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Horse Racing Today – Parx Racing Picks Live – January 16, 2023

Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Horse Racing Picks

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Parx Horse Racing Tips

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1-Female

7 – Theycallmelee – She finished 3rd vs tougher in last race, has the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.

6 – Arrogante – Her Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and her Jockey in last 7 days (14 4-0-2).

1 – Aztec Queen –

Longshot:

4 – Sirenetta – She Drops in class today and should improve while returning to a sprint.

Alternate:

2 – West Virginia Gal 

Bet: None

 

Race 2

7 – Dathoss – He drops in class today and the trainer wins 42% of the races when dropping down 2+ classes and has the Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

6 – Manuka Bobby – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race.

2 – Bar On the Beach – He has an early foot.

Longshot:

5 – Sunsanddrinkinhand – He drops in class today.

Alternate:

3 – Two Color Map

8 – Wegottaguy

Bet: None

 

Race 3

4 – Tequilamademedoit – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1- Golden Wildcat – He Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race and drops in class today.

6 – Supe– He Switches to a high % jockey, has a trainer who wins 32% of the races in the first race after claiming a horse.

Longshot:

8 – Lt’s Jacknthebox – His trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from route to Sprint and should improve at the shorter distance.

Alternate:

5 – The Mase

7 – King Swansboro

Bet: None

 

Race 4

6 – Be Like Beth – She early foot, drops in class today and has the Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

1 – God Still Loves Me –She has speed and drops in class today.

3 – Imagism – She won last race at PARX Racing and has a good 4F workout (Jan-10).

Longshot:

4- Scarf – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race.

Alternate:

2 – Vanishing Faith

7 – Yellow Dress

Bet: None 

 

Race 5

12 – Golden Bow – She has a High % winning Jockey and drops in class today.

11 – Rose Legacy – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.

4 – Another Saucy Six – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

2 – Bella Maria – She drops in class today and has the Highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Alternate:

4 – Another Saucy Six

10 – Frieder Fanatic

Bet: None

 

Race 6

5 – Fed Policy – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

6 – Spirit Or Spite – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race.

7 – Mrs. Crews – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

 Longshot:

1- Call Me Jelly Roll – She finished two 3rds in a row.

Alternate:

3 – Wicked Jane

4 – Show Some Skin

Bet: None

 

Race 7

7 – Skillful – He drops in class and has a good 4F workout (Jan-10).

3 – It’s Game Time – He has a High % winning Jockey, drops in class today and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

5 – Big Beautiful Wall – He has a good trainer, and his Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Longshot:

1 – Social Group – He Won last race and switches to a high % jockey.

Alternate:

4 – French Toast

6 – Just Nod and Smile

Bet: Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race #3, 7- 8th race 5,6,7- 9th race # 2,9 – 10th race # 6 – 11th race #1,2,5,6,7,8

 

Race 8

5 – Hard West – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last two races winning the third race back .

6 – Satchel de Ritches – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a good Jockey in last 7 days (9 3-4-1).

7 – Golden Spoke – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race

Longshot:

8 – Pylon– He won his last race.

Alternate:

9 – Captain Chazz

Bet: None

 

Race 9

9 – Obstinate – She won three out of her last four races, winning in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Dilly Dilly Philly– She ran 2nd in her last race always in the mix.

4 – Bonita Lassie – Won her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.

Longshot:

6- Luli’s Dancer – She won his last race at PARX Racing.

Alternate:

1 – Londonderry

3 – Positive Power

Bet: $50.00 Win # 9

 

Race 10

6 – Rolls Royce Joyce –Won last race and the Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (4 2-1-0).

1 – Jezebel Jade–. Ran 2nd vs similar in last race

8 – Pegasus in Flight –. The shorter distance will help.

Longshot:

10 – Undercover Kitty – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race

Alternate:

3 – Pioneer Spirit

Bet: None

 

Race 11

2 – Large – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race

1 – He’ssosubtle– Finished 3rd vs similar in last race

7 – My Brother Neil –Jockey in last 7 days (14 4-0-2)

Longshot:

8 – Commissioner Dave –. Finished 3rd vs similar in last race

Alternate:

Bet: None


Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 24% w2w – Small Rail Penalty – 2+ Fair

7 – THEYCALLMELEE – TLRSP# and drops in class with best EP/LP combo

6 – ARROGANTE – has a +LP edge and should be close to the front

4 – SIRENETTA – lone E, seen too many of these win even if they don’t look like it on paper

1 – AZTEC QUEEN – first time starter without a lot to beat

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Three: 1,4,6,7/2,7,10/1

 

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 24% w2w – Small Rail Penalty – 2+ Fair

2 – BAR ON THE BEACH – has a +9 2f and +4f EP edge

10 – DADASHEV – +8 EP/LP Edge, have to play anything that borders 10

7 – DATHOSS – tr Cathal Lynch winner 6/14 down multiple classes and 27% second after the break

3 – TWO COLOR MAP – down the class ladder after better EP#s through the first half mile of last outing

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Four: 2,7,10/1/1,3,6,7/1,4,10,11,12

 

Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 6/10 w2w – 1-7 the Same, 8+ Bonus

1 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – lone MSW to MCL dropper, PARX#s so much better than the rest

4 – TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT – tie TLRSP# improved LP in last 4 outings

8 – LT’S JACKNTHEBOX –

3 – RECLUSE – better fractions at 1m70y v 1m in previous start, cutting back in distance helps

Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 1/1,3,6,7

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 24% w2w – Small Rail Penalty – 2+ Fair

6 – BE LIKE BETH – tie TLRSP#, small drop in class, was a little better in last half of the race

1 – GOD STILL LOVES ME – Pressure horse chasing plenty of EP and can run well fresh

3 – IMAGISM – went w2w in getting MCL win, not the biggest fan unless tie TLRSP#

7 – YELLOW DRESS – had more interest late in her last three outings with top LP and should be involved from the start

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,3,6,7/1,4,10,11,12/7/1,4,7

 

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Only 5 races so far in 2023, 4 of 5 won off the Pace – Strong Inside 3

1 – CASH ON FIRST – w2w in last with TLRSP# in MCL score and bullet work on Jan 10 – found her form

11 – ROSE LEGACY – top LP with top EP/LP combo and should be involved from go to photo

12 – GOLDEN BOW – biggest class dropper with 2, third after a layoff, third was lone win an best race of only other 3 race cycle

4 – ANOTHER SAUCY SIX – simulation says there is value here, so we’ll take her

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,11,12/1,11/1,4,10,11,12

 

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Only 5 races so far in 2023, 4 of 4 won off the Pace – Strong Inside 3

7 – MRS. CREWS – left arrow horse, major uptick in 2/4f pace#s

5 – FED POLICY – TLRSP#, much better pace in last, but 1 for 32 at Parx

1 – CALL ME JELLY ROLL – big chance to take the lead, top w2w candidate

3 – WICKED JANE – tough call over the 6 but she is 7/1-0-3 at Parx and 6 is 7/0-1-1

Suggested Wagers: None

 

Race 7: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little Under Par, 4-7 a Bump Up and 8+ Penalty

4 – FRENCH TOAST – likely pacesetter, was about 2 seconds faster in his last -benefits from 2 scratching

1 – SOCIAL GROUP – won last by 10 lengths, top LP and has +6 EP/LP combination

7 – SKILLFUL – sizable drop in class and a really strong work in Jan 10th

3 – IT’S GAME TIME – down in class a potentially steps forward in second after a layoff

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4/1,4,7/1,3,4,5,7

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 24% w2w – Small Rail Penalty – 2+ Fair

9 – CAPTAIN CHAZZ – jy Jeremy Laprida and tr Alfredo Velazquez winners 4/7 together

5 – HARD WEST – three really good races in a row, more endurance late in last

1 – LAZARETTO – tie TLRSP# better ATB in his last and quite possibly better in classic 3rd after a layoff

6  – SATCHEL DE RITCHES – 3SP# increases and has enough EP to be involved from the jump

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,9/5,9/1,4,5,6,9

 

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little Under Par, 4-7 a Bump Up and 8+ Penalty

2 – DILLY DILLY PHILLY – 3SP# increases, tr Jamie Ness hits at 30% going sprint to route

9 – OBSTINATE – no question she is in form, distance 12/5-3-2

6 – LULI’S DANCER – won raced in October by 11 in only PARX race, good work on Jan 3rd

4 – BONITA LASSIE – not the biggest fan of Penn transfers, but big fan of Tyler, right distance 15/5-3-3

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6,9/2,9/2,3,4,6,9

 

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – None from Rail in 12, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus 

2 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – Parx 9/2-4-0, fast track 7/2-4-0 and nice work on Jan 9

1 – JEZEBEL JADE – has a +10 LP edge and will be rolling late in the third after a break

8 – PEGASUS IN FLIGHT – lone PC horse, Ness/Silvera Parx 5/1-1-2

7 – OFFALY FAST – Jaime Rodriguez and Ness wins at 27% when they team up, tough call over the 6

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,8/1,2/1,2,6,7,8

 

Race 11: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 2 of 4 w2w – 1 from 2/3, 1 from 4-7, a Pair form 8+

7 – MY BROTHER NEIL – workout between races, won the last time he had a work between races

10 – SINGINTHRUTHESTORM – we’ll take a flyer with 3SP# increases, better ATB and 3rd off the break

9 – INSTANT CHAOS – one for one at this distance – won two back close to the front, should get a similar trip today

1 – HE’SSOSUBTLE – really wanted to rank higher, but all his good work is on an off track – it’s fast today

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9,10/7,10/1,7,9,10,12


PARX Way to the Winners’ Circle

Parx Pace Worksheet 1-16-23

 

 

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