Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Stay Hydrated – He has an early foot and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera and likes the distance.
4 – Outrageous Bet – He drops in class today and the cut back in distance will help.
8 – My Man Elvis – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 43% of the races, winning 12% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 57% races, winning 19% of the races.
Longshot:
7 – The Angry Man – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, blinkers are added today, and he has a good 4F workout on Jan-03.
Alternate:
6 – Mo Ready
3 – Look Out Lambo
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1 / 2,3,4,5,6,8
Race 2
4 – Vegas Wild Cat – She is one for one at PARX Racing, drops in class today and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera and likes the distance.
5 – Passionate Dream – She won her last race at PARX Racing; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of five races.
8 – Girlfromouterspace – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Longshot:
6 – Iyiyi – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
2 – Howmuchareyouworth
3 – Lost Luggage
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #4,5,6,8 – 3rd race # 2, 4, 7 – 4th race # 1, 9 – 5th race #3,7,9
Race 3
7 – Mutasallem – He has finished in the money in four of his last five races and is trained by Scott Lake and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
4 – Batter Up Bud – He has a trainer who wins 50% of the races when taking a horse from AW to Dirt and has a good 5F workout on Dec-30.
2 – Wizky’s On the Bay – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Milano – He is a closer who finished 2nd the race before his last at Laurel.
Alternate:
1 – Semper Fidelis
Bet: None
Race 4
1 – Frame This – She has won two of the last three races and has the highest last race speed rating.
9 – Classy Sadie – She has finished in the money in four of his last five races, winning two races.
7 – Halligirl – She won his last race at PARX Racing improving her speed ratings in the last three races.
Longshot:
8- Jet Force – She drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Hey It’s Tati
5 – Oui Madame
Bet: $10.00 Win # 1
Race 5
7 – Big Ambition – She drops in class today and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
3 – Cry It Up – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite, but the trainer wins 24% when bringing a beaten favorite to race again.
9 – Divinary – She Ran 2nd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing.
Longshot:
6 – Old Head – She has speed and has a trainer who wins 39% of the races when taking a horse from a Sprint-Route-Sprint races and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
11 – Luna T
4 – Flight
Bet: None
Race 6
6 – Stevie T – He has the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
4 – Enforcer – He has finished in the money in three of his last four races winning one of the starts.
5 – Porsupuesto – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
1- Wheresthepassion – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, the rail post is winning at 18% clip, and he drops in class today.
Alternate:
3 – Connecting
7 – Bob in Our Midst
Bet: None
Race 7
2 – Pontiffany – She has finished in the money in the last two races since coming in from Churchill Downs, winning one of the starts.
4 – Rainbow Trout– She finished 3rd vs tougher in last race and drops in class today.
1 – Romantic Comedy – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and the rail post is winning at 19% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Shetalkstomuch – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 9% of them and likes the distance finishing in the money in 66% races, winning 33% of the races.
Bet: $10.00 Win # 2
Bet: Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race 2, 4 – 8th race 8- 9th race # 2, 4, 5- 10th race # 2, 4, 6- 11th race #10
Alternate:
6 – Xenatown
3 – Seven Years Later
Race 8
8 – Steely Danza – He has finished in the money in seven races out of his last eight races, winning one race and has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Jovial – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Son of a Beast – He drops in class today and has several good workouts.
Longshot:
1 – Hotpot – He closed to finish 2nd in his last races.
Alternate:
6 – Catty’s Uncle
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race 8 – 9th race # 2, 4, 5 – 10th race # 2, 4, 6- 11th race #8, 10
Bet: $10.00 Win # 8
Race 9
4 – Kobe B – He has finished in the money in the last six races, winning four races and has a good 4F workout onJan-02.
5 – Mr. Hustle – He came in from Laurel and finished 3rd in his first start at PARX Racing.
2 – Dr. Steve – He has won two of his last three races finishing 2nd in his last race and has a good 5F workout on Dec-29.
Longshot:
3 – Thiscatcanjump – He has plenty of speed and has done well at PARX Racing in the past.
Alternate:
8 – Nuclear Option
9 – B B Bad
Bet: None
Race 10-Female
4 – Peach Perfect – She has finished in the money in nine out of ten career starts at PARX Racing, winning two and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Thegoddessofsnakes – She is trained by Jamie Ness who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from a Sprint to Route and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
6 – Queen Lucky – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout on Jan-03.
Longshot:
3 – Coach Has Six Aces – She has two races at PARX Racing.
Bet: None
Race 11
10 – Angelus Warrior – He has won his last two races and now going for a hat trick.
8 – Mucho Macho Eddie – He drops in class today and his early speed running style helps chances.
2 – Acker – He won his last race, has a high % winning jockey and the trainer who in last 14 days has won two out four starts.
Longshot:
5 – Mr Thrifty – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Magnetron
4 – What’s to Blame
Bet: $10.00 Win # 10
Rich Rank’s
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Under Par
4 – OUTRAGEOUS BET – the last was bad, drops multiple classes, +EP/LP combo
1 – STAY HYDRATED – could be part of the early action, gets confident with the lead in the stretch
6 – MO READY – speed started to work in the later part of yesterday’s card, has a +9 edge at 2f &13 at 4f
5 – PETULANT DELIGHT – could be a live longshot, much better ATB with tie for TLRSP#
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,6/1,4/1,4,5,6,8
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
4 – VEGAS WILD CAT – Z pattern with better fractions at 6f v 5 1/2
3 – LOST LUGGAGE – just needs to run back to 2nd career start, w2w by 6 ¾ in lone Parx run
7 – POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO – tied for the TLRSP# and ships in from Woodbine, track drop?
5 – PASSIONATE DREAM – PARX 3/1-1-1, lifted her SP# 3 in a row
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,7/3,4/3,4,5,7,8
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Fair
7 – MUTASALLEM – consistent performer in his last four races, Distance 2/0-1-1
2 – WIZKY’S ON THE BAY – pace#s better ATB in last, loves 2nd 9/1-4-0
1 – SEMPER FIDELIS – rides the hot rail, drops from ALW 50k at AQ, could be peak form in 3rd off the bench
8 – MILANO – tough call over the 6, but lone closer v E and P types
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,7/2,7/1,2,6,7,8
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
9 – CLASSY SADIE – has a +10 EP/LP advantage – Parx 10/2-6-2
1 – FRAME THIS – deep closer with a +11 LP Edge, Parx 14/2-5-5
8 – JET FORCE – has a +Edge at 4f, could offer more in the third after a layoff
7 – HALLIGIRL – creeping up the SP# in the last three
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,9/3,7,8/1,4,6/2,4
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Fair
3 – CRY IT UP – TLRSP# and decent work between races after being beat as the FAV
8 – SHEGOTTHEBESTOFME – small Z pattern in debut, showed some EP, maintenance work between race
7 – BIG AMBITION – class dropper and ships in from Laurel, has some EP and gets 1st Lasix
9 – DIVINARY – Parx 3/0-2-0, turning back to a sprint could help
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,8/3,8/3,4,7,8,9
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Fair
4 – ENFORCER – should be close to the pace and has the top EP/LP combo in the field
6 – STEVIE T – TLRSP# and drops in class, increased his speed figure in last three and stronger in the 2nd half of his last race
1 – WHERESTHEPASSION – rides the hot rail, more energy in the first half mile of last and top LP
7 – BOB IN OUR MIDST – we’ll take a flyer on a class dropper that showed a little octane early in its last
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,4,6,7
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Rail Bias, 2+ Fair
2 – PONTIFFANY – PARX 2/1-1-0, upped her speed #s in last three
4 – RAINBOW TROUT – Drops in class after a Z Pattern, top LP and should be close to the pace
1 – ROMANTIC COMEDY –could get to the lead, gets the rail bias, potentially better in third off the bench with a bullet work between races
3 – SEVEN YEARS LATER – you have to give this one a chance as one of the few early speed horses
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,4/2,4/1,2,3,4,6
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
4 – JOVIAL – $450K horse, carried its speed a lot longer in his last, if he can repeat his MCL win, EZ w here
5 – SON OF A BEAST – that Dec 21 work is fast – if I had Charles’ money I might buy this one
8 – STEELY DANZA – cuts back from 7f to 6f where he is 9/1-5-1
1 – HOTPOT – tough call over the 6, but should be close to the front and has more late pace
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Pick Four: 4,5,8/1,4,5,8/2/6,8,10,11
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – Rail Bias, 2+ Fair
4 – KOBE B – Parx 5/0-2-2, Distance 3/2-0-1, high end performer in last four, nice works getting ready
1 – BREEZY GUST – Left Arrow Horse – drops from a NGSTK, Parx is his track 19/6-3-4
8 – NUCLEAR OPTION – won his last w2w by 8 lengths in first at Parx – gets a weight break today
5 – MR. HUSTLE – very consistent performer for Ness and Silvera
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,8/1,4/1,3,4,5,8
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
2 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – has a +9 EP/LP combo, last race was better than it looks, better fractions at 7f v 6 1/2f
4 – PEACH PERFECT – TLRSP#, increased her speed number 3 in a row, potentially better in 2nd off the sidelines
3 – COACH HAS SIX ACES – has a +6 advantage at 4f, is an all or nothing horse 6/2-0-0
6 – QUEEN LUCKY – best of the rest after scratches
Suggested Bets: $1 Double: 2/6,8,10,11
Race 11: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
10 – ANGELUS WARRIOR – won the last two at this distance by widening margins, lone EP
6 – MAGNETRON – has the top LP and best EP/LP combo, TLRSP# and drops in class
11 – DECKOLOGY – could be lone speed at a good price, hopefully speed holds up today
8 – MUCHO MACHO EDDIE – Silvera/Ness – maybe better in 2nd off the bench
Suggested Bets: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,10,11/6,10/2,6,8,10,11
Parx Way to Winners’ Circle Worksheet
