Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Parx Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
7 – Magnolia Road – She finished in the money in three races out of four starts at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Fancy Scepter – She drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Bunny Bonus – She drops in class today, was well bet in her debut and can improve with Lasix added.
Longshot:
1 – Overthebluesky – She finished 3rd in her last race.
Alternate:
8 – College Try
3 – Charlys Wild Angel
Bet: $1.00 Pick 3: 5,6,7/1,6/4,6
Race 2
6 – Tilsa – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
1 – Moonchild – She has a good 5F workout on Jan-11, the rail post is winning at 24% clip, and she has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-2-1).
3 – Tribord – She finished in the money in seven races out of ten starts at PARX Racing, winning three.
Longshot:
5 – Tiz a Sharpie – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race earning the highest last race speed rating (tie), she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
7 – Minding Millie
2 – Twirling Wind
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #1,6 – 3rd race #3, 4 – 4th race # 1, 2- 5th race #8,10
Race 3
4 – Pelota – He drops in class today and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
3 – Iconic Legacy – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a trainer who wins 66% of the races when he drops a horse off win and has the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Mr. Briggs – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
9 – Refund Rigler – He drops in class today.
Alternate:
7 – Triple Americano
Bet: None
Race 4
1 – Take It to the Max – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start and has a bullet 5F workout on Jan-09.
2 – Back to D’ Future – She finished in the money in four races out of her four career starts at PARX Racing and has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.
4 – Discreetlin Jones – She is a first-time starter whose dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
7 – Blue Sky Tune – She is a first-time starter; her Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
6 – Thearcherortheprey
Bet: None
Race 5
10 – Strawberry Cone – He drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when he drops a horse down 2+ classes and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Almond Cider – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a trainer who in the last 14 days has won two out of three starts.
7 – Dubrovnik – He has finished in the money in three races out of four starts at PARX Racing.
Longshot:
2 – Staff Sergeant – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
11 – Major Cam
Bet: None
Race 6
7 – Tough Workout – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race earning the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Speight’spercomete – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Bob in Our Midst – He drops in class today and can improve while returning to a route.
Longshot:
6- About the Multiple – He has a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (20 5-4-2).
Alternate:
8 – Vancouver d’Oro
1 – True Dakotan
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race 5,7 – 7th race # 3,8 – 8th race # 3 – 9th race #1,5,6
Race 7
3 – El Hermano – He has won three out of the last four races at PARX Racing finishing 2nd after going up in class and now drops back down.
8 – Ron Don Scorese – He has finished in the money in six races out of seven starts at PARX Racing, winning two of the starts and the shorter distance should help.
7 – Float On – He closes to finish the in the money in the last eight winning two and the longer distance should help.
Longshot:
6 – Exit Right – He drops in class today and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
Alternate:
1 – Rough Sea
2 – In Equality
Bet: Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race 3,8 – 8th race #3- 9th race # 6,8,10 – 10th race # 5 – 11th race #2,4,10,11
Race 8
3 – He Hate Me – He has finished in the money in four races out of the last four starts at PARX Racing, winning three of the starts and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
5 – Martinkelly – He has finished in the money in the last four races at Penn National, winning one of the starts.
6 – Breezy Gust – He took a 6-week break and ran 2nd vs similar in his last race in his first race back.
Longshot:
2 – Fast Bob – He drops in class today and has a good workout on Jan-10.
Alternate:
1 – Splicethemainbrace
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race #3- 9th race # 6,8,10 – 10th race # 5 – 11th race #2,4,10,11
Bet: $1.00 Pick 3 – 8th race 3- 9th race # 6,8,10 – 10th race # 5
Bet: $20.00 Win # 3
Race 9
10 – Flag – He won his last race at PARX Racing and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
6 – Hotpot – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Bokermin – He finished in the money in three of the last four races, finishing 3rd vs similar in last race.
Longshot:
9 – Yo Nessroundonkern – He won his last race at PARX Racing and his Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (20 5-4-2).
Bet: None
Race 10
5 – Seiche – He has finished in the money in ten races out of ten starts winning three of the starts and finished 2nd in his last race.
8 – Market Maven – He won her last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and has a good workout on 11Jan Parx 5f ft 1:03¨ B 3/13.
6 – Expensive Cut – He drops in class today has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of three races.
Longshot:
7 – Thistle – He has finished in the money in three races out of his last three starts winning two of the starts and finished 2nd in his last race.
Alternate:
3 – Pioneer Spirit
Bet: $20.00 Win # 5
Race 11
10 – Bourbon Social – She comes in from Mountaineer after winning the last three races to try PARX Racing for the first time and has a trainer who wins 44% of the races when bringing a horse back after it won its last race.
11 – One Wild Woman – She has finished in the money in four races out of the last five starts winning two of the starts and should improve while returning to a sprint.
4 – Awesome Pal – She finished 7th in her last race after being bumped at the start but had won two out of the last four races and drops in class today.
Longshot:
2 – Live Aid – She has won 25% of her race starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Reiterate
1 – Prospera
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 4,10,11/4,10,11/2,3,4,10,11
Rich Rank’s
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: 5 race – 3 won w2w – otherwise closers, Big Inside 3 Bias – winners 4/5
5 – FANCY SCEPTER – speed crushed it early yesterday; this one is very likely to be on the lead here and lone E
7 – MAGNOLIA ROAD – PARX 3/0-1-2, has the top EP/LP combination
6 – BUNNY BONUS – another class dropper that should be close to the front from the start
4 – TREASURE SEEKER – wat better ATB in last especially late
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,6,7/5,7/1,4,5,6,7
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little Under Par, 4-7 a Bump Up and 8+ Penalty
1 – MOONCHILD – strong at Parx 8/3-0-3, drops to the lowest level since MCL 9 race ago
5 – TIZ A SHARPIE – tie TLRSP# and likely to be better in round 2 off the bench, right distance 12/3-5-3
3 – TRIBORD – another likes the track 10/3-3-1 and distance 6/3-1-1, been improving late in9 last three
7 – MINDING MILLIE – Silvera/Ness going to take money, 30% sprint to route, 0-3 at Parx – also adding Blinkers – looks like let’s try stuff and see what happens race
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,5/4/1,2,4,5,6/2,7,8,10,12
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – None from Rail in 12, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
4 – PELOTA – has a +8 EP/LP combo advantage, down in class for Ness and Silvera
3 – ICONIC LEGACY – TLRSP# and drops in class, tr Louis Linder Jr winner 2/3 off the drop off the win – lone PC
9 – REFUND RIGLER – very likely to be the pacesetter and is the most likely to go w2w
8 – MR. BRIGGS – tough call over the 5, but we’ll take the horse that appears to be in better form
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,9/3,4/3,4,5,8,9
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – None from Rail in 12, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
6 – THEARCHERORTHEPREY – major uptick in career start #2 – especially early – gets 1st Laisx – only horse
1 – TAKE IT TO THE MAX – TLRSP# in debut – decent work since
2 – BACK TO D’ FUTURE – major favorite in last three, PARX 4/0-3-1, eventually she’ll live up to hopes
4 – DISCREETLIN JONES – one of two first timers, good works
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 6/2,7,8,10,12/3,5,7/1,7
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 6/10 w2w – 1-7 the Same, 8+ Bonus
8 – ALMOND CIDER – has a major EP speed edge +8 at 2f and +10 at 4f
10 – STRAWBERRY CONE – moving down a couple of classes – tr Kathleen Demasi 28% winner
12 – JEKYLL ISLAND – has the top LP and has lone EP type
2 – STAFF SERGEANT – carried his speed much longer last time, the farthest ever, TLRSP#
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,10,12/8,10/2,7,8,10,12
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 2 of 4 w2w – 1 from 2/3, 1 from 4-7, a Pair form 8+
7 – TOUGH WORKOUT – has a + EP/LP edge and TLRPS#, distance 7/1-3-1
5 – SPEIGHT’SPERCOMETE – will try to be better in 2nd Parx race after track dropping from NYRA
3 – SOUL PROVIDER – left arrow horse that could gain courage moving closer to the front
2 – BOB IN OUR MIDST – tr Ernesto Padilla Preciado must have seen something because he’s turning this horse around in 7 days
1 – TRUE DAKOTAN – has the most back class but last two been bad
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 5,7/1,7/3,8/5,6,7,9,10
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little Under Par, 4-7 a Bump Up and 8+ Penalty
1 – ROUGH SEA – Track dropper with TLRSP#, 4 increases in a row, Parx 2/1-0-1
7 – FLOAT ON – has a +10 EP/LP edge and last was better than it looked on paper
5 – SILVER EDGE – won 2 of his last three and resume says he should take it up in 2nd after a layoff
6 – EXIT RIGHT – Ness/Silvers combo – winner 10/20 at Parx and 6/13 at the distance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7/1,5,7/1,4,5,6,7
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 24% w2w – Small Rail Penalty – 2+ Fair
8 – EASY DAY – has improved early form in first ½ mile last out. Very consistent performer for this group
3 – HE HATE ME – been off since mid October, a bunch of good works getting ready for today
6 – BREEZY GUST – 4SP# increases and another that turns right around in 7 days
2 – FAST BOB – comes back to Parx after trying his luck at Laurel, Parx 17/5-4-2 – top LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,8/3,8/1,2,3,6,8
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – None from Rail in 12, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
10 – FLAG – won two in a row with ease, fractions a little on the slow side
6 – HOTPOT – TLRPS# for lone PC horse with the best EP/LP combo
7 – YO NESSROUNDONKERN – left arrow horse that benefits from most of the other speed scratching
9 – IMAGINE THIS
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,10/6,7,10/6,7,8,9,10
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – Strong Rail Bias, 2/3 a little Under Par, 4-7 a Bump Up and 8+ Penalty
8 – MARKET MAVEN – should be involved from go to photo and has +6 EP/LP advantage and some good works between races
5 – SEICHE – PARX 3/1-2, distance 7/2-4-1, in the trifecta 10 straight races
7 – THISTLE – is a head away from winning three in a row since coming to Parx from BEL, MTH and GP
3 – PIONEER SPIRIT – NYRA Dropper, distance 15/7-0-5
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,8/5,8/3,5,6,7,8
Race 11: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Only 5 races so far in 2023, 4 of 5 won off the Pace – Strong Inside 3
12 – VITAEMI – has plenty of early juice, a couple of nice works before the 3rd off the bench
5 – SNOW FORECAST – TLRSP# in a 6 length win, considerably better in 2nd half of her last race
2 – LIVE AID – distance 4/2-1-1, very consistent performer, improved EP through the ½ for the last 4 races
3 – REITERATE – better fractions by about 2 seconds last out a 6f
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,12/5,12/2,3,5,11,12
Parx Racing Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
