Races, 4 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: Inside 3, all 1-7
6 – Verragio – has top EP w/ 3 and 1, should be better in his second start
3 – Careless Kitten – should be in the first 3 out of the gate, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
2 – Big Well – Top Pedigree, small DROP 27-24, only in field, decent work since
1 – The Boss Harty – the other that should be on the gas early, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10
Race 5 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf: 6 Races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: Post won 2, 2,3-1 and 8+
5 – Cider Apple – runs well of the bench, 5/6 ITM @ SA, 10% win/50% ITM
3 – Closing Remarks – big DROP 300-69, fist L, best numbers on Turf, 5 (1-3-0) ITM @ SA
6 – Buzz of New York – LRSP>PAR, Prat/D’Amato turf combo, 1 length and head form winning 3/4 in US|
2 – Soaring Sky – LRSP>PAR, top LP#s, just needs a better start, should be better in round 2 in US
4 – Fearless Girl – betting favorite in every race since coming to the US, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
Race 6 – 6 Furlongs: 18 Races, 17 won by speed, 11 w2w – PP: inside 3 bias and 8+ bias
1 – Black Storm – to EP#s, and top combo EP/LP, small weight break, 23% winning rail
6 – Storminside – 8 HQ starts in 10 races, Win By > 1 Length in an EZ win, didn’t have to work too hard
5 – Starship Chewbacca – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, sometimes struggles fresh
7 – Street Vision – second best EP#s, should be better in 2nd start, bullet work, Top Pedigree
4 – Satanta – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, won 6/12 @ the distance, better fractions in last
Race 7 – 1 ½ Miles, Hillside Turf: No Races – Last 2 ASTRA STAKES on DH, mid-pack outside post
1 – Neige Blanche – catches the softest field she has faced since coming to the US.
2 – Disappearing Act – ITM 5/6 @ SA, usually runs well after a layoff,
4 – Reiwa – Top late pace #s, won last two on turf with closing efforts, won 4/8 on Turf
3 – Frose – maybe steals on the lead? Top EP#S, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, Top Pedigree
Race 8 – 1 1/16 Miles: 5 Races, 4 won by speed, 2 w2w – PP: 1 rail, 3 2,3 and 1 4-7
1 – Unbroken Star – 1 of 2 Dropping 45-34, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions Prat: 14/33
4 – Buttered Noodles – top EP#s by a wide margin, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
3 – Big Buzz – top LRSP and other drop 40-34, question is dirt but works suggests should be OK
5 – Going With Style – Tr: Brittany Vanden Berg 13 winners in 32 46-90 days off, 2nd best combo EP/LP
Race 9 – 1 Mile Turf: 15 Races, 8 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: inside 3 and 8+
7 – Nice Ice – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Prat on Turf/Distance, DROP 55-40
2 – Clearly Gone – top LP #S, ITM 11/14 @ distance, 9 HQ starts in last 10
5 – Trickle In – LRSP>PAR, better fractions in last, won as Favorite in last with rise in odds
8 – Zabava – tough call with #1, should be better in 2nd off the bench, ITM 9/15 @ Distance
