Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Racing Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Penn National
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
5 – One Slick Start – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – No Rhythm – He came in from Penn National and in his first race at PARX Racing he ran 4th but has an excuse as he was bumped at the start – He likes the distance winning four out of eight starts.
7 – Pop Pop Susi – He has an early foot which may help and a high % winning trainer.
9 – Mizzen Man – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Bar On the Beach
Race 2
9 – World Party – She has won three out of five starts at PARX Racing finishing 3rd vs similar in her last race and has high % winning trainer.
1 – Sizzling Roma – She has finished in the money in the last seven races at PARX Racing, winning her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a jockey who in the last 7 days has finished in the money in nine out of the twelve races.
4 – One Wild Woman – She closed to finish 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Brody Slam – She won her last race at PARX Racing and a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Boca Royalty
Race 3
6 – Hard Sting – He has finished in the money in thirteen out of fifteen starts at PARX Racing, winning three of the races, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Risque Rebel – He has won two out of his last four races, finishing 2nd in his last race and has a good 4F workout on Nov-19.
7 – Trophy Chaser – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Geebert – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a good trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Nick Papagiorgio
1 – Abuelo Nuno
Race 4–
1 – Fore Harp – He has won two out of his last four races, winning his last race and his jockey in the last 7 days has this record (15 4-4-1).
5 – Maythehorsebwithu – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Yo Nessroundonkern – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed figure.
3 – Diesel – He has won two races in a row going for a hat trick and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
4 – Bucks Are Moving
6 – Bigshot On Nothin
Race 5
7 – Recluse – He has the highest last race speed rating (tie), has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when going from a maiden to maiden claiming race.
5 – Robbedinthebahamas – He finished in the money in six out of ten races this year and drops in class today.
8 – Flag – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and decent workout.
9 – Duck Ducky Goose – He finished 2nd in the last three races in a row and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
6 – Chasin Chapin
3 – Almond Cider
Race 6
5 – Corky’s Cause – He finished in the money in four out of five career races and switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – Marvelousmoondance – He has finished in the money in six out of his last seven races, finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
3 – Golden Wildcat – He has a trainer who wins 18% of the races in maiden-to-maiden special weight races and his early speed running style helps chances.
6 – Changing the Karma – His return to dirt offers hope for improvement.
Race 7
7 – Mary Q – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Por Una Cabeza – She has finished 3rd in her only two races at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Bruno Barber Girl – She has a high % winning jockey, and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
6 – Civil Notion – She has finished 3rd in her last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate
5 – Cairo Sugar
Race 8
10 – Hoopla – He has finished in the money in the four out of the last four starts at PARX Racing, winning two of the races, he has the highest last race speed and the trainer in last 14 days has won two out of two races.
7 – Hide the Ransom – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a good trainer and jockey.
4 – Glory Song– He was claimed by a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and should improve at the shorter distance.
1 – Parsimony – He comes back to PARX Racing where he has done well in the past, switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
Alternate:
8 – Rob the Rich
6 – Spittin Image
Race 9`
9 – Girl Trouble – She won her last race easily and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Mendelian – She won her debut race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – Can’t Complain – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races in Non-Graded Stakes and may improve at the shorter distance.
8 – Precious Avary – She ran a disappointing last race after being jostled at the start but won the race before.
Alternate:
1 – Creative Copy
2 – Beatiful Karla
Race 10
7 – Gordian Knot – He is undefeated in 3 career starts, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 5F workout on Nov-22.
2 – Ninetyprcentmaddie – He has won all three of his career races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Keithsendshelloooo – He has never finished out of the money winning his last race and the rail post is winning at a 18% clip.
12 – Winning Time – He won his debut race at PARX Racing and has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-2).
Alternate:
4 – Picture This
3 – All Eyes On You
Race 11
4 – Classy Sadie – She has finished in the money in eight out of her last nine races, winning two of the starts and distance will not be a problem.
1 – What a Beaut – She comes in from Woodbine to try PARX Racing for the first time, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Sea Fret – She has won two out of her last four races at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Relentless Ruby – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 58% of her races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 66% of her races.
Alternate:
10 – Gavichi
2 – Broad Jumper
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair, rail penalty
5 – ONE SLICK START – TLRSP# and 2/1-1-0 at distance, better ATB in last
1 – BAR ON THE BEACH – the rail was a factor, especially with speed at PARX yesterday, blazing early SP
9 – MIZZEN MAN – Lonely Closer versus a field of pressure and speed types, should be ranked higher, but absolutely leaning speed.
7 – POP POP SUSI – early speed with a weight break
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Rail Bias, 2+ fair
4 – ONE WILD WOMAN – should be right off the pace and has the top LP and a +O combo
1 – SIZZLING ROMA – TLRSP# and has a +4f EP edge while riding the 20% winning rail
9 – WORLD PARTY – better fractions early in last, Parx 5/3-0-1, Distance 4/0-2-1
5 – PRINCESS KAIRA – seems to win after a workout, maintenance work between race, won by 8 the last time she had a work between races
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside 3 and 8+ Speed
8 – NICK PAPAGIORGIO – been on Parx dirt twice 2/1-0-1, was close to pace in both, tr Richard Vega winner 4/11 going turf to dirt
7 – TROPHY CHASER – has some serious back class and consistently puts up some of the highest speed figures for this crew
6 – HARD STING – has a +/ LP edge for Tr Jamie Ness and Frankie Pennington, has a maintenance between works
1 – ABUELO NUNO – TLRSP# and posted better pace#s in the 2nd half of his last race and has plenty of EP
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair, rail penalty
1 – FORE HARP – has some of the most EP and the best EP/LP Combo
3 – DIESEL – won last two w2w – resume says 50/50 better in the 3rd off the bench
5 – MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU – PARX 4/0-3-0 and ran much better fraction last out at 1m70y than 1m, Lonely PC
2 – MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT – runs well off the bench 2nd, win, 2nd in three first starts, out of the money in other 4 races, steady works since last race
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair, rail penalty
8 – FLAG – one of the two purest droppers in the field, fought to go w2w two back at MCL 25
7 – RECLUSE – the other pure dropper, tr Guadalupe Preciado winner 5/16 on the MSW to MCL drop
5 – ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS – lonely P horse with the best EP/LP combo, distance 4/0-2-2
4 – UNCLE MOOLAH – 1st timer that could have some EP, looking at Oct 8th and 17th, along with Sep 20ths’ works as evidence
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside 3 and 8+ Speed
2 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE – Parx 5/0-3-1 with the best #s, distance 4/0-3-0 with the best #s
3 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – has a +EP edge at 2f, maybe fitter today w/ maintenance work between races
5 – CORKY’S CAUSE – unless he improves his PARX game by a decent margin, his trio of Parx races are a couple of rungs lower than the top
6 – CHANGING THE KARMA – all that is left
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside 3 and 8+ Speed
7 – MARY Q – unless something goes wrong, should make EZ work of this group
2 – POR UNA CABEZA – already beat the 1, has some gate pop, lightly raced 200k horse, 2x more than the rest combined
5 – CAIRO SUGAR –Penn shipper with just 2 races and a nice Parx
1 – BRUNO BARBER GIRL – Parx 6/0-3-1, effective rail but slow works
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Rail Bias, 2+ fair
4 – GLORY SONG – comes in from Keeneland off the claim, Jamie Ness 32% angle 1st out post claim, Parx 10/3-5-0
10 – HOOPLA – absolute track dropper from Keenland and NYRA, has a ton of early juice and 3/2-0-1 at distance
7 – HIDE THE RANSOM – Jamie Ness and Ruben Silvera, make you wonder which he thinks will win, Parx 7/1-4-1
5 – JOHNNY RITT – Lonely Closer with top LP in a field full of speed, although sometimes tries to be upfront sometimes
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair, rail penalty
6 – MENDELIAN – won her debut with the top debut speed figure, better start and she could make it look easier than the 6 length win in last
9 – GIRL TROUBLE – Lonely P horse sitting between speed and closers
7 – GOLD MEDAL ANNA – was better ATB in last with similar fractions trough the opening ½ mile at 6 ½ v 6 f
2 – BEATIFUL KARLA – the next three are 1 in the same – we will take the one with the best numbers
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside 3 speed with 8+ being fair
12 – WINNING TIME – a repeat of the debut could get this done
7 – GORDIAN KNOT – 3 easy wins in 3 races, including the first two a Parx, some swift Parx works says he’ll be ready for the Bensalem track again
2 – NINETYPRCENTMADDIE – also 3 for 3, all at PARX fastest fractions of the three last out, short resume says could be a lot better in round two off the bench
4 – PICTURE THIS – come in from Delaware after 2 w2w wins, with Jeremy Rose – only mount
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair, rail penalty
4 – CLASSY SADIE – never off the board at Parx 8/2-4-2, not too far from the pace with some late punch
3 – SEA FRET – – has a plus +f EP edge, gets very courageous with the lead after the half, pace#s say she should be the leader at the half today
10 – GAVICHI – gets a 7 pound weight break and has some back speed
5 – RELENTLESS RUBY – lone PC horse and a hard call over the 2, should be involved from the jump
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
