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Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Evangeline Downs
PARX Horse Racing Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Starship Gotham – He has been knocking at the door in the last three races at PARX Racing, finishing 2nd vs similar in his last race.
7 – Major Cam – He drops in class today, has a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Dubrovnik – He has finished in the money in all his races at PARX Racing running 3rd vs similar in his last race.
Longshot:
5 – Seventytimesseven – He has early speed and drops in class today.
Alternate:
4 – Old Beau
8 – Finnoggindude
Bet: $5.00 exacta box # 1, 7 = $10.00
Race 2
1 – Pelota – He drops in class today and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
3 – We Ready – He has finished in the money in three races out of four starts at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
8 – Tankinator – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Chain Reaction – He won his last race at PARX Racing and may repeat that performance.
Alternate:
6 – Bucks Are Moving
5 – Ante Up Alex
Bet: $2.00 exacta box # 1, 3, 8 = $12.00
Race 3
8 – Tequilamademedoit – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and can improve while returning to a route.
3 – Big Redwhiteblue – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a good 5F workout on Dec-13.
1 – Verbier – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning jockey and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
Longshot:
6 – Lt’s Jacknthebox – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% when taking a horse Up 2+ classes.
Alternate:
7 – Staff Sergeant
Bet: Bet: $.50 trifecta box #1, 3, 6, 8 = $12.00
Race 4
2 – Ima Pharoah – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, the best dirt speed among today’s starters and a jockey in the last 7 days has this record 18 5-2-5.
8 – One Slick Start – She has an early foot so the cut back in distance should be a plus.
7 – Cajun Lover – She has the highest last race speed rating and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
9 – Calculated Breeze – She has won two races at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
1 – Champion by Design
4 – Nine Toe Johnny
No Bet
Race 5
5 – Frame This – She has finished in the money in the last five races, winning one of the starts and has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Pontiffany – She won her last her race and has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has finished in the money in eight out of eleven races, winning five of the starts.
10 – Shetalkstomuch – She drops in class today and likes PARX Racing.
Longshot:
11 – Miss Alex – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
6 – Miss Corey
Bet: $10.00 to Win # 5
Race 6
3 – Doctor Doom – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer who wins 38% of the time when taking a horse from a Sprint-Route-Sprint.
5 – Jokemeister – He has finished in the money in the last four out of six races this year, winning one of the starts and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Hotpot – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and has done well in the past at PARX Racing.
Longshot:
1- Spirit’s Hero – He drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when taking a horse from the Route to Sprint.
Alternate:
2 – Private Sector
4 – Jovial
No Bet
Race 7
1 – Wizard Serrat – He won his last race and has a highest last race speed rating.
4 – This Ill Defend – He finished 3rd in his last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
6 – E T’s Super Star – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Strum and Pluck – He drops in class today and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Bet: None
Alternate:
5 – Ilovecharlybrown
Race 8
6 – Yellow Dress – She drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Frieder Fanatic – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and the distance won’t be a problem.
2 – Pearlbdancing – She drops in class today likes PARX Racing, and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
8 – Stacias Ruby – She switches to a high% trainer and her jockey in the last 7 days has this record (14 4-1-2).
Alternate:
1 – Shewearsthepants
Bet: $15.00 win # 6 -$12.00 DD #6-3
$.50 Pick 4 – 8th race # 6 – 9th race # 3 – 10th race #1, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9- 11th race #1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 11=$18.00
Race 9
3 – Steely Danza – He has finished in the money in the last seven races, winning one of the starts and has a bullet workout on Dec 9th.
6 – Must Be Love – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, switches to a high% trainer and drops in class today.
8 – Prince of Fenton – He won his last race by fourteen lengths.
Longshot:
4 – Enforcer – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (8 2-0-2).
Alternate:
10 – Battle of Berlin
9 – Jump for the Win
Bet: $15.00 win # 3
Race 10
9 – Fast Breakin Cash – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a bullet workout 4F workout on Dec-09.
3 – Dalton – He has finished in the money in the last three races, winning one of the starts and switches to a high winning % jockey.
6 – Cuneo – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Buffalo Shuffle – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer who has in last 14 days has won three out of six starts.
Alternate:
1 – Geebert
8 – Vikram
Race 11
6 – Cold Walker– He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
11 – About the Multiple – He needed his last race after being off 4-months and drops in class.
1 – Mr. Tuttle – He has done well at PARX Racing in the past and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Sunsanddrinkinhand – He switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Dougie
Bet: $2.00 win # 6
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with an Inside Three Bias
1 – STARSHIP GOTHAM – Left Arrow Horse, maybe? Also has 2nd best LP#s and + EP/LP combo w/ TLRSP#
7 – MAJOR CAM – cut back in distance helps, maybe? 7f 2/0-1-1, is dropping in class but 3rd at this level two back
5 – SEVENTYTIMESSEVEN – probably going to be the pacesetter, the last 2 Mondays, speed held, let’s see if it’s 3 fast Mondays in a row
2 – DUBROVNIK – really can’t make a case for any other right here, better #s far more consistently than the rest
Suggested Wagers: $2 Exacta 5/1,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with Rail Penalty – 3+ Fair
1 – PELOTA – faster early fractions at 7f vs 6f in previous start, dropping in class, Ness/Silvera – rails hurts
8 – TANKINATOR – TLRSP# and drops from same race as #1, cut back helps the 1, hurts this one
6 – BUCKS ARE MOVING – been improving through the first ½ mile for the last three races, a little improvement at the end might be all it takes
2 – EXPLAIN – has a +7 LP edge, drops in class and maybe improves in 2nd off the break, but 2nd up record is spotty
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta 1,6,8/1,8/1,2,4,6,8
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed with an Inside Three Bias
1 – VERBIER – TLRPS# and maybe does a little more in round two off the sidelines with rail bonus
8 – TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT – big fan of finishing in the money at Parx 23/0-8-6, Distance 8/0-4-2
3 – BIG REDWHITEBLUE – lone Parx run tied with #8 for best effort on the Bensalem track
6 – LT’S JACKNTHEBOX – BTN FAV at MCL 10k after showing speed, but slow fractions, tr Robert Mosco must have seen something we missed on PPs, up 2 classes, 26% angle vs 20% overall
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta 1,3,8/1,8/1,2,3,6,8
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus – 45% w2w
9 – CALCULATED BREEZE – should be close to the pace and has a +LP and +EP/LP advantage
1 – CHAMPION BY DESIGN – lone P horse set between plenty of early speed, showed additional late pace in his last
2 – IMA PHAROAH – big drop in 3rd off the break, tr Cathal Lynch hits at 34% vs 26% overall
7 – CAJUN LOVER – 45% chance he gets the lead where 45% win w2w = at odds of 5-1 or higher is a must bet
Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta Box 7/1,2,9
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with an Inside Three Bias
1 – PONTIFFANY – Tie for the TPLRSP# in first Parx race after coming from CD, drops off the win
5 – FRAME THIS – Tie TPLRSP#, last race was better than it looks with the same effort as a winning effort in the previous start
4 – FROSTED WILD RIDE – expecting a better performance in 2nd Parx start after coming in from NYRA and 2nd after a layoff – one of two E horses in a field of mid pack and closer types
10 – SHETALKSTOMUCH – deceptively quicker times last time out at 6 1/2f v 6f, maybe adds to it in 3rd off the break
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta 1,5/1,4,5/1,4,5,9,10
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with Rail Penalty – 3+ Fair
4 – JOVIAL – toss the end of the last race, was best 2/4f# to date, if he runs back to maiden win, 3 back, easy win
5 – JOKEMEISTER – some better fractions last out, could be near at/near peak form in classic 3rd off the bench
3 – DOCTOR DOOM – has a +12 LP edge, start is everything, if he is close early, this one might not be close
2 – PRIVATE SECTOR – fairly big drop in class, last race was better than it looks, drops too and had an enormous jump in only other 2nd race off the sidelines
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta Box 2,3,4,5
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with an Inside Three Bias
1 – WIZARD SERRAT – TLRSP# and ran better fractions at 7f v 6 1/2f and was better late
4 – THIS ILL DEFEND – much improved late in last, should be coming late and carries a little less weight
6 – E T’S SUPER STAR – 4 SP# Increases, distance 5/1-1-2
2 – JACKS AMERICAN PIE – might not look like it on paper, but has a +EP at 2f and +8 at 4f edge
Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta Box 2/1,4,5,6
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus – 45% w2w
6 – YELLOW DRESS – should be close to the pace and has a +LP and +12 EP/LP combo
3 – FRIEDER FANATIC – better ATB in first off the bench, should be better in round 2 off the bench
1 – SHEWEARSTHEPANTS – down in class too, quicker times at 6 1/2f v 5 1/2f
8 – STACIAS RUBY – lone close in a field full of presser and EP
Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta Box 8/1,2,3,6
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with an Inside Three Bias
3 – STEELY DANZA – track dropper with TPLRSP# maybe better in 3rd off the break, bullet at Parx
4 – ENFORCER – has plenty of EP – better times at 6f vs 5 ½ f
7 – COUNT DOWN – off for more than a year works have been really solid at Parx
6 – MUST BE LOVE – much better fractions last out in first at Parx after coming from NYRA
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Three: 3/4,5,6,9/2,6,7,10
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with Rail Penalty – 3+ Fair
5 – EGO MAN – TLRSP# and drops in class, OK record coming off the bench like today
9 – FAST BREAKIN CASH – lone PC horse chasing plenty of early speed
4 – BUFFALO SHUFFLE – has a ton of early speed and won his last by 10
6 – CUNEO – drops in class, but seems to fair best versus state breeds and this io open company
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,9/5,9/3,4,5,6,9
Race 11: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside Out Speed with Rail Bonus
6 – COLD WALKER – BTN FAV, tr John Servis rebounds at 32% v 19% overall, weight break today
7 – HOPE FOR GOLD – 3SP# increases ended with TLRSP# missed by a head in last
11 – ABOUT THE MULTIPLE – one a few E types, if he can run back two races, looking for upgrade in race two after a layoff
2 – LOVED AGAIN – lone PC horse that is likely to be forwardly placed here
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,7,11/6,7/2,5,6,11
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
