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Horse Racing Today – Parx Racing Picks Live – Tuesday, December 6, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

PARX Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley

PARX Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Santa Charles’ Selections

  1. 7,2,3,1
  2. 6,7,2,1
  3. 3,1,6,7
  4. 1,6,2,3
  5. 3,10,9,5
  6. 1,6,2,5
  7. 4,5,6,3
  8. 4,1,2,7
  9. 1,6,9,2
  10. 4,5,6,1
  11. 9,1,5,11

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

7 – CASH ON FIRST – seems like she might have a early speed advantage – best run was on an off track

The rest are all about the same – let’s sort of rank them based on highest to lowest oddss

6 – GOVERNMENT GIRL – catches a weight break and what the heck

1 – CHARLYS WILD ANGEL – gets the rail, Z pattern, rides the high win rate rail

3 – NANCY MY LOVE – down multiple classes and was better ATB in last on turf

 

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

6 – TIME TO CRUISE – 1st off the claim for tr Jamie Ness, TLRSP# at Keeneland and decent Parx works

2 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – BTN FAV in last, tr Scott Lake rebounds at 21%, nice work between races

7 – THESEGUYSGOTGAME – should be close to the pace from the jump – going long for the 1st time, a 24% winner for tr Louis Linder, Jr. vs 16%

1 – ALTA FOX – Z pattern and better early and last in last, maybe better in round two

 

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

1 – GRIT’N’GRIND – Ness and Silvera, has ++LP edge and can be amazing at times

6 – EL HERMANO – has the top EP/LP combo, smashed ‘em in his last with TLRSP#

2 – MR THRIFTY – last was bad, pervious 9 probably gets this, can he rebound? Drops to lowest in 10

3 – STAY HYDRATED – not a fan of Penn shippers, + EP at 4f, big drop here and gets a weight break

 

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

1 – EDGE OF GLORY – should ne involved from go to photo with top EP/LP combo

2 – BE ONBOARD – Distance 3/2-1-0 and 50/50 he is better in round two off the sidelines

6 – TOPS THE CHART – like the 1, should be on the pace from the jump and has 2 bullet works since last

5 – BEACHWALKER – classic 3rd after a layoff, 31% angle for 23% tr Juan Guerrero – Distance 10/1-1-6

 

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed Outside In – 46% w2w

3 – JALEBI BABY – was considerably better in the first half-mile in last, 4 seconds in a row

9 – ROSE LEGACY – the rest are all close, much better in the first half mile of last

5 – TOURING MARYANNE – drops in class and usually makes a solid mid move as lone closer here

1 – PRINCESS EMMA JO – class dropper that could be better in 2nd off the break

 

Race 6: 6  Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, +2 Fair, Rail Penalty – 37% w2w

1 – DIVISIBILITY – track dropper from CD and KEE – drops off of TLRSP#

Probably going to regret not putting class, MSW to MCL dropper #5 here but…

6 – DREAM CHASER – like works, tr Robert Reid, Jr, 22% winner 1st starts, 5/8 debut MCL

4 – HIP HOP HOORAY – conundrum here, works stink but tr Ernesto Padilla-Preciado 6/16 1st timers and 4/10 debut MCL

2 – MY SWEET KHAILE – probably the best works for 1st timers, but tr 1/28 in MCL

 

Race 7: 6  Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, +2 Fair, Rail Penalty – 37% w2w

3 – WINNIN’ONWEEKENDS – good series of workouts, especially like Nov 15th’s 4f in 47.3

2 – PROFESSOR KOOL – tr Ernesto Padilla-Preciado, again, 6/16 1st timers and 2/6 debut MSW

4 – UNCLE DAR – has a an +EP edge through the half mile, maintenance work between, but tr Michael Catalano, Jr 0-21 in 2nd career races, 2/32 MSW and 2/37 with 2 YOs – hard to play those # on top

6 – GO EAST – opposite of Catalano, Jr here, tr Tyler Servis winner 4/16 second career starts, top LP

 

Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

1 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – Ness and Silvera, again, regressed for the last 5, nice work hints at bounce back

3 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – consistent performer with +LP & O, TLRSP# and drops in class

8 – CAUSE I SAID – upped her 2/4 pace# in last, resume 50/50 on more to come in 2nd off the bench

4 – ENCHANTING WAY – tough call over the 5, but we’ll go with the EP

 

Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

1 – PELOTA – should be close to the pace with some of the most LP, rides 18% rail

9 – CENTER MID MADDIE – very likely the pacesetter, can he hold on?

2 – B B BAD – 2nd off the claim, alpha angle for tr Miquel Rodriguez, 28% v 23%, TLRSP#

6 – CHARGER – NYRA Track dropper that’s 1 for 1 at Parx, good works getting ready to come back for first since Oct 13

 

Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

5 – EXPENSIVE CUT – PARX 7/2-2-3, distance 5/3-1-1 and should be involved from go to photo

6 – SHOFAR – Ness and Silvera, again, again, better fractions in last, 1-1 at PARX

4 – ACOHARE – not  all that far from winning 7 straight, +EP/LP combo

2 – MALIBU STAR – Parx 5/3-1-0, returns after heading to CD, decent maintenance work between races

 

Race 11: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Out Speed – 31% w2w

10 – PEDERSON’S COURAGE – won his last in lone start at PARX, could be better in race 2 after a layoff top EP/LP combo

9 – BIRCHMOUNT RD – better in the 2nd half of his last race, 4th off the sidelines was improved effort in last 4 race cycle

5 – HE RUNS THE LINE – gets a weight break and drops to a level where he won 2 in a row prior to his last outing

1 – SCOTCH ROCK’S – very consistent performer that rides the 18% rail, better ATB in last and possible improves in 2nd off the break

PARX Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

Parx Pace Worksheet 12-6-22

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