Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Horse Racing Picks
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Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
6 – Afleet Diva – She drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 23% on of the races when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes.
1 – Field Letters – She likes the distance finishing in the money in 87% races, winning 75% of the races and drops in class today.
5 – Spirit Or Spite – She has the highest last race speed rating, her early speed running style helps chances and the shorter distance will help.
Longshot:
7 – Don’t Tell Frankie – She has done well at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
Alternate:
3 – Big Andy
4 – Mrs. Crews
Bet: $1.00 DD: 6 / 4,5,8,9
Race 2
9 – Imperial Moon – She has an early foot, likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 63% races, winning 27% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 50% races, winning 21% of the races.
5 – Blunt Force – She is a closer who likes to be the bridesmaid so she should be used in the exotics.
4 – Anginetti – She finished 3rd in her last race and has a bullet workout on Dec. 21st.
Longshot:
8 – Leviosa – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
2 – Fast Intentions
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #2,4,5,6,8,9 – 3rd race # 7, 8, – 4th race # 4 – 5th race #1,4,12
Race 3
8 – Sensible Jim – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his speed may take him to the wire.
7 – Moon Dog – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-0).
4 – twasthedevilsidea – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and is trained by Louis Linder, Jr.
Longshot:
1 – Codigo – He has finished in the money in 60% of his starts during his career and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
6 – Cousin Bob
Bet: $5.00 Exacta Box # 7, 8
Race 4
4 – Plamen – He comes back to PARX Racing where he is one for one, ran 2nd vs similar in his last race has a jockey in the last 7 days has won three out of nine starts and has a bullet 4F workout on Jan-03.
10 – Southern Bridge – He is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera and has a bullet 4F workout on Jan-03.
# 1 – Irish Honor – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 71% races, winning 14% of the races.
Longshot:
5- Yes Sir Colonel – His trainer wins 25% on of the route races and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Royal Realm
7 – Eddie’s Charge
Bet: $10.00 Win # 4
Race 5
1 – Cup of Life – She drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
12 – One Pair of Hands – She has an early foot and drops in class today.
4 – Only Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing.
Longshot:
10 – Seat of Honor – She has speed and has a trainer who wins 31% on of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse entered in.
Bet: None
Race 6
2 – Jackie B Good – She has finished in the money in all her races at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and has a bullet 4F workout on Dec-22.
6 – My Coralena – She ran 2nd in the last four races, has the highest last race speed rating and can improve at the shorter distance.
3 – Maarty’s Dilemma – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
5- Cinnamon Dream – She finished 3rd in her last race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Milwaukee Bay
1 – So Swell
Bet: $.50 trifecta # 2, 6 / 2, 3, 6 / 2, 3, 5, 6
Race 7
4 – Croatian– He has finished in the money in three races out of four at PARX Racing, winning one of the races and drops in class today.
2 – Speightster Red – He has decent workouts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Grazely – He has won three out of the last five races, has an early speed so the shorter distance should help.
Longshot:
6 – Relativlea – He has won three races at PARX Racing, and he can handle the distance.
Bet: $10.00 Win # 4
Alternate:
9 – Grit’n’grind
Race 8
3 – Glacier Express – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and a high % winning jockey.
8 – Loverboy Lou – He has not raced for more than 5 months but has done well at PARX Racing and comes back dropping in class.
9 – Crea’s Bklyn Law – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, his has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Drena’s Bullet – He has done well at PARX Racing in the past and likes today’s distance.
Alternate:
10 – Kadens Courage
11 – Keeping the Peace
Bet: $.50 Pick 4-8th race 3, 8, 9 – 9th race # 1, 3, 5, 8 – 10th race # 3, 5- 11th race #1, 7, 8
Race 9
3 – Dalton – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and can either go to the lead or come from off the pace to win a race.
5 – Johnny Ritt – He likes the distance finishing in the money in 45% of the races, winning 17% of the races and likes the track finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 24% of the races.
8 – Fast Breakin Cash – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
1 – Buffalo Shuffle – He has plenty of speed and has finished in the money in four races out of the last five races at PARX Racing, winning one of the races.
Alternate:
Bet: None
Race 10
3 – Carroll Girl – She has finished in the money in three out of three starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the races and has a bullet workout on Jan 2nd.
5 – Ninetypercentbrynn – She ran 2nd in her last race and has finished in the money in 100% of her starts at today’s distance.
9 – Midnight Obsession – She has a trainer wins 32% when bringing a beaten favorite to race again and has a good 4F workout on Jan-02.
Longshot:
2 – Aegean Sea – Her early speed running style helps chances and she has won five races at PARX Racing.
Bet: None
Race 11
1 – Exclusive Order – He came in from Monmouth Park and finished 2nd in his first race at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
7 – Double Dealer – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the time in the 1st race after claiming a horse and high % winning jockey.
8 – Big Redwhiteblue – He drops in class today has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
11 – Dubrovnik – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing.
Bet: $8.00 Win # 1
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 45% w2w – 1-7 Fair with 8+ Bonus
6 – AFLEET DIVA – track dropper that was better in the 2nd half of her last race and will look to be smarter in the 3rd after a layoff
7 – DON’T TELL FRANKIE – taking a class drop, has back speed and gets a weight break today
1 – FIELD LETTERS – distance is right 8/6-0-1, recent form is not, tr Philip Aristone 21% 2nd after a claim vs 12% overall
5 – SPIRIT OR SPITE – could be the pacesetter and has the 2nd most LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Five: 6/6,8,9/8/1,4,7,8/1,4,8,10
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
9 – IMPERIAL MOON – drops in class, going to be pacesetter with +7 EP 2/4f, expecting more in round two off the sidelines
8 – LEVIOSA – TLRSP#, much better late, steps up in class
6 – NOTHINS FREE – another class dropper, upped her 2/4f pace#s in last with solid work before 3rd off the break
2 – FAST INTENTIONS – drops in class in the 3rd off the break for Ness/Silvera
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,9/6,8,9/2,4,6,8,9
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
8 – SENSIBLE JIM – not a lot of early speed in here, should sit behind speed 1 and use +6 EP/LP combo for big chance to win
1 – CODIGO – doesn’t look like in on paper, but he’ll be close to the front with this crew, Z pattern in last
4 – ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA – left arrow horse that ran better times at 1m70 v 1 mile
7 – MOON DOG – CD track dropper with TLRSP#, lone Parx work wasn’t inspiring
Suggested Wager: $1 Pick Three: 8/4/1,4,8,10,12
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
4 – PLAMEN – better fractions in last at 1 1/16 v 1m, resume and bullet work says he’ll be better today
10 – SOUTHERN BRIDGE – Ness/Silvera combo has a superb bullet work on Jan 3rd, Parx 8/2-4-0
1 – IRISH HONOR – this guy hasn’t run this low ever before – Parx 10/2-4-2
8 – HIDDEN PROMISE – tough call over a few others, TLRSP#, some good works getting ready for 1st after a claim for tr Michael Pino – 21% winner
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 4/1,12/2,3,4,6/1,4,9
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
12 – ONE PAIR OF HANDS – ran much faster 5/6f times last out, down multiple classes in 3rd off the break, it’s now or never
1 – CUP OF LIFE – class dropper, shown the most upside so far and appears to be building momentum
10 – BET ON DRAMA – should be forwardly placed, benefits from 2 scratching
4 – ONLY GIRL – better ATB in last and likely ups her game in 2nd off the break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,12/1,10,12/1,4,8,10,12
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
2 – JACKIE B GOOD – first off the claim for tr Michael Pino 21%, things seems to be headed in the right direction with bullet work on Dec 30th
6 – MY CORALENA – likely to get perfect stalkers trip, 4 straight seconds including TLRSP#
3 – MAARTY’S DILEMMA – small class drop, PPs say will be better in 2nd off the layoff, distance 5/0-3-0
4 – POP THE CLUTCH – left arrow horse, should be much closer to the front as she goes from a sprint to a route
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,3,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Under Par
4 – CROATIAN – 3SP# increases with TLRSP#, drops in class and carries 3 pounds less today
1 – HIGH VELOCITY – going to get to the lead with +11 2f and +8 4f, catch me if you can, value at odd of 9/2 or higher
9 – GRIT’N’GRIND – has a dominating +15 LP advantage, if this 10-year old is close coming out of the turn, they ain’t holding the old man off
2 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – last race was better than it looks, , going to drop multiple classes in 2nd off the bench
Suggested Wager: $1 Pick Three: 1,4,9/8/1,3,8,10
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
8 – LOVERBOY LOU +16 EP/LP advantage, don’t see too many miss with those numbers
5 – TIZANOXBOW – dropping in class in third race following more than a year in the barn, late race gains in last effort hint ate horse that’s getting back in form
9 – CREA’S BKLYN LAW – has a 15 point LP edge, coming off nearly two months rest and dropping in class
10 – KADENS COURAGE – another that should be close to the front and better Parx numbers than other considered for this spot
Suggested Wager: $11 Win: 8
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
10 – NIMBLE BEAST – won easy the last time he ran at this level, should get a nice race shape behind a wall of early speed
8 – FAST BREAKIN CASH – 3SP# increases with TLRSP# at this level in last, Ness & Silvera
3 – DALTON – really consistent performer, better ATB in last, Tom horse
1 – BUFFALO SHUFFLE – likely pacesetter and if speed holds like it did last Mondy, they might never catch him
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,10/3,8,10/1,3,5,8,10
Race 10: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Under Par
3 – CARROLL GIRL – TLRSP#, drops in class, sensational works since last on November 4th, won by 7 ¾ lengths the last time she put bullets down before racing
6 – FLASHNDYNAMITE – Parx 20/12-3-1, dropping in class after being much quicker through the first 6f in last – only 1 of 2 for sale – hmm?
9 – MIDNIGHT OBSESSION – BTN FAV in last, tr John Servis bounces back at 32% next time out – super Alpha vs 20% overall win rate
5 – NINETYPERCENTBRYNN – Parx 14/2-5-4 – Distance 4/1-2-1, 3 OK works since last race
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6/3,6,9/3,5,6,8,9
Race 11: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Under Par
7 – DOUBLE DEALER – track dropper? 1st off the claim for Ness, winner 140/424 – 33% good stuff
8 – BIG REDWHITEBLUE – P horse without a lot to chase, one of the biggest class droppers in the field
1 – EXCLUSIVE ORDER – last race was one of his best, gets the rail and maybe up a notch in race two after a layoff
11 – DUBROVNIK – Chris P angle, 2nd by a nose, Parx 4/0-2-2
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,8/1,7,8/1,5,7,8,11
PARX Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
