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Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
Parx Horse Racing Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Imagism – She has an early foot and a decent workout.
6 – Escandalo – She is a closer who finished 3rd in her last race.
8 – Angelofthegalaxy – She has early speed and with a good track she will have a better chance.
Longshot:
5 – Only Girl – She is a closer who has finished in the money in 45% of the races during her career.
Bet: $.50 trifecta box #1, 5, 6, 8 = $12.00
Race 2
7 – Not in the Mood – She took a 4-month break and in her first race back had a good 2nd place finished.
5 – Lady Fox – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
3 – Boom Boom Girl – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Londonderry – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
2 – Isabella Smile
Bet: $1.00 exacta box # 3, 4, 5, 7 = $12.00
Race 3
1 – Classy Sadie – She has finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning two races, finishing 2nd in her last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
6 – The Biggest One – She won her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Gavichi – She likes PARX Racing and the distance and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Sea Fret – She has early speed winning two races at PARX Racing going to the front and leading all the way at today’s distance.
Alternate:
4 – Londonderry
7 – Sweet Lilly Factum
Bet: $.50 trifecta box #1, 3, 6, 8 = $12.00
Race 4
2 – Summary Judgment – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Mani Pedi – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer who has won three out of the last eight starts.
3 – Frisky Feeling – She has finished in the money in 45% of the races at PARX Racing, winning 27% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – Marianna Queen – She likes PARX Racing and the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Canoochee
7 – Abhaile
Bet: $.50 trifecta #2, 4/ 2, 3, 4/2, 3, 4, 6 = $4.00
Race 5
2 – Book and Cancel – She drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Leaping for Candy – She ran 2nd in her last race.
9 – Love the Hustle – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
Longshot:
3 – All Hail Mo – Her trainer wins 21% of the time in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
4 – Hip Hop Hooray
Bet: None
Race 6
6 – Flag – He won his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Porsupuesto – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Connecting – He has finished in the money in six races out of the last seven starts, winning one of the starts and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1- Wegottaguy – He has done well at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
Alternate:
5 – Southern Runner
7 – Wheresthepassion
Bet: None
Race 7
2 – Anna Volante – She comes in from Santa Anita, switches to a high % jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (17 5-2-3) and a good 5F workout on Dec-09.
3 – Happybirthdaycorey – She has finished in the money in both of her career races, winning one and having a lot of trouble in her last race finishing 2nd.
6 – Baby Fade – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
8 – Snappy Ride –She drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Bet: None
Alternate:
7 – The Furmanator
Race 8
8 – Sweet Fury – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Lucky Breeze – She finished 2nd in her debut race after being well bet in the debut.
7 – Mythreebutterflies – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Twodogsfourcats – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
1 – My Silver Lady
3 – Random Luck
$.50 Pick 4 – 8th race 5, 6, 7, 8 – 9th race # 3 – 10th race #1, 2, 3, 7- 11th race #2, 7, 10, 11
Race 9
3 – Peach Perfect – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Sweet Talked – She is another horse coming in from Santa Anita, switches to a high % jockey has a and a good 5F workout on Dec-12.
4 – Closet Shopper – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
5 – Irie Empress – She drops in class today and can improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
6 – Super Duper Fly
Bet: $15.00 win # 3
Race 10
2 – Sofia’s Secret– She has finished in the money in five races out of her last six starts, winning two starts, finishing 2nd in her last race and has a bullet 4F workout on Dec-14.
7 – Chelsea Wall – She has finished in the money in nine out of thirteen races at PARX Racing, winning three of the starts and she has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Titanic Rose – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a decent workout on Dec 13th.
Longshot:
3 – Gingers Wish – She likes PARX Racing and the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Argentina Girl
Bet: S5.00 DD 2-2
Race 11
2 – El Hermano– He won his last two races in a row, going for a hat trick and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-1-1).
7 – Still Having Fun – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
11 – Outrageous Bet – He won his last two races, and he can handle the distance.
Longshot:
10 – Speightster Red – He won his last two races in a row and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
6 – Look Out Lambo
3 – French Toast
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Early Speed with and Inside Three Bias
1 – IMAGISM – has a + EP advantage at 2/4f with a maintenance works between races
6 – ESCANDALO – PARX 14/0-3-4 should be closing late
8 – ANGELOFTHEGALAXY – benefits from the 3 scratching and could set the pace
2 – CHARLEY’S CHOO CHOO – has the most LP and closers did well yesterday
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 1/ALL
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed, Fair 11-7 and 8+
3 – BOOM BOOM GIRL – maybe better in 3rd after a layoff, drops a little in class, Distance 6/2-1-0 all others 18/1-4-4
2 – ISABELLA SMILE – fairly consistent performer that upped her late game in the last
4 – LONDONDERRY – TLRSP# and has the top LP in the group
5 – LADY FOX – 1st off the claim for tr Michael Pino, maybe better in 3rd off the bench, maintenance work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3/2,3,4/2,3,4,5,9
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Fair 2+ with a Rail Penalty
1 – CLASSY SADIE – Parx 9/2-5-2, 3SP# increases in a row, TLRSP# – rail draw hurts chances
5 – GAVICHI – messy start in last, still ran solid EP#s and showed a little more late interest
6 – THE BIGGEST ONE – 3SP# increases in a row and won last with ease, same race should be the same result
3 – SEA FRET – has the early speed to tale the lead, last time she stopped, followed it up with a good effort
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: ALL/2,4
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Three Speed and a little Bonus 8+
2 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – Left Arrow Horse with a +9 EP edge at 4f, good work between races
4 – MANI PEDI – has a +7 LP advantage, better fractions at 4 and 6f, tie TLRSP# and Drops
7 – ABHAILE – a little better fractions last out, a little better SP#s three in a row
5 – CANOOCHEE – also ran a little quicker times in her last, a little weight break
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 2,4/ALL
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Fair 2+ with a Rail Penalty
2 – BOOK AND CANCEL – TLRSP#, track and class dropper, gets a weight break, a bunch of works between races, should be fit
9 – LOVE THE HUSTLE – was well bet in debut, because a good horse or because of Ness/Silvera?
7 – THENDARA’S LOST – the December 10th work might be the best of all of them, big weight break
4 – HIP428 HOP HOORAY – drops multiple classes after the debut, tr Ernesto Padilla-Preciado winner 5/13
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key: 7/1,2,3,4,9
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with a Rail Bias
4 – CONNECTING – consistent performer with a +11 EP/LP combo
6 – FLAG – was better ATB in last, maybe better 3rd off the break a 28% winner for tr Jamie Ness
5 – SOUTHERN RUNNER – dropping to his lowest level in the last 10
7 – WHERESTHEPASSION – has a +6 LP edge and closers did well yesterday
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6/4,5,6/3,4,5,6,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Fair 2+ with a Rail Penalty
2 – ANNA VOLANTE – track dropper, coming in from Santa Anita, bullet and go
8 – SNAPPY RIDE – has a +EP/LP combo – drops in class, last regression was followed by a bounce back
5 – FASHIONATTA – lone P horse, lightly raced horse 20f of works since her last race
4 – PROSPECTIVE CANDY – possibly better in 2nd race after a year in the barn
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,8/2,5,8/2,3,4,5,8
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Fair 2+ with a Rail Penalty
8 – SWEET FURY – been getting consistently better in the last 4 races, Parx 5/0-3-1 – +10 EP/LP
5 – TWODOGSFOURCATS – another that was steadily improving, went to the sidelines since March, Nov 15th work says she is ready to return
4 – CARATS AND CAKE – track dropper from AQ, showed plenty of speed early in debut 25f of works since says she won’t tire this time
1 – MY SILVER LADY – looks like the best of the 1st timers, tough call over the 7
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 8/ALL
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Three Speed and a little Bonus 8+
3 – PEACH PERFECT – Ran well last time off the break, Parx 9/1-4-3, Fast 6/1-3-2
4 – CLOSET SHOPPER – some seconditis of last, including TLRSP# – following 3SP# increases
7 – SWEET TALKED – Ness and Silvera on a Santa Anta track dropper, lone Parx work was nice
2 – MEMENTO MI – hast the best combo of EP and LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,7/2,3,4,5,7
Race 10: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 1-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
2 – SOFIA’S SECRET – track drop from Laurel, TLRSP# as BTN FAV, tr Brittany Russel Rebounds at 28% 2/2 at the distance
7 – CHELSEA WALL – something went wrong in last, Parx 13/3-5-1 and 5/1-3-0 at distance
5 – ARGENTINA GIRL – might not look like it on paper, but has a good shot to be on the front and gets brave with the lead – 4 scratching really helps
1 – TITANIC ROSE – should be coming late with +7 LP, distance 4/0-3-1
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 2/ALL
Race 11: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Three Speed and a little Bonus 8+
2 – EL HERMANO – won 2 in a row, ran better times at 1m70y v 1m last out
7 – STILL HAVING FUN – lone P horse that should be involved from start to finish, workouts are pretty good getting ready
11 – OUTRAGEOUS BET – most LP in the field, but should not be too far from the front
10 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – another that looks to be in good form, winning 2 in a row
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/2,7,11/2,4,7,10,11
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
