Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Racing Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Picks with the Professor’s Play of the Day
Parx Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Debbie’s Surprise – She finished in the money in her last three races, winning one of the starts finishing 3rd vs similar in last race.
7 – Shetalkstomuch – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer/jockey combo who in last 14 days has won two out of two starts.
3 – Just Stuff It – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and the shorter distance may help.
2 – Rainbow Trout – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of her starts and has a win here.
Alternate:
6 – Vanishing Faith
4 – Moving in Stereo
Race 2
7 – Obstinate – She won her last race, received the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Awesomenewyear – She has an early foot and returns to dirt which may help.
4 – R Tenderoni-She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a jockey who has won seven out of his last twelve starts.
2 – Wishes and Dreams – She has won 24% of her starts at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
5 – Miss Loyalty
1 – Lula’s Roadrunner
Race 3
5 – These guys got game – He is trained by Louis Linder, Jr. and ridden by jockey Ruben Silvera and has decent workouts.
6 – Respirator – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has the best Prime Power number.
4 – Winning Time – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters.
7 – Capital Conquest – He finished 4th in his debut race and has a high % winning Jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Minxzhippsdontleye
Race 4
8 – Jokemeister – He finished 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today has the highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.
9 – We Ready– He finished 3rd vs tougher in last race and drops in class today.
7 – Battle of Berlin – He is a closer who drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – No Rhythm – He comes in from Penn National after running 2nd only losing by a neck to try PARX Racing.
Alternate:
1 – Pop Pop Susi
6 – Imagine This
Race 5
3 – Lt’s Jacknthebox – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and drops in class today.
9 – Drunken Bridge – She has a high % winning trainer and drops in class today.
5 – Dubrovnik – She was a beaten favorite last race but has a trainer that wins 24% of the races when brining a beaten favorite back to race again.
1 – Tough Workout – She finished in the money in three of the last four races and had trouble in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Whata Guy
7 – Old Beau
Race 6
1 – Back to D’ Future – She finished 2nd in her last two races and has the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Divinary – She ran 2nd in her only start and has a maintenance workout.
4 – Jets’ Dream – She has a high % winning trainer and Jockey.
7 – Celtic Tiger – She is a first-time starter; her Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has a good 4F workout (Nov-01).
Race 7
4 – True Dakotan – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Mr. Tuttle – He finished 2nd in his last race and likes the distance winning 33% of his starts.
2 – Explain – He ran 3rd in his last race, and he has highest last race speed rating.
6 – Ludo – He drops in class today.
Alternate:
8 – Dadashev
1 – Angelus Diamond
Race 8
1 – Prince Filip – He has won two races in a row, has highest last race speed rating and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
3 – Mystic Link – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and is trying PARX Racing for the first time.
6 – Zaevion – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a bullet 5F workout (Oct-29).
10 – Shanghai Superfly – He drops in class today and likes the track finishing in the money in 68% of his starts, winning 23% of the races.
Alternate:
9 – Extreme Force
Race 9
5 – Yodel E. A. Who – He has finished in the money in the last four of his starts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Shooger Ray Too – He won his last race his at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
1 – American Patrol – He has won four races out of seven career starts, drops in class today and has a bullet 5F workout (Oct-29).
2 – Bourbon Calling – He finished 2nd in his last two races and has a trainer who wins 33% of the races in allowance race starts.
Alternate:
4 – Sound Off
8 – Irish Cork
Race 10
3 – Champion by Design – He has won two races in a row and now going for a hat trick, and he trained by Jamie Ness.
7 – Bourbon Mission – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 7-0-1).
6 – Golden Spoke – He finished 3rd in his last race.
9 – Neigh Dude – He has won three races out of seven starts this year.
Alternate:
13 – Kikkerland
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: early speed, posts 2+ fair
1 – DEBBIE’S SURPRISE – ran a lot better fractions last out a 6 1/2f vs 6
2 – RAINBOW TROUT – lone PC horse, last race was awful on paper but better than it looks on paper, drop in class helps
6 – VANISHING FAITH – has a +EP at 4f, TLRSP and a carried her speed a little longer in her last
7 – SHETALKSTOMUCH – has a +LP edge, ITM 7/11 at the distance, return after time off is the question
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Inside 3 and 8+ speed
7 – OBSTINATE – TLRSP and lone EP horse, worried about some regression though
2 – WISHES AND DREAMS – has a +LP edge and adds a lot of runway from 6 1/2f last out
4 – R TENDERONI – w2w at Delaware Park on slowish fractions, feel like Delaware to Parx might be a slight track upgrade, Distance 7/3-3-0
6 – AWESOMENEWYEAR – probably your pacesetter if she can carry turf form to dirt, but didn’t show same EP in previous dirt starts. W2w candidate with fast start
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: early speed, posts 2+ fair
Probably going to regret ranking them this way, but here we go anyway.
7 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – showed the best combo of EP and LP in debut, hoping for more in R2
8 – CLASSIC UNION – flyer on a 1st timer, but steady works schedule and 43K horse, best pedigree for dirt and distance
2 – ZOPPI FISCHBEIN – trainer is 0 for 32, but they debuted this horse in a 200k NGST, they must think they have something, TLRSP# and +LP – maybe I am nuts
4 – WINNING TIME – another 1st timer with consistent works
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: early speed, posts 2+ fairBOX
8 – JOKEMEISTER – TLRSP# and drops in class, has a +EP/LP combo, long tome off though, ran OK last time he has off this long
9 – WE READY – similar fractions in last race at 7f v 6f, gets a 5 lb weight break today
6 – IMAGINE THIS – 6 and 7 basically ran the same race last out, so I’ll put the higher odds and L1 first…
7 – BATTLE OF BERLIN – … and this one second
1 – POP POP SUSI
4 – WEGOTTAGUY
Race 5: 1 Miles – Bias: Early Speed with slight inside out bias
3 – LT’S JACKNTHEBOX – TLRSP# and class drop following being better ATB
9 – DRUNKEN BRIDGE – Left Arrow Horse gets a weight break for 3rd after a layoff
1 – TOUGH WORKOUT – Parx 8/0-3-2, should be on the gas from go, better in first half mile of last
6 – WHATA GUY – top EP/LP Combo, a lot better holding his speed in last, top EP/LP
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: early speed, posts 2+ fair
1 – BACK TO D’ FUTURE – TLRSP#, but times were a little slower, maintenance work since
4 – JETS’ DREAM – last two workouts have been really good, tr Michael Moore and jy Andy Hernandez winner 35% together for +3.05 ROI
7 – CELTIC TIGER – like the workouts here and catches a weigh break
9 – HOP ON ME – tr Scott Lake wins debut at MSW 21%, last work was good
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Inside Speed
2 – EXPLAIN – LS – has a ++ EP/LP combo, top LP, TLRSP#, better fractions
4 – TRUE DAKOTAN – fast track 9/1-3-43 was better in the first half mile
3 – MR. TUTTLE – left arrow horse that should be a part of the EP and was considerably better late
10 – ONE SLICK START – has some EP and cutting back to 7f could help
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with rail bias, 2+ fair
1 – PRINCE FILIP – TLRSP#, record says likely to be better in round 2 off the bench, ++EP/LP
6 – ZAEVION – two at Parx 2/1-0-1, better fractions at 7f vs 6 ½ – resume says better than in 3rd off after a layoff
10 – SHANGHAI SUPERFLY – very consistent from start to finish in last, race was better then the finish, drop helps
2 – AHSAD – EP making 2nd start for tr Bobbie Hawthorne, a 29% angle for a 14% trainer
Race 9: 1 Miles – Bias: Early Speed with slight inside out bias
1 – AMERICAN PATROL – drops from 100K NGSTK in 2nd off the bench, bullet work since
5 – YODEL E. A. WHO – Left Arrow Horse, Silvera/Ness top EP/LP combo
6 – SHOOGER RAY TOO – distance 5/3-2-0, Parx 11/4-3-1, TLRSP in NGSTK 100k win
7 – LOOKIN AT ROSES – Parx 7/4-1-0, should be better in 2nd off the bench, was considerably better in last
2 – BOURBON CALLING
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: early speed, posts 2+ fair
3 – CHAMPION BY DESIGN – has a ++4f edge, just needs to carry on for 2 more furlongs
6 – GOLDEN SPOKE – was better ATB in his last – distance 6/2-1-2
7 – BOURBON MISSION – drops in class, flips from turf to dirt in last, maybe better in 3rd off the bench with Paco
9 – NEIGH DUDE – tough call over a lot of those that are left, going to take the lone PC
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
