Santa Anita Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Santa Anita Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
2 – Big City Lights – He has finished in the money in his five career races, winning three of the starts, the shorter distance will benefit him, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – The Chosen Vron – He won three races in a row and has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Finneus – He finished 4th but has an excuse as he was bumped at the start, checked at the 5/8 and has a bullet workout on 31Dec’22.
Longshot:
6 – Resilient – He has finished in the money in his four career races, winning three of the starts.
Alternate:
5 – Tigre Di Slugo
3 – I’ll Stand Taller
Bet: $1.00 DD – 2 / 4, 6, 8, 11
Race 2
8 – Moon Ice – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Mila’s Papa – He is a first-time starter, his breeding suggests he will like the grass, and today’s sprint distance and he has a bullet workout on Dec 22nd.
6 – Regulation Dazed – He has had problems the last couple of races but if he settles down, he should have a good race as he has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
11 – Chrome to Riches – He is a first-time starter; his breeding suggests he will like the grass and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
1 – Victory Matters
9 – Bronko Nagurski
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #1,4,6,8,9,10 – 3rd race # 5- 4th race # 3, 8- 5th race #3, 6
Race 3
5 – Bajan Bashert – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, trained by Mark Glatt and ridden by jockey Flavien Prat.
2 – Danehill Song – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Sassy Nature – She showed early speed and then bumped at the 3/16th affecting her race and Lasix has been added.
Longshot:
7 – She’s Not Kidding – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and has a trainer who wins 21% on of the races when debut maiden special weight.
Alternate:
4 – Timely Luck
3 – Kind of Blue
Bet: None
Race 4
8 – Joe Don Looney – He won his last race, has a high % winning trainer, has the highest last race speed rating and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Thorne House – He has finished in the money in his four career races, winning two of the starts and finished 2nd on the turf in his last race.
10 – Moose Mitchell – He has finished in the money in his seven races in 2022, winning three of the starts and finished 3rd vs similar in his last race.
Longshot:
6 – Press On –He won his last race at Del Mar, and he appears to either lead or come from off the pace to win a race.
Alternate:
5 – Fore Flag
9 – Alpine Thunder
Bet: $.50 Pick 3 – 4th race #3,5,6,8,9,10 – 5th race # 3,6- 6th race # 1
Race 5
6 – King Zog – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 25% on of the races when using 1st time Lasix.
3 – Big Drinker – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start, well bet in debut and can improve with Lasix added.
4 – Stay in the Game – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a good 5F workout on Dec-31.
Longshot:
5 – Uncle Walt – He is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 21% with 1st time Starters.
Alternate:
7 – Charbonneau
2 – Soul of Midnight
Bet: None
Race 6
1 – Big Summer –She has finished in the money in all ten career races, winning three of the starts and is returning to the turf where she has never been out of the money, winning two.
3 – Alice Marble – She finished 3rd in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Eddie’s New Dream – She drops in class today and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Longshot:
2- La Deuxieme Etoile – She has won two out of her last four races, winning the last one at Santa Anita at today’s distance.
Alternate:
9 – Tam’s Little Angel
6 – Taming the Tigress
Bet: $20.00 win #1 – $.50 Pick 5– 6th race #1– 7th race # 2, 4, 7 – 8th race # 3, 8, 9 – 9th race #1, 7, 8 – 10th race #1, 5, 8
Race 7
2 – Passarando – She has won three out of the last four races and has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Giver Not a Taker – She won her last race at Los Alamitos and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Geezer – She finished 3rd in her last race after having trouble and has a good 5F workout on Dec-31.
Longshot:
6 – Crypto Ride – She Ran 2nd in last race at Los Alamitos.
Bet: None
Alternate:
1 – Thirsty John
3 – Amigo G A
Race 8
9 – Cast Member – She won all three of her career races and has a trainer who in last 14 days has won three out of six races.
8 – Sell the Dream – She finished 3rd in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a good 4F workout on Dec-30.
3 – Grazed My Heart – She has finished in the money in four of her six career races, winning one of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Quickly Park It – She won two races in a row and then finished 9th after breaking slow and steadying early and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Carole Lombard
6 – Loyal to a Fault
Bet: $.50 Pick 3 – 8th race # 3, 8, 9 – 9th race #1, 7, 8 – 10th race #1, 5, 8
Race 9
7 – Holiday Arousal – He is a closer who ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – I Know Cash Flow – He has finished in the money in three out of four races at Santa Anita, winning two of the starts and is ridden by Flavien Prat.
8 – Leyas Candy – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Nolongerahobby – He finished 3rd in his last race and can improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
6 – Big Talker
2 – Mr. T’s Thirsty
Bet: None
Race 10
5 – Kings River Knight – She has won three races and three seconds in her six-race career, two of the wins were at Del Mar and has won all three turf races she has entered.
8 – Carmelita’s Man – She is a closer who has won three out of the last four races and has jockey Juan Hernandez.
1 – Aligato – She likes the track winning two out of four races, has a high % winning trainer and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Royal ‘n Rando – She won her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Coalinga Road
2 – Doc Adams
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Only 4 Races – 3 of 4 from Off the Pace – 3 of 4, Posts 4+
2 – BIG CITY LIGHTS – Lots of early speed, undefeated in 2 at SA, both triple digit speed figure and a bullet work on December 24
4 – THE CHOSEN VRON – beat the top pick twice, both races were longer, the shorter race could hurt
3 – I’LL STAND TALLER – lets take a flyer as the only other speed type
6 – RESILIENT – improved in the first half mile in his last race with three really good works between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Three: 2,4/3,4,6,8/4,5,6
Race 2: 6 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Only 3 Races – 2 of 3 from Off the Pace – PP’s Seem Fair
4 – MILA’S PAPA – consistently good workouts, bullet and go
6 – REGULATION DAZED – third after a layoff, highest last race speed figure two in a row
8 – MOON ICE – been well bet in both starts, big improvement in his first on grass
3 – SPIRITUAL ADVISOR – going to take a flier here, debut was not good, December 30 bullet and go
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6/4,6,8/1,3,4,6,8
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Only 4 Races – 3 of 4 from Off the Pace – 3 of 4, Posts 4+
5 – BAJAN BASHERT – debut number was so much better than any of the others
6 – SASSY NATURE – showed blazing speed in debut and faded, 1st Lasix could really help
4 – TIMELY LUCK – consistent work pattern, tr Sean McCarthy 17% debut MSW
2 – DANEHILL SONG – gets top jockey Juan Hernandez but tr Vladimir Cerin 0-15 debut MSW
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: ALL/3,9
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs Hillside Turf – Bias: 5 Race – 3 of 5 won by Early Speed, 2 w2w – all 4+
3 – THORNE HOUSE – been the favorite in 3 of 4 races, has plenty early speed, will make big mid move
9 – ALPINE THUNDER – left arrow horse with the top LP – we’ll take a shot
10 – MOOSE MITCHELL – really consistent performer, should be close to the pace and has some late legs too
6 – PRESS ON – tough call over the 8, but has considerably better turf pedigree and record 2/1-0-1 vs off the board in 5 for the 8
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Three: 3,9/6,7/1,2,3,5
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Only 4 Races – 3 of 4 from Off the Pace – 3 of 4, Posts 4+
6 – KING ZOG – been close a lot 6/0-4-0, fades as the end, 1st Lasix could cure the late fades
7 – CHARBONNEAU – has a +EP through 4f, 2nd career start wins this, the Lasix, lone MSW dropper and weight break should really help
3 – BIG DRINKER – decently bet in debut, some really nice works since
1 – DORADUS – should improve in 2nd career race, 2 maintenance works between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Three: 6,7/1,2,3,5/1,4
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs Hillside Turf – Bias: 5 Race – 3 of 5 won by Early Speed, 2 w2w – all 4+
3 – ALICE MARBLE – BTN FAV last out, tr Philip D’Amato rebounds at 25% and this one’s resume sys to expect a nice jump in round 2 off the bench
1 – BIG SUMMER – left arrow horse, doesn’t look like it on paper but could be pacesetter 2/2 at the distance
5 – EDDIE’S NEW DREAM – lone P horse that drops for a G1, cuts back from a mile to a distance 3/2-0-1
2 – LA DEUXIEME ETOILE – can’t pronounce it, but jy Lanfranco Dettori looks good after coming over from Europe and with Doug O’Neill, winner 2/3 ITM 3/3 for +8.53 ROI – ride the wave
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,5/1,2,3,5
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: 1 Race won by Speed from 4-7
1 – THIRSTY JOHN – probably a crazy pick coming from maiden to NGST, but has a big EP edge, going long for the fist time, been off since May, a lot of questions to answer, but have a feeling he will and is the best horse in this race
4 – GIVER NOT A TAKER – won at a mile last out and has a bullet work since, race 2 off the sidelines should be a little better than race 1
2 – PASSARANDO – won his lone race at SA at this level, with his career best number
7 – GEEZER – is an up and down horse, can win if he’s on his game, could be last if he is not
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,2,4,7/8,9/1,6,7,8/1,4,8
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 8 Races won by Early Speed – 3 w2w – No Rail Winner, 2/3 and 8+ Best
8 – SELL THE DREAM – drops from an open company G3 back to state breeds, best work has been on turf
9 – CAST MEMBER – positionally, probably going to get a super trip, undefeated in three, but tr Tim Yakteen, just won 2/32 first grass starts – concern
4 – CHOLLY – broke the maiden with the TLRSP#, but finished behind the 9 2x
1 – CAROLE LOMBARD – tough call over the 3, but turf numbers are a little better
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: 6 Races won by Tactical Speed, Inside 3 or 8+
8 – LEYAS CANDY – very consistent performer with decent works between races
7 – HOLIDAY AROUSAL – much better late in his last race and will look to build on that in 3rd off the bench
1 – I KNOW CASH FLOW – really consistent with better fractions at 6f v 5 1/2f, rail has been hot in limited races at the distance
6 – BIG TALKER – lone PC horse behind a bunch that want to go fast, TLRSP#
Race 10: 1 1/8 Miles Turf – Bias: Only 3 Races – 2/3 and 8+ Have Won all of Them
8 – CARMELITA’S MAN – tr Dean Pederson doesn’t enter many at this level won 8/18 when he does
4 – COALINGA ROAD – +7LP edge as lone P facing PCs and Closers, should get an ideal trip
1 – ALIGATO – could be in peak form in third race after a layoff and three maintenance works between races
2 – DOC ADAMS – won 4 in a row but move up considerably in class
Santa Anita Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
