Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Presque Isle Downs Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: LA Downs
Presque Isle Downs Horse racing Picks and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – No Drama – He comes in from Aqueduct to try Presque Isle Downs for the first time, and has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and his best AW track speed is the fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Bahamian Park – A closer who ran a good 2nd prior to his last race, and he has finished in the money in 50% of his races at today’s distance.
2 – Rayo Colorado – He is another one that comes to try Presque Isle Downs for the first time, drops in class and the trainer wins 26% of the time when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes – He has a Bullet workout on 03May Pid 3f ft :36 B 1/4
1 – El Duque – He has finished in the money in 50% of his races in 2021 and tries to get his first win since 2020.
Alternate:
5 – Silver Token
3 – Boat Wampum
Race 2
4 – Perfectly Majestic – He likes Presque Isle Downs finishing in the money in four out of five starts, winning two of the races, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he drops in class today – The trainer wins 26% of the time when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes.
1 – Cloontia – He has not raced since last October at Presque Isle Downs where he won two out of four starts – He drops in class today for today’s race.
2 – Dahog – He drops in class today; the trainer wins 17% of the time in claiming races and he has a good workout on 12May Pid 3f ft :36.3 B 2/8.
3 – County Court – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race and the trainer wins 17% of the time in claiming races.
Alternate:
5 – C the King
6 – Shakedown
Race 3
3 – Del Griffith – He has not run since August going against tough competition but now, he is going against easier competition, he has the highest last race speed rating, and his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Woodchuck – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race only losing by a nose, drops in class today and can improve while returning to a sprint.
5 – Declared – He ran 2nd in his last race in October and the trainer wins 66% of the time in the 1st after claim.
4 – Punx – He drops in class today; the trainer wins 18% of the time in claiming races and he has several good workouts in a row.
Alternate:
1 – Country Ruckus
6 – Homemade Moonshine
Race 4
4 – Pizza Charlie – He finished 3rd in his last three races including the last race (on Dirt) at today’s distance, he has the highest last race speed rating, and the trainer wins 18% of the time in routes.
2 – Book of Delancey – He has finished in the money in his last six races, running 3rd vs similar in his last start.
3 – Jo Jo Hans – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in last race and the trainer wins 18% of the races in a horse’s 2nd race off a layoff.
1 – Tiz a Giant– He drops in class today; the trainer wins 23% of the races on an all-weather track and his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
7 – Creative Choice
6 – Dolan’s Lad
Race 5
1 – Spirit Animal – He has tried six different racetracks in a row and now the 7th will be Presque Isle Downs, will it finally give him a win? – He has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and the trainer wins 17% of the time in claiming race.
5 – Captain Mad Jack – He finished 3rd in last race and the trainer wins 18% of the time in claiming race.
6 – Samay – He finished 3rd in his only race at Presque Isle Downs and has improved his speed ratings in each of the last four races.
3 – Smoky Blues – The trainer wins 40% of the races when his entry is in the 2nd race off a layoff, Smoky Blues Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has two bullet workouts in a row.
Alternate:
4 – Gins and Tins
2 – Digital Footprint
Race 6
5 – Cinco de Mandee – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, may improve at the shorter distance and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters – She has two bullet workouts in a row.
1 – Is that your harley – She finished 4th in her last race having some trouble during the race and the trainer wins 20%of the races in on all weather surfaces.
4 – Brooklyns Surprise – Her early speed running style helps her chances and she may improve at the shorter distance.
3 – Straight Madness – She has finished in the money in twelve out of eighteen races, winning seven of the races and the distance will not be a problem.
Alternate:
8 – Protectthewitness
7 – Artemis Rising
Race 7
2 – Tactical Pajamas – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park, receiving the highest last race speed rating and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – State Crown – She ran 2nd (on the Turf) in her last race at Laurel and the trainer wins 24% when going from Turf to an All-Weather surface.
4 – Pepper – She has finished in the money in four out of six races in 2021, winning one of the races and the trainer wins 23% of the time when bringing a horse back off being 90+ days away.
1 – Bourbon Gal – She has finished in the money in 100% of the races at Presque Isle Downs, – The trainer wins 57% of the time in allowance races (May-07).
Race 8
7 – Emerald Citadelle – She won her last race at Presque Isle Downs last October and has a decent workout.
5 – D Dawg – She won her last race at Tampa Bay Downs and now comes to Presque Isle Downs to try and win here for the first time; she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and the trainer wins 40% of the time in a horse’s 1st start with that trainer.
9 – Data Princess – She won her last race at Mountaineer and got the highest last race speed rating and now comes to try Presque Isle Downs for the first time.
4 – Lawn Dart – Her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters; the trainer wins 19% of the time in claiming races and she has a good 4F workout (May-06).
Alternate:
1 – Dance Or Stroll
8 – Lady Marvel
Rich’s Ranks and Race Notes
Race 1 – 1 Mile, 71 races, 41 won by speed, 15 w2w -PP: Small inside 3 bias, 8+ penalty
4 – NO DRAMA – track drop from GP has lone win on AW, TLRSP# and drops in class
2 – RAYO COLORADO – another GP track dropper with a bullet work at PID
6 – BAHAMIAN PARK – comes in from Mahoning Valley and has dome hos best at the distance 8/0-3-1
5 – SILVER TOKEN – his turf record suggests he’ll take well to a synthetic track
Race 2 – 1 mile 70 yards, 102 races, 50/50, 30 w2w -PP: fair
1 – CLOONTIA – has 2 wins in four at PID, both at the distance and is working well for his return
4 – PERFECTLY MAJESTIC – like PID with 5/2-2-0, AW 17/5-4-1, dropping 2 classes, tr Gerald Brooks 27% winner
2 – DAHOG – run some of his best PID races at the distance, finishing no more than 2 ½ lengths from the winner in 3
3 – COUNTY COURT – his lone race on AW was better than the PPs suggest, big late run finishing 4th by just ¾ lengths
Race 3 – 5 ½ furlongs, 58 races, 40 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: small inside 3 bias, 8+ penalty
3 – DEL GRIFFITH – last ran in August, Eddie C angle, bullet two back, a maintenance work and then to the track
2 – WOODCHUCK – been off since October, 16f works since March 31, mostly solid with a bullet
5 – DECLARED – Another that’s been on the sidelines since October but has run well off breaks
4 – PUNX – GP dropper ridden by our friend Willie Martinez
Race 4 – 1 mile 70 yards, 102 races, 50/50, 30 w2w -PP: fair
6 – DOLAN’S LAD – LS – 210K horse 1st time starter, here? Costs more than all the others combined
4 – PIZZA CHARLIE – comes in from Oaklawn Park, track drop, was better 2/4f paces in last, 3rd after a layoff
3 – JO JO HANS – just missed in his last on Tampa Turf, , he should be better in 2nd run
1 – TIZ A GIANT – drops from Turfway Prk, better 4 & LP#s in last, which was first on AW
Race 5 – 6 furlongs, 187 races, 103 won by speed, 58 w2w – PP: small inside out bias
3 – SMOKY BLUES – is a horse for the PID course, 7 wins in 12 races, 5 wins in 30 elsewhere
1 – SPIRIT ANIMAL – TLRSP# and drops, bullet and go, 1st on AW, track dropper too
6 – SAMAY – 4sp# increases, probably been facing tougher, finished 3rd by a length in lone PID race
4 – GINS AND TINS – GP track dropper, better 2/4f #s in first try on AQ and likely to get better in round two off the bench
Race 6 – 5 ½ furlongs, 58 races, 40 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: small inside 3 bias, 8+ penalty
3 – STRAIGHT MADNESS – a PID horse for the course, 7 wins in 18 races, 2 wins in 25 elsewhere, decent works getting ready
1 – ISTHATYOURHARLEY – another with the Eddie C angle, bullet work, followed by maintenance work, then to the track
5 – CINCO DE MANDEE – should be on the gas from go, two bullet works at PID in her last two
6 – TUDOX ROADSTER – just missed at this level/track in October, 1st off the break after running on GP Tapeta, bullet work of 46.3 at PID on May 13, fastest of 46
Race 7 – 6 furlongs, 187 races, 103 won by speed, 58 w2w – PP: small inside out biasBOX
2 – TACTICAL PAJAMAS – TLRSP#, AW record 9/5-0-1, , much better LP#s and could pick it up again in the 3rd off the break
7 – STATE CROWN – flipping from turf to AW, 24% winner for trainer Michael Trombetta, 1 for 1 at PID, 3/2-0-0 on AW
4 – PEPPER – ITM 11/13 at PID, off since October, finished 2nd by a length following the same break last year
5 – DANA’S BEAUTY – been facing much tougher at GP/Tampa, back to PID 9/2-2-2
Race 8 – 5 ½ furlongs, 58 races, 40 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: small inside 3 bias, 8+ penalty
4 – LAWN DART – BB – better ATB in last at Turfway Park, should continue to be sharp with bullet on May 6
5 – D DAWG – 1st start off the claim, trainer Leland Hayes winner 6/15, drops off the claim
1 – DANCE OR STROLL – Horse for the PID course, 12 wins in 31 races, 3 wins in 32 elsewhere
7 – EMERALD CITADELLE – better PID and AW#s than the rest
