Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Terry’s Horseshoe Indianapolis Best Bet
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mountaineer Park
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Still Having Fun – He has done well in the past at Parx Racing, the distance is no problem and drops in class today – He has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is the fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Passage of Lines – He won his last race at Parx Racing and has a trainer who wins 17% of the races with a claim repeater.
2 – Knockout Kick – He had a disappointing last race after being off since March 2021 but probably needed the race and has several good workouts prior to the race – He has a High % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-0) and drops in class today.
7 – Rack Gin – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (23 6-3-2).
Alternate:
6 – He Hate Me – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a jockey who is winning at a 19% clip.
5 – Float On
Race 2
4 – Don’t Tell Frankie – She has won two races in a row going for a hat trick, has the highest last race speed rating and a high % winning trainer.
1 – Without a View – She has finished in the money in four out of the last five races, winning one of the starts, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Miss Alex – Her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
2 – Fall Campaign – The shorter distance today should help her.
Alternate:
6 – Vanishing Faith
7 – Sweet Ballerina
Race 3
6 – Flat Lucky – He has been racing at Oaklawn Park and comes to Parx Racing for the first time, he switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the time when he drops a horse off a claim and has a good 4F workout Jun-25.
1 – Fran’s Worrier – He likes Parx Racing winning nine out of twenty-two starts, he ran 2nd in last race, has a high % winning Jockey and he has the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Fox Red – He has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and may improve at the shorter distance.
5 – Kate’s Golden Dude – He had a disappointing last race after coming very wide into the stretch – He has a high % winning trainer, the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Jamminwithbrandon
3 – The Big S
Race 4
1 – Husky Spirit – She won her debut race at PARX Racing and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (18 6-2-2).
4 – White Lilacs – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Frame This – She has been knocking on the door finishing either 3rd or 2nd in her last six races.
5 – Monster Rising – She was eased back before the half mile then closed well through stretch – Her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Misquillo
Race 5
4 – Commissioner G – He will be closing from deep to try and cross the finished line first, he has a high % winning trainer, has the highest last race speed rating and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance – The jockey in the last 7 days has this record (23 6-3-2).
2 – Forest Fire – He likes Parx Racing finishing in the money 43% of the time, winning 30% of the races and likes the distance winning 67% of the races and he has a high % winning Jockey.
6 – Hidden Promise – He was claimed in his last race by a trainer who wins 50% of the races when drops a horse off a claim.
7 – Mach Trial – Today’s distance is in his wheelhouse as he has finished in the money 90% of the time, winning 36% of the races and he has the highest speed rating of all the entries.
Alternate:
3 – Jw’s Third Mischie
5 – Town Jak
Race 6
4 – Touring Maryanne – She has finished in the money in all four of her career races winning one of the starts and finishing 3rd vs similar in last race at Parx Racing.
6 – Whatruwaitingfor – She has a lot of early speed so a cutback in distance in this race should help her and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Titanic Rose – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – My Coralena – The rail post is winning at a 20% clip; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a good 5F workout on Jun-25.
Alternate:
7 – Poor No More
9 – Gone Dreaming
Race 7
8 – Ice – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, the breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a trainer who wins 30% of the races in a 2-year-olds first race.
1 – Boss Like Beth – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who wins 27% of the races in maiden special weight races.
4 – Majestic Creed – She is a first-time starter, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Abe’s Army – She is a first-time starter, has a bullet 4F workout on Jun-27 and a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – For Cryin Out Loud
3 – Bruno Barber Girl
Race 8
2 – Borsa Vento – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Sailor Again – He ran 2nd and then won his last race at PARX Racing and his early speed running style helps chances.
4 – Visual Artist – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and some good workouts.
6 – Pategory One – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-1).
Alternate:
5 – Ronin Warrior
1 – My Train
Race 9
2 – Kobe B – He has won three races in a row, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and a Jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (18 6-2-2).
1 – Dixie’s Two Stents – He has in finished in the money in all five of his races this year, winning two and finishing 2nd vs similar in last race at Parx Racing -Trained by Jamie Ness and jockey Frankie Pennington is in the irons.
8 – Heir Port – He won his last race at Delmar last October and has several bullet workouts for his return to the races and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Haney Boys – He won his last race at Churchill Downs, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the time when he drops a horse off a claim.
Alternate:
7 – Cant Stop This Man
Race 10
2 – Sapphire Royalty – She has never finished out of the money during her career, winning her last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and Jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-1-3).
3 – Love On Fire – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (18 6-2-2).
5 – Empress Deona – Her trainer wins 22% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again and she has a high % winning Jockey.
1 – Gia’s Fuego – She has won three out of eight races this year and the distance will not be a problem as she has won four races at today’s distance.
Alternate:
7 – Starship Rogue
8 – Miss Marley
Race 11
8 – Queen Cordelia – She is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by jockey Frankie Pennington, has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 35% of the time when he drops a horse off a claim.
6 – Designed to Dazzle – She has a good workout on 10Jun Mth 3f ft :35.4 B 2/20 and may improve with Lasix added.
2 – Cash On First – She drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Jackie’s a Fox – She tries turf for the first time, her Dam has 3 winners from 5 starters and 3 Turf winners – drops in class today and a trainer who wins 25% of the time in maiden claiming races.
Alternate:
11 – Nickys Notion
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 Furlongs, 169 races, 113 won by speed, 56 w2w -PP: 14 from rail, slight bonus 2/3, 4+ minor penalty
4 – STILL HAVING FUN – looks out of form on paper, but won the last time he dropped in class and last time Ruben Silvera rode
5 – FLOAT ON – tied for TLRSP#, resume says 2nd off the bench should be at least as good
7 – RACK GIN – been competitive a the ALW 25k level and drops, even more competitive at this level
2 – KNOCKOUT KICK – has a ton of back speed, was off more than a year, flashed strong speed in first race after the year off, if he runs back to his ability, could make easy work of this group.
Race 2 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 112 races, 71 won by speed, 35 w2w – PP: slight rail bias the rest are fair
3 – LADY BERNADETTE – has a chance to jump out front and not look back
4 – DON’T TELL FRANKIE – won two in a row and improved her EP3s in her last, one maintenance work since her last, seems unlikely to win 3 in a row after taking nine to win the first one
1 – WITHOUT A VIEW – last race was better than it looks on paper with the same fractions at 7f as 6 ½f
8 – MISS ALEX – the same fractions at 7f as 5 1/2fm better EP#s too, does have some back LP class
Race 3 – 6 Furlongs, 169 races, 113 won by speed, 56 w2w -PP: 14 from rail, slight bonus 2/3, 4+ minor penalty
3 – THE BIG S – followed the same pattern as last time off the bench, returned at Monmouth, ran a 68 speed number, went to Parx and ran and 82, well, came off the bench at Monmouth, ran a 68 SP# and returns to Parx where he’s won 2 of 3
6 – FLAT LUCKY – track dropper from CD CLM 40k, tr Jamie Ness 33% off the claim and 36% off the claim and dropping
1 – FRAN’S WORRIER – like the last few races, don’t like the rail, will pressure for the lead, might not get it, can struggle to compete off the front
7 – FOX RED – could be the pacesetter, ran a similar 4f time at 7f as 6 1/2f and could be sharper in his 3rd effort off the sidelines
Race 4 – 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf, 8 races, 50/50, 4 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, 2-7 same but a bonus, 8+ wins at ½ the rate it should
4 – WHITE LILACS – shipped in from Keeneland to win maiden last out, w2w on Parx grass, won without much effort, could back it up with another today
5 – MONSTER RISING – SP#s jumped aggressively in her last three since moving to grass, some regression last out but still good enough to win here
7 – LET’S CELEBRATE – could be the pacesetter, hung on to his speed longer in her second start off the bench, expecting more in 3rd after a layoff
3 – FRAME THIS –
Race 5 – 7 Furlongs, 120 races, 86 won by speed, 40 w2w -PP: slight inside 3 bias, small discount 4+
4 – COMMISSIONER G – significant LP improvement in last, TLRSP#, distance 3/2-0-0
5 – TOWN JAK – PP’s says he’ll run well fresh, some of the best PARX#s in the field
3 – JW’S THIRD MISCHIE – showed some signs of early improvement in last, has some speed and gets a weight break
6 – HIDDEN PROMISE – Kentucky track dropper, has some back speed, resume says a major improvement could come in 2nd after a layoff
Race 6 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 112 races, 71 won by speed, 35 w2w – PP: slight rail bias the rest are fair
3 – TINDARI – ships in from Monmouth after her third SP# increase in three races and better 2/4 fractions and PACE#s
10 – SHEWEARSTHEPANTS – not a fan of MCL risers, but record says she could improve in round 2 off the bench
4 – TOURING MARYANNE – one of the more lightly raced horse in the field, another that should step forward here
1 – MY CORALENA – track dropper from CD and OP, decent PARX works, tough call over #2/6
2 – TITANIC ROSE
6 – WHATRUWAITINGFOR
Race 7 – 4 ½ Furlongs, 3 races, 1005 w2w – PP: 1 from 4-7, 2 from 8+
8 – ICE – strong works at Laurel, tr Brittany Russell wins at 26% with 1st timers and at 35% with jy Jevian Toledo
6 – ABE’S ARMY – bullet and go, tr Robert Mosco won 3/10 with 1st time starters, but 0/4 MSW
2 – MAGGIE – has good workouts, including a 5 and 6 f work, could be fittest of 1st timers
4 – MAJESTIC CREED – best of the rest of the 1st timers based on workouts
Race 8 – 1 Mile 70 Yards, 174 races, 120 won by speed, 42 w2w – PP: inside out bias
6 – PATEGORY ONE – TLRSP#, should not be too far from the front and has some of the best LP in the field, adding distance should help
2 – BORSA VENTO – PARX 22/6-5-3 improved his LP last out and is usually close to the pace all the way around the track
1 – MY TRAIN – won his last w2w – if he can get the lead, has a chance to do it again, but…
4 – VISUAL ARTIST – has a strong EP advantage over the rest of the field, but has been fading of late
Race 9 – 6 Furlongs, 169 races, 113 won by speed, 56 w2w -PP: 14 from rail, slight bonus 2/3, 4+ minor penalty
2 – KOBE B – won his last three and none of them were close, will sit behind leaders are run by at the end
1 – DIXIE’S TWO STENTS – just missed in his last as the favorite, came from Kee, SA, DMR, could be good enough to overcome rail post
4 – HANEY BOYS – track dropper from CD, KEE and OP, better fractions last out
3 – HIGH VELOCITY – has the most EP in the field and is usually 1st or 2nd out of the gate at the start, if he can hold the lead into the stretch could go w2w again
Race 10 – 6 Furlongs, 169 races, 113 won by speed, 56 w2w -PP: 14 from rail, slight bonus 2/3, 4+ minor penalty
2 – SAPPHIRE ROYALTY – BB – much better times at 7f vs 6f in 2nd race at Parx, dropping in class but not in for a claim
7 – STARSHIP ROGUE – appeared to find new form in her first stat after a short rest despite coming out of the gates a step slow, hopefully moves forward in 2nd off the bench and doesn’t bounce
6 – LULA’S ROADRUNNER – has the best EP/LP combo in the field, ran a better first ½ mile in her last, missing by a neck, not sure 6f is the right distance, looks like 7f or more
3 – LOVE ON FIRE – won the last time she returned from some time in barn, OK workouts
Race 11 – 5 Furlongs Turf, 1 race won from off the pace from posts 4-7
8 – QUEEN CORDELIA – looks like the most logical here, track dropper form Keeneland, FG, bullet work, won’t be 5/2
11 – NICKYS NOTION – trying turf for the first time, but does have some EP, decent run in lone off track effort, OK works getting ready
6 – DESIGNED TO DAZZLE – GP dropper that had EP in lone turf sprint, gets 1st Lasix, love the combo of EP and 1st Lasix
2 – CASH ON FIRST – GP track dropper, been flashing EP in routes, doesn’t always translate in sprints, 2nd best pedigree numbers behind the 8
