$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for the Parx full card on a $100 Budget
Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Sensible Jim – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – C C Goldrush – He switches to a high % winning jockey and drops in class today.
4 – Stevie T – He has a high % winning trainer and a good workout on Dec 6th.
Longshot:
7 – Liam’s Blue Moon – He switches to a high % winning jockey, has the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
Alternate:
1 – Emperor’s Cause
2 – Louie’s Law
Bet: $10.00 to win # 3 and a $1.00 exacta #3 on Top with the # 4, 6, 7
Race 2
4 – Broadwaycharlyrose – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last start at PARX Racing and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Hop On Me – She ran 3rd in both her career starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Tipsy Girl– She has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Arrogante – She ran 2nd in her last race.
Alternate:
1 – Equistar
Race 3
2 – Large – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Mr. Briggs – He drops in class today, has a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
9 – My Brother Neil – He likes PARX Racing, winning two races and drops in class today.
Longshot:
8 – Origo – He finished 3rd in his last race and drops in class today. – Play
Alternate:
5 – D Black Mamba
6 – Will Take Control
Bet: $5.00 to win # 2 and a $1.00 exacta #2 on Top with the # 1, 8, 9
Race 4
2 – Thearcherortheprey – She finished 4th in her maiden race after being bumped at the start and coming 5-wide into the stretch.
8 – Filtered Light – She finished 3rd in her only start, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
6 – Precipice – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and her Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner.
Longshot:
None
Alternate:
7 – Candy Flash
Race 5
1 – Manolete – She has finished 2nd in her last three races, has a high % winning trainer jockey and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
7 – This Ill Defend – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Drena’s Bullet – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race.
Longshot:
4 – Keeping the Peace – She drops in class today today.
Alternate:
2 – Classified Info
$.50 Trifecta box #1-3-4-7
Race 6
4 – Sweet Sugar Baby – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Sprinkle This– She has an early foot and can go all the way with a jockey change.
3 – Maarty’s Dilemma – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Misquillo – She likes finishing in the money.
Bet: $10.00 win # 4 -$4.00 DD-#4 with #3-4-7
Race 7
3 – Empress Ariana – She won her maiden race at PARX Racing easily and has a has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Classy Nancy – She has finished in the money in four out of five career races, winning one of the starts.
7 – Warrior’s Ransom – She finished 3rd in her last race and her jockey in last 7 days finished in the money in ten out of fifteen races, winning six of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Madeline’s Grogu – She won her last race at Monmouth.
Bet: $10.00 to win # 3 and a $2.00 exacta #3 on Top with the # 1,4,7
Alternate:
2 – Creative Copy
Race 8
8 – Minding Millie – She just missed winning her last race and is now trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
3 – This Round’s Mine – She has won three races out of the last four races, finishing 2nd in her last race.
6 – Hightime Valentine – She has finished in the money in four out of the last five races, winning one of the starts and will be closing to try and win.
Longshot:
4 – Starship Rogue – She has won four races at PARX Racing and likes the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Excitable Lady
7 – Jet Force
Bet: $4.00 to win # 8 – $.50 Trifecta box #3-4-6-8
Race 9
9 – Float On – He won his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – Yes It’s Roo – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing and the distance will not be a problem.
5 – Nimble Beast – He has finished in the money in seven out of eight races, winning five and likes the distance.
Longshot:
7 – Portal One – He won six out ten races last year and is returning to PARX Racing where he won three out four races.
$.50 Pick 3 – 9th race # 5,8,9 – 10th race # 1, 7, 8 – 11th race # 1, 3, 4, 7
Alternate:
1 – Jump Shot
2 – Golden Spoke
Race 10
1 – Nurturing – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
8 – Centre Court Champ – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Plane Drunk – She is trained by Jamie Ness and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Precious – She is trained by John Servis and ridden by Frankie Pennington.
Alternate:
3 – Out Dancing
4 – Midtown Rose
Race 11
4 – Leviosa – She is trained by Michael Pino who is dropping the horse in class and wins 29% of the races when doing this.
1 – Adhwaa – She drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
3 – Penance – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Stormbeam – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
8 – Anginetti
6 – What a Beaut
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
3 – SENSIBLE JIM – is a neck from winning both on Parx dirt after shipping in from Tier 1 tracks
1 – EMPEROR’S CAUSE – NYRA track dropper with the most LP in the field, better EP#s in last
4 – STEVIE T – Significant class dropper, lone P horse with 50/50 second off record, decent maintenance work
7 – LIAM’S BLUE MOON – Track dropper with brilliant 2/4 EP gains and TLRSP# in last
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 1,3/1,3,4,/1,3,4,7
Raec 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
4 – BROADWAYCHARLYROSE – showed better in the 2nd half of her last start and has a pair of works since
2 – HOP ON ME – has a +11 LP edge and a +7 EP/LP advantage, needs a better start
1 – EQUISTAR – showed some early pop in her debut, better in R2?
5 – TIPSY GIRL – well bet Silvera/Ness horse that didn’t show up in debut
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 2,4/1,2,4/1,2,4,5
Race 3: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: 50/50 2,3 and 8+ Best, rail and 4-7 Penalized through 12 starts
5 – D BLACK MAMBA – Z pattern with TLRSP# for horse with the top EP/LP score
6 – WILL TAKE CONTROL – much better ATB in last with maintenance work since
8 – ORIGO – held speed for much longer last out, faster times and bullet work between
1 – MR. BRIGGS – NYRA track dropper, tr Mertkan Kantarmaci hits at 23% with shippers vs 14% overall
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 5,6/5,6,8/1,5,6,8
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
6 – PRECIPICE – Kendrick comes for 1 mount, a maiden? Better be special
3 – TAKE IT TO THE MAX – looking at the Nov 5th work, 4f in 47.2. might be the best for any of the 1sters
8 – FILTERED LIGHT – showed some solid out of the gate speed in debut, decently net and has 16f works since
2 – THEARCHERORTHEPREY – tough start in debut, closed ground late, tr Lousi Linder wins 2nd career starts at 20% vs 17% overall
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 3,6/3,6,8/2,3,6,8
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside Out Speed
1 – MANOLETE – TLRSP# and has a +8 EP/LP combo advantage – best PARX#s by a decent margin
7 – THIS ILL DEFEND – faster opening half in last at 1M70y v 1m, Tr Jamie Ness 27% on Rt to SPr angle
4 – KEEPING THE PEACE – has the back class, been off since Aug 4th,
12 – BROOKS ROBINSON – has a +7 EP edge at 4f, just needs to hold on
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 1,7/1,4,7/1,4,7,12
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
7 – MISQUILLO – minor Z pattern, 11 point LP edge and 6 point O advantage
3 – MAARTY’S DILEMMA – been working out OK to good for this spot, track needs to be fast
4 – SWEET SUGAR BABY – not quite sure why this one is the 7/5 ML? Maybe oddsmaker knows something – does have some EP though
5 – SPRINKLE THIS – tough call over the 1, but I’ll take the early pace and weight break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 3,7/3,4,7/3,4,5,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
4 – CLASSY NANCY – consistent performer, Ness/Silvera nice work since last outing
3 – EMPRESS ARIANA – not sure what to make of debut, turn in +EP/LP combo, slow start, big move, slow time – a lot of mixed signals
1 – MADELINE’S GROGU – w2w in maiden win at Monmouth in 5th try, steady works since
2 – CREATIVE COPY
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Tri 3,4/1,3,4/1,2,3,4
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
3 – THIS ROUND’S MINE – better EP in her last outing, top EP/LP Combo
5 – EXCITABLE LADY – TLRSP# with faster fractions, 3SP# increases and gets a weight break today
6 – HIGHTIME VALENTINE – a case of Parx seconditis, 10/2-6-0, Distance too 12/2-5-1
8 – MINDING MILLIE – Ness off the Claim 33%, goes up to 35% when dropping in class
4 – STARSHIP ROGUE
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4 3,5,6,8/5,9/1,8/1,3,4,5
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
9 – FLOAT ON – TLRSP# and Drops, top LP and EP/LP combo, decent work between races
5 – NIMBLE BEAST – should be on the gas from go to photo, solid tied top Parx #s with the 9
7 – PORTAL ONE – Been off since May, but Parx 4/3-0-0, a couple of OK works
8 – YES IT’S ROO – dropping in class after being better ATB
Suggested Wagers: $5 Double 5,9 w/ 1,8 and $0.50 Tri 5,9/5,7,9/1,5,7,8,9
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside Out Speed
8 – CENTRE COURT CHAMP – has a +EP edge at 4f, 3SP# increases in a row, maybe better in 3rd off the bench
1 – NURTURING – TLRSP# and gets the high win rate rail, much better late in last with +EP/LP advantage
4 – MIDTOWN ROSE – last two at Parx would be good enough here, blew a tire at AQ in last
7 – PLANE DRUNK – Ness/Silvera again, was a little better through the first ½ in last
Suggested Wager: $1 Double 1,8/1,3,4,5,8
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
4 – LEVIOSA – +2/4f edge, claim and drop, 30% angle for tr Michael Pino v 23%, 3rd off the break
3 – PENANCE – won a third of her Parx races 33/11-2-5
1 – ADHWAA – tied TLRSP# and drops in class, very consistent performer
5 – SOUTHERN CENTS – tie TLRSP# and gets a weight break here as lone EP
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
