Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
PARX Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Grants Pass Best Bet
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – The Great Gazoo – He ran 3rd in his last race, has a trainer who wins 50% of the time in maiden claiming races and blinkers are added today.
4 – Hotpot – He tried turf for the first time was soundly beaten after being bumped at the start, drops in class today, should improve while returning to dirt and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Cold Walker – He has a high % winning trainer and the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Irish Exit – He has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (22 10-0-3) and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
3 – Deplane
6 – Et’s Magic Man
Race 2
7 – Speak Unity – He had trouble in his last race and finished 6th, drops in class today and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (10 6-2-1).
2 – High Velocity – He finished 5th as the favorite in last race, but the trainer wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (22 10-0-3)
5 – Dalton – He drops in class today and has a good workout on June 15th.
4 – I’m Blaming You – He finished in the money in three of the last four races, winning one of the starts.
Alternate:
3 – Midlaner
6 – Him She Kisses
Race 3
4 – Coach Has Six Aces – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance – The trainer wins 22% of the time in maiden special weight races, the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1) and she has a good 4F workout (Jun-15).
6 – Smarty Pants Sandy – She has the highest last race speed rating and will close to try and win.
1 – Just Add Moonlight – She has early speed but fades at the end and has run 3rd in the last three races.
3 – Super Duper Fly – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a good 4F workout on Jun-11.
Race 4
4 – Data Deal – He won his last race at Parx Racing getting the highest last race speed rating, the highest speed figure at today’s distance and the trainer in last 14 days won two out of three races.
5 – Mr. Tuttle – He ran 2nd by closing and missing by only ¾ of a length in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Natavalli’s Knight – He won his last race by eight lengths at Parx Racing, has a high %
7 – Explain – He finished 6th after being bumped in the race and with a clean trip he should do better and has a high % trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Instant Chaos
Race 5
7 – Frame This – She is a closer who has finished in the money in her last five races, running 2nd vs similar in the last race and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Whatruwaitingfor – She tried turf and did not fare well and now returns to dirt where she has done well in the past – She has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey who in last 7 days has won ten out of twenty-two starts.
3 – J D’s Vista – She is a closer who always seems to be in the mix – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and should improve while returning to a sprint.
4 – Titanic Rose – She ran 2nd in her last race at PARX Racing and earned the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
2 – Cloud Skipping
Race 6
1 – Nine Toe Johnny – He has finished in 3rd in his last four races, and he has the highest last race speed rating – He has a high % winning trainer who is winning at a 26% clip.
7 – Scotch Rock’s –He finished in the money in three out of the last four races, winning one of the starts and improved his speed rating in each of the last three races.
2 – Perfect Revenge – He was a beaten favorite in his last race and did not finish well, drops in class today and has a high % trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
5 – Catch My Vibe – He drops in class today and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Don’t Recall
Race 7
12 – Drillomatic – He arrived from Gulfstream and won his first race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and has a high % trainer who is winning at a 26% clip.
2 – Son of a Saint – He finished in the money in the last six races, winning two of the starts and finishing 2nd in last race.
7 – V. I. P. Code – He has won two races in a row going for a hat trick at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has finished in the money in nine out of ten races, winning six of them.
3 – What’s to Blame – He finished 3rd (on Dirt) in last race but likes the turf and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
4 – Samaronti
10 – Sovereign Warrior
Race 8
7 – Divine Miracle – He has won five out of the last six races at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – The trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 3-1-0).
2 – For the Dreamers – He won his last race at PARX Racing and goes up in class which is an angle I like better than dropping in class and Lasix is added.
3 – Ruffy – He finished in the money in seven out of the last eight races, winning one of the starts – He ran in a 1-1/16 race last time out but finished poorly and now cuts back to 6-furlongs which will be more to his liking.
4 – Fast Bob – His last time out he finished poorly but was blocked at the top stretch, has a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
5 – The Jones Boy
1 – Screen Saver
Race 9
6 – You Must Chill – He finished in the money in the last six races, winning four of the starts, returning to dirt will help and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won three out of six races.
5 – Bird King – He likes the track finishing in the money in 66% of his starts, winning 20% of the contest and likes the distance finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 17% of those races.
7 – Too Boss – His last time out he finished poorly after breaking through the gate before the race and switches to a high % winning jockey Kendrick Carmouche.
8 – Borracho – He finished 2nd in last race, has the highest last race speed rating and a high % winning Jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Irish Cork
Race 10
2 – Robert’s Luxury – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race at Pimlico and received the highest last race speed rating – and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Mr. Einstein – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and a who in the last 14 days has finished in the money in thirteen out of twenty-two races, winning ten of them.
7 – Passport – He finished 6th in last race at Monmouth Park but needed the races after taking eight months off and drops in class today – He does well on the turf and can handle the distance.
4 – Heartness – He finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in last race, drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – The trainer /jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (10 6-2-1).
Alternate:
11 – Lake Nakuru
3 – Sound the Charge
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 Furlongs, 158 races, 104 won by speed, 51 w2w – PP: rail penalty, but did OK last week, all else fair
2 – IRISH EXIT – stumbled at the start in his debut, still managed to run top EP#, gets 1st Lasix and Upgrade to Frankie Pennington
5 – COLD WALKER – ran the TLRSP# back in December debut, Eddie C and 1st time gelded to start 3 yo campaign – only true MSW to MCL dropper
1 – THE GREAT GAZOO – consistently puts up the best speed numbers but likes to hang at the end. It would not be surprising to see him give it up at the wire.
6 – ET’S MAGIC MAN – take your choice with the rest, I’ll go here with the Monmouth shippers with only 1 race, he could be a good horse, could be a bad horse, we just don’t know, but we know what the other two are
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 158 races, 104 won by speed, 51 w2w – PP: rail penalty, but did OK last week, all else fair
2 – HIGH VELOCITY – usually quick out of the gate and has a decent EP edge, should have no problem getting the lead, 3rd off a layoff, last race 3 was by far best of 3 race cycle
1 – MR. DODA – ran the TLRSP# back in September, won his last fresh run and the May 11 5f work suggests he could fire off the bench again at a price
5 – DALTON – dropping in class and into the claiming ranks for the first time, a 23% angle for trainer Jorge Duarte, Jr. OK works getting ready but likes the distance 6/1-2-1
7 – SPEAK UNITY – drops in class and has a swift workout since
Race 3 – 6 Furlongs, 158 races, 104 won by speed, 51 w2w – PP: rail penalty, but did OK last week, all else fair
4 – COACH HAS SIX ACES – first time starter with good works, tr Rober Reid, jr wins at 21% 1st out
1 – JUST ADD MOONLIGHT – should be on the gas from go with EP, been holding his speed longer and could be better in his second start off the bench
6 – SMARTY PANTS SANDY – TLRSP# and gets a weight break today
3 – SUPER DUPER FLY – 3rd after a layoff and a bullet work between races
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 158 races, 104 won by speed, 51 w2w – PP: rail penalty, but did OK last week, all else fair
4 – DATA DEAL – not the biggest fan of MCL winners in race 12, but TLRSP# and PARX 4/1-1-2
5 – MR. TUTTLE – ran better fractions at 6 ½ f vs 5 ½ f and should be rolling at the end
3 – NATAVALLI’S KNIGHT – another MCL winner and went w2w in 5th try
10 – GO FOR THE KILL – biggest dropper in the field
Race 5 – 7 Furlongs, 111 Races, 81 won by speed, 36 w2w – PP: mostly fair with a small inside 3 bias
4 – TITANIC ROSE – taking the biggest class drop after running the TLRSP#, fractions were much sharper compared to previous 6 ½ f run
5 – WHATRUWAITINGFOR – has the top EP#s by a little over the 2 horse, been strongest at Parx, 7/1-3-1 and 6/0-0-0 elsewhere
7 – FRAME THIS – showed more late interest in his last, ran slightly faster, PARX 7/0-2-3
3 – J D’S VISTA – her record says to expect significant improvement in race #2 after a layoff
Race 6 – 7 Furlongs, 111 Races, 81 won by speed, 36 w2w – PP: mostly fair with a small inside 3 bias
1 – NINE TOE JOHNNY – could pop to an easy lead in a race full of closers and slow out of the box horses
7 – SCOTCH ROCK’S – 3SP# increase and ran about 1 second faster in his last
5 – CATCH MY VIBE – is another that could be on/near the lead in a paceless rate
2 – PERFECT REVENGE
Race 7 – 1 Mile 70 Yards TURF, 4 races, 50/50, 2 w2w – PP: strong inside 3 bias
7 – V. I. P. CODE – LS – off track record and turf pedigree say he should like turf, should get a good trip right off the front group and go by at the end
12 – DRILLOMATIC – one his lone Parx turf race last out, squared up against tougher prior to this on gulfstream grass
11 – YEI YEI – went wire to wire in his last on Turf at Parx, if he can get away with an EZ lead, he could do it again
3 – WHAT’S TO BLAME – has the top LP#s by a decent margin, TLRSP# on dirt but 13/2-5-2 on turf
Race 8 – 6 Furlongs, 158 races, 104 won by speed, 51 w2w – PP: rail penalty, but did OK last week, all else fair
7 – DIVINE MIRACLE – ins a head from winning six of six at PARX
5 – THE JONES BOY – was the favorite last out at Monmouth, ran much better Pace #s from start to finish, tr John Servis rebounds at 34% with btn favs
8 – CHROME DIXIE – NYRA track dropper, class dropper, with OK works, would feel stupid if he won and didn’t have him
2 – FOR THE DREAMERS – hard call over 3, but EP with 1st Lasix and looks like the 3 is regressing
Race 9 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 160 Races, 109 won by speed, 37 w2w – clear inside out bias
6 – YOU MUST CHILL – coming out of 100K ngraded, loves PARX 7/4-1-1, Distance 6/5-1-0
7 – TOO BOSS – comes in from Belmont but 3/1-1-0 at Parx, Drops in class, should be better in 2nd start after, Kendrick winning at 32% at Parx
1 – IRISH CORK – on the high win rate rail, Distance 8/3-1-3, flipping from 100K Ngraded turf to dirt, T2D 25% for trainer John Servis
8 – BORRACHO – threat to go w2w as lone E, but O for 4 at Parx, O for 2 at Distance
Race 10 – 1 Mile 70 Yards TURF, 4 races, 50/50, 2 w2w – PP: strong inside 3 bias
2 – ROBERT’S LUXURY – could step up in 3rd off the layoff, did improve measurably in first half mile of last race likes turf 7/2-1-3
10 – JUSTINTIMEFORWINE – track dropper from NYRA and GP, has decided EP edge over the rest
4 – HEARTNESS – going to try turf for the 1st time, off track record says he might like the switch, Tr Jamie Ness hots 21% and drops him in class
11 – LAKE NAKURU – 3 SP# increases better ATB in last race and could find what he needs in 3rd off the bench
