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Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Santa Anita Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Golden Gate Fields
Santa Anita Horse Racing Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
7 – Sumter – He likes the turf finishing in the money in seven races out of eight starts, winning three races and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – I’m A Gambler – He comes in from Europe after winning nine out of twenty-three turf starts, trained by Mark Glatt and ridden by Flavien Prat.
1 – Balnikhov – He is a deep closer and won his last race and loves the distance winning three out of four starts.
Longshot:
2 – One More Bid – He won his last race at Del Mar and has two bullet workouts in a row.
Alternate:
6 – Handy Dandy
4 – Time to Party
Bet: $1.00 exacta box #1, 2, 3, 7
Race 2
2 – Purified – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Princip – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
3 – Bletchley Park – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
5 – Migration – He finished in the money in four races out of six starts this year and is ridden by Mike Smith.
Alternate:
6 – Palagio
4 – Mastermind
Bet: None
Race 3
6 – Prince Abama – He has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning three races, finishing 1st in his last race and finishing in the money in 100% of the races at today’s distance.
2 – Master of foxhounds – He has never finished out of the money at Santa Anita, winning two of the starts, jockey Mike Smith returns to ride him again and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Dicey Mo Chara – His best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has won at today’s distance.
Longshot:
1 – Rip City – He has finished in the money in 77% of his races at Santa Anita, winning 44% of the starts.
Alternate:
5 – Bob and Jackie
7 – Flashiest
Bet: $1.00 exacta key box #6 – 1, 2, 3
Race 4
3 – Faustin – He is a first-time starter, trained by Bob Baffert and has very good workouts.
7 – Worcester – He is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and another horse trained by Bob Baffert.
4 – Sonoran – He is a first-time starter, whose Sire wins 19% with 1st time starters, Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and the third horse trained by Bob Baffert.
Longshot:
# 1 – Jam Session – He had trouble in his last race and can improve while returning to Dirt.
Alternate:
5 – Yellow Brick
2 – Vegas Burner
Bet: None
Race 5
5 – Dandy Man Shines – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Maltese Falcon – He comes in from Europe after finishing 2nd in his debut race and is ridden by Flavien Prat.
2 – Hawker – He was beaten only 2- lengths vs similar in his last start and has a decent workout on Dec. 21st.
Longshot:
8 – Low Expectations – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and likes the distance.
Alternate:
10 – Smart Code
Bet: $1.00 DD #2, 4, 5, 8 with #6
Race 6
6 – Country Grammer – He is a closer who has been knocking on the door since arriving from Europe finishing 2nd in his three races here and will be successful today.
1 – Hopkins – He has won two races in a row and is going for a hat trick trying a graded affair for the first time.
3- Breakfast Ride – He has won three out of his last four starts and likes the track.
Longshot:
2 – Stilleto Boy – He had plenty of trouble in his last race so I will throw that out, gets a jockey change to Mike Smith and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
5 – Heywoods Beach
4 – Hudson Ridge
Bet: $20.00 win # 6
Bet: $2.00 exacta #6 with 1, 2, 3
Race 7
8 – Big Beauty – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
11 – True Patriot – She broke slowly last race and still only lost by 2-1/2 lengths – With a quicker start she will be dangerous and has a good 4F workout on Dec-21.
1 – Flame McGoon – She has won two out of her last four starts and is one for one at Santa Antia.
Longshot:
12 – Dancing Dana – She finished 3rd in last race and returning to a sprint will help.
Alternate:
9 – La Deuxieme Etoile
7 – Eleuthera
Bet: None
Race 8
6 – Fun to Dream – She has won four out of her five career starts and has a decent workout on Dec 22nd.
4 – Midnight Memories – She has won two races in a row and is going for a hat trick and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Under the Stars – She ran 2nd in her last race at Santa Anita and has a bullet 5f workout on 19Dec.
Longshot:
5 – Ain’t Easy – She ran 3rd in her last race at Del Mar and has a good 6F workout on Dec-19.
Alternate:
3 – Ganadora
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race 1, 3, 4, 5, 6 – 9th race # 2, 7 – 10th race # 6- 11th race #1, 2, 5, 9, 11
Race 9
7 – My favorite daughter – She has won two races in a row at a mile as a closer and stretches out to a 1-1/8 which I think will help.
2 – Precious Baby – She won her debut race with Mike Smith in the irons who returns to ride again.
10 – Leisure wear – She is always in the mix finishing in the money in her last five races, winning the last one.
Longshot:
12 – Karakatsie – She has done well on the turf in the past and showed some speed in her last race.
Bet: None
Race 10
6 – Taiba – He has won three races out of six starts this year, has the highest last race speed rating, trained by Bob Baffert, ridden by Mike Smith and has a bullet 5F workout on Dec-19.
3 – Apprehend – He finished 2nd in his last race, and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-2-2).
1 – Forbidden Kingdom – He finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 26% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Longshot:
8 – Strava – He won his last race at Churchill Downs and come to try Santa Anita and he gets Flavien Prat.
Alternate:
2 – Messier
7 – Perfect Flight
Bet: $20.00 win # 6
Race 11
1 – Rhea Moon – She has never finished out of the money in her career, winning the last two races and I think she can handle the distance.
5 – Bell street Bridie – She came in from Europe and wins her first start at Del Mar, trained by Mark Glatt and ridden by Mike Smith.
9 – Salimah – She comes back to Santa Anita from Aqueduct, has won three races out of four starts and is trained by Chad Brown.
Longshot:
11 – School Dance – She won three won races in a row at three different tracks.
Alternate:
2 – Sparkle Blue
8 – Pizza Bianca
Bet: $10.00 win # 1
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed, 2+ Fair with a Rail Penalty
Looks like all will be chasing the 7, fractions will determine if he can go w2w
7 – SUMTER – Lone E and has a +EP edge, TLRSP# and resume says the same or a touch better in round 2 off the bench
1 – BALNIKHOV – right distance 4/3-1-0, a nose from winning 4 races after a break, including debut
3 – I’M A GAMBLER – A million dollar horse with a group win in Britain, good surface record is concern, might like softer footing than he’ll get in California
6 – HANDY DANDY – was better early in last, usually a strong on the backend, always in the trifecta in 7 at the distance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7/1,3,7/1,3,4,6,7
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed with a Rail and 8+ Bonus, 2/3 a Little Penalty
Looks like there will be plenty speed up font, usually speed of the speed or stalkers
2 – PURIFIED – Left Arrow Horse with +9 EP edge at 4f and +LP
3 – BLETCHLEY PARK – big mid move in last and big jump higher in only other 2nd race after a break
6 – PALAGIO – a little better fractions last out and potential to rise up the ladder in second after a layoff
1 – PRINCIP – better times at 1 mile vs 7f in debut, gets the rail bonus and Flavien Prat
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 2/1,2/3,5,7,8/2,4,5,7,12
Race 3: 1 1/8 Miles Turf – Bias: Off the Pace in the 6 races with a Strong Inside 3 Bias
Pace work suggests all horses could get the trip they are looking for
1 – RIP CITY – Lone EP Horse with SA #s that are as good as any and 9/4-3-0 at SA
2 – MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS – TLRSP#, tends to regress a little in R2 off the bench and after Peak Pace numbers
3 – DICEY MO CHARA – this one is more likely than not to get better in R2 off the bench
6 – PRINCE ABAMA – won last out at 1 ½ miles, took a little step back in last, yet to win at SA or Distance
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: ½,3,5,6,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with a Small Inside 3 Bias and 8+ Penalty
A bunch of first time starters, so you don’t know what you are going to get when the gates open
3 – FAUSTIN – You just can’t look past the Dec 10th 4f work of 46.4 – that’s blazing for this 800k Baffert 1st timer
8 – QUINCY MARKET – bullet and go for a potential bomb
7 – WORCESTER – another from the Baffert barn and the series of 3 bullets from Nov 27th thru Dec 5th says he’s fast too
5 – YELLOW BRICK – we’ll stick with the 1st timers and roll with Prat and Madella over the rail
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 3/2,4,5,7,8,10,12
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed, 2+ Fair with a Rail Penalty
A lot of backend horses, early speed could have an edge here
5 – DANDY MAN SHINES – been facing much tougher than anybody else, question is, is a mile too short?
2 – HAWKER – lacked room late in last start, otherwise might have the maiden win already. Two nice works since
12 – ZIO JO – Left Arrow Horse in race that doesn’t have a lot of EP, increases Speed Figure in last 3 and has a bunch of good works
7 – ESCAPE ARTIST – Like that Dec 10th work with some of the best turf Pedigree, tough call over the 4, but the 4 comes from a 2nd tier English Track
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,12/2,5/2,4,5,7,12
Race 6: 1 1/16 – Bias: Early Speed, PPs look Fair, maybe 2/3 Bonus
Could be some early pace here, but reasonable pace
1 – HOPKINS – taking a big step up in class, but likely pacesetter stretching out for the first time, Hernandez rides here instead of 6
6 – COUNTRY GRAMMER – maybe the class horse, but man he loves to hang late, three 2nds in last three and five of last seven
5 – HEYWOODS BEACH – TLRSP#, usually runs well off the bench, Fast 7/3-1-2
3 – BREAKFAST RIDE – 2nd off a layoff with some good works between races, really will need up his game to compete with top 3
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6/1,5,6/1,2,3,5,6
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers with a 4+ Bias
A lot of early pace potential here, could favor and off the pace horse or speed of the speed
1 – FLAME MCGOON – Lone EP horse that can sit behind the wall of speed and go, post hurts
8 – BIG BEAUTY – Flavien, will be coming at the end, but likes 2nd SA 6/1-4-0
11 – TRUE PATRIOT – 3rd off a layoff, two nice maintenance works between races and SA 3/0-3-0
9 – LA DEUXIEME ETOILE – will be coming at the end and should not be too far off the pace
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,8,11/1,8/1,5,8,9,11
Raec 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with an Inside 3 Bias, Only 5 Races though
Looks like a lot of pace on paper, but mostly pressure types plenty of room in backstretch to get into position
4 – MIDNIGHT MEMORIES – winner 4/5 and 3 for 3 at SA, a bunch of nice works since last
6 – FUN TO DREAM – has a +8 LP edge and should have plenty of tiring horses to catch
1 – UNDER THE STARS – tough call over the 3, but been running against better and works look strong getting ready
3 – GANADORA – Lone EP horse and really benefits from the 2 scratching
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,4,6/3/1,6,9/1,5,6,9,11
Race 9: 1 1/8 Miles Turf – Bias: Off the Pace in the 6 races with a Strong Inside 3 Bias
Most horses want to come from off the pace, early pace could have the edge here – wide open race
3 – BALLET DANCING – top closer that should improve 2nd after a layoff
7 – MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER – winner 2 in a row and Joe Bravo stays here instead of the 9
12 – KARAKATSIE – Lone P horse, could end up with the perfect trip
2 – PRECIOUS BABY – has a +6 EP edge and there is not a lot of speed here, tough call out of MSW win
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7/3,7,12/2,3,7,10,19
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed with an Inside 3 Bias, Only 5 Races though
Speed could get away here if they aren’t careful as most are stalkers
6 – TAIBA – is the class of the field, but is capable of some stinkers
9 – STRAIGHT NO CHASER – has a lot of early wheels, likely pacesetter, if the opening quarter is 45, might not be caught
1 – FORBIDDEN KINGDOM – another that will compete for the lead, 50/50 2nd after a layoff but sharp work between races favors an uptick here
3 – APPREHEND – is undefeated in two here and flips the result from Zia last out with the 7
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 9/1,2,3,6,7
Race 11: 1 ¼ Miles Hillside Turf – Bias: Just 2 Races both wire to wire
A lot of closers here, get to the front and it could be 3 w2w winners
6 – MISE EN SCENE – because this race lacks frontrunners, could be the pacesetter and best races came close to the front
9 – SALIMAH – Flavien gets off the 5 to ride this one, better horse or wants more mounts with Brown in NY?
1 – RHEA MOON – has a +6 LP edge and distance probably isn’t an issue
5 – BELLSTREET BRIDIE – won US debut with ease and we know the distance isn’t an issue 5/0-2-2
Santa Anita Way to the Winners’ Circle Pace Worksheet
