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Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Sunland Park
Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Home School – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, can either lead or close to win a race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Cumulus – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Ryan’s Fleet – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – DeSantis – He drops in class today and has a trainer and jockey combo who in last 14 days has won two out of four starts.
Alternate:
1 – Destin’s Mission
Bet: $0.50 Trifecta:4,6/4,6,11/4,3,6,11
Race 2
12 – Musamaha – She has won two out of six career starts, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Valuable Breigh – She has an early foot so the shorter distance will help.
9 – Miss Alex – She is a closer ran 2nd race before last.
Longshot:
2 – Iova – She is always in the mix and had trouble the last race, so I am going to throw it out.
Alternate:
8 – Shewearsthepants
Bet: $20.00 Win # 6,12 – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #5 – 3rd race # 5, 6, 7 – 4th race # 1, 7, 9, 12 – 5th race #4, 7
Race 3
5 – Seiche – He has finished in the money in his last nine races, winning four of the starts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (12 3-4-1).
6 – No Salt – He won two races in a row and then in his last race had trouble and finished 5th but the trainer wins 19% when bringing a beaten favorite back to race and switches to a high % jockey.
7 – Abuelo Nuno – He has finished 2nd in his last two races and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Frankie Pennington.
Longshot:
9 – Ron Don Scorese – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in five races out of the last six races, winning two of the starts.
Alternate:
10 – Silver Edge
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box # 5, 6, 7, 9
Race 4
9 – Veeson – He ran 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Norlander – He is a first-time starter; his Dam has 6 winners from 8 starters and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
# 12 – No Confession – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race after being off since September.
Longshot:
1- It’s a Pity – He switches to a high % jockey and the rail post is winning at 19% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Kerness
8 – Dudley Dickerson
Bet: None
Race 5
7 – Still Having Fun – He took a 3-month break returns and finished a disappointing 10th, takes a big class drop and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
4 – Wagon Boss – He likes the track finishing in the money eleven out of fifteen starts, winning three of the starts and the distance is in his wheelhouse.
9 – Son of a Saint – He is a closer from close to the pace and 17% trainer in Claiming races.
Longshot:
6 – Seat of Honor – He ran a nice 2nd in his last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
11 – Long Gray Line
Bet: $.50 trifecta # 4, 7 / 4, 6, 7 / 4, 6, 7, 9,11
Race 6
3 – Rudy Rod – He won his last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance and only needs to repeat that performance.
1 – Pederson’s Courage – He ran 8th in the slop in his last race and did not take to it, switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey and the shorter distance may help.
5 – Positively Awesome – He comes in from Gulfstream to try PARX Racing for the first time and switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 50% on of the races when taking a horse from a Sprint-Route-Sprint.
Longshot:
6- E T’s Candy Man – His early speed running style helps chances and the shorter distance should help.
Alternate:
4 – Weekend in Court
Bet: None
Race 7
7 – Dilly Dilly Philly – She has won five out of the last ten races and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
10 – Flashing Diamond– She has finished in the money in her last four races, winning the last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – Peak of Chic – She has won two races out of her last four races and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – R Averie Lynn – She comes in from Penn National to try PARX Racing for the first time and loves to go to the front to win races as she did twice at Delaware Park.
Bet: $.50 trifecta # 7, 10 / 1, 7, 10 / 1, 7, 8, 10
Alternate:
9 – Love On Fire
6 – World Gone Wild
Race 8
5 – Obstinate – She won two out of the last three races, finishing 2nd in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Fine One Won – She won her last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Miss Loyalty– She ran 2nd in last race and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
Longshot:
8 – Positive Power – She won her last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance.
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race 4, 5, 8 – 9th race # 5, 8 – 10th race # 10- 11th race #2, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12
Race 9
5 – Winning Time – He has won both his career races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Recruiter – He has won all his three career races and has three bullet workouts in a row.
1 – Ninetyprcentmaddie – He has won three out his last four races and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
Longshot:
3 – Hot Love – He can either lead or close to win a race.
Alternate:
4 – Daydreaming Boy
7 – John Dutton
Bet: None
Race 10
10 – Girl Trouble – She has won two races in a row and now going for a hat trick and has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Lindalovesgold – She returns to PARX Racing where she has done well and likes the distance.
1 – Empress Ariana – She finished 3rd in her last race after coming very wide into the stretch and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
Longshot:
4 – Alexis’s Storm– She has a bullet workout on Dec. 21st. and her early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
6 – Interpolate
11 – My Sweet Khaile
Bet: $25.00 win #10
Race 11
7 – Float On – He has finished in the money in his last seven races, winning two of the starts and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
12 – Easy Day – He finished 3rd in his last race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
11 – Get the W – He won his last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – It’s Sizzling Time – He has the highest last race speed rating, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning Jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Maythehorsebwithu
6 – Hushion
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalker with a Rail Bias, 2+ Fair
4 – HOME SCHOOL – TLRSP# and drops in class, +6 LP Edge and has some backspeed
11 – RYAN’S FLEET – flashed strong EP in last and upgrades to Paco
1 – DESTIN’S MISSION – another with signs of early speed and drops from MSW to MCL
6 – CUMULUS – was the 50 cent favorite in his last but comes from off the pace – after what we saw yesterday with speed, got to put early speed ahead of him
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,11/4,11/1,3,4,6,11
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalker with a Rail Bias, 2+ Fair
12 – MUSAMAHA – showed EP in a route last out, faded, cuts back and tr Michael Pino 21% Route to Sprint
8 – SHEWEARSTHEPANTS – should also be involved from the jump, w2w in last with much better LP
10 – GRIS TORMENTA – NYRA track dropper with speed figures that could win here
6 – VALUABLE BREIGH – Should be on the pace and we saw speed rock yesterday
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,10,12/8,12/4,6,8,10,12
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed, 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bias
5 – SEICHE – Silvera/Ness, come on from Laurel, Parx 2/1-1-0, Distance 6/2-3-1
6 – NO SALT – NYRA Track Dropper, 1 for 1 a Parx, has the top LP score and can hang close to the lead
8 – GIGGING – Left Arrow Horse. Looking for improvement on 2nd off the sidelines
2 – MONYINTHEBANKSEY – Lone EP horse, cuts back in distance and does not give up the lead if he takes it into the stretch
Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta Key Box: 6/2,5,7,8,9
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalker with a Rail Bias, 2+ Fair
9 – VEESON – TLRSP by so much more than all the others with experience, needs to regress a lot or another jump a lot
12 – NO CONFESSION – tactical early speed with better late legs in first of the bench in last, resume says sharp improvement on the table in second of the break
4 – DREAMING OF SMARTY – has a +12 EP at 2f and 4f, the way speed performed yesterday, got to have him
5 – LIGHTNING RIDGE – bullet and go 1st time starter
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,9,12/9,12/4,5,7,9,12
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, Inside 3 and 8+ Bias, 4-7 a Touch Under Par
7 – STILL HAVING FUN – Silvera/Ness, dropping multiple classes, should be close to the pace, top EP/LP combo
1 – DECKOLOGY – doesn’t look like it on paper, but could be pacesetter on rail that hits at 20%
4 – WAGON BOSS – better through the first ½ mile in last, consistent effort from race to race
9 – SON OF A SAINT – Past Performance says he is probably at the top of his game in 3rd off the break
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 7/1,3,5,6,7,9
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 45% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bump
3 – RUDY ROD – TLRSP # and could be best in classic 3rd start after a layoff
5 – POSITIVELY AWESOME – track dropper from GP and has the best shot to go w2w
1 – PEDERSON’S COURAGE – 1st off the claim tr Louis Linder, Jr, has plenty of back speed
9 – CHAMPION BY DESIGN – real steady performer, usually well backed
Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,3,6,7,9
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
7 – DILLY DILLY PHILLY – Silvera/Ness some of her fastest fractions in a while last out
10 – FLASHING DIAMOND – better early in last with strong mid move, important in sprints
1 – PEAK OF CHIC – consistently puts up numbers that can win here, tr Michael Moore 25% Sprint-Route-Sprint
8 – R AVERIE LYNN – Kendrick coming in to ride, one of 2 mounts on the day
Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta Key Box: 7/1,8,9,10,11
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, Inside 3 and 8+ Bias, 4-7 a Touch Under Par
5 – OBSTINATE – last race better than it looks, similar fractions to 7 ¼ length win in previous start
4 – FINE ONE WON – won her last by 9 lengths and has the top EP/LP combination
13 – CAJUN COUSIN – all or nothing at Parx 6/3-0-0, wins big when she wins
7 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – break is the key, gets out of the gate in a hurry and she’ll be in the hunt start to finish, Parx 8/4-2-1, Distance 4/0-3-0
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,13/4,5/4,5,7,9,13
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with and Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Slight Penalty, 8+ Fair
5 – WINNING TIME – likely pacesetter, unbeaten in 2 at Parx
8 – RECRUITER – dominate at Laurel Park, TLRSP# by a decent margin, bullets galore getting ready, +5 LP edge
1 – NINETYPRCENTMADDIE – drops in class from NGST 240K, better ATB in last maybe better in 3rd off the pine
4 – DAYDREAMING BOY – BTN FAV at this level last time out, interesting the jockey Mychael Sanchez gets off to stay on the 8
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,8/1,5,8/1,4,5,7,8
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with and Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Slight Penalty, 8+ Fair
6 – INTERPOLATE – Other Kendrick mount with Chad Brown shipper from NYRA
10 – GIRL TROUBLE – lot’s of early speed, 1st time Lasix, good combo
4 – ALEXIS’S STORM – 2nd at 150K NGSTK two back at AQ – bullet and go work
2 – LINDALOVESGOLD – drops for a 200k NGSTK, tough call over the 7
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 6,10/4,5,7,8,11,12
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
8 – IT’S SIZZLING TIME – Off since Nov 7, strong work on Dec 21, should be close to the front with top EP/LP Combo
12 – EASY DAY – Parx 8/4-0-1, in good form, been close in three of his last four non winning efforts
11 – GET THE W – that’s the idea – is a ½ length from winning last three at this level
7 – FLOAT ON – should get a nice trip as a P horse with the top LP and a lot of speed to hunt down
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,11,12/8,11,12/4,7,8,11,12
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
